The World Cup qualifiers accelerate to a defining stage as Group I leaders Norway meet third-placed Israel at Brann Stadion in Bergen. Both sides have everything to play for, but the Norwegians are flying with a flawless group campaign, while Israel’s journey has been marked by grit and flashes of attacking promise. The subplot? Norway have already soundly beaten Israel once this campaign (4-2 away), and the Norwegians’ attacking firepower looks utterly relentless on home soil.
Key match-ups will likely revolve around the talismanic Erling Haaland for Norway, who scored an astonishing five goals in a recent game, and Martin Ødegaard, who strings play together with vision and audacity. For Israel, right-back Eli Dasa’s overlapping runs and Manor Solomon’s creativity from midfield will be crucial as they try to counter the Norwegian juggernaut.
The hot stat? Norway average nearly 5 goals per match in the group, an outrageous figure at any level and a testament to their relentless, almost merciless, attacking ethos.
| 🏆 Tournament: | FIFA World Cup UEFA Qualification 2026 (Group I) |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 11 October 2025 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:00 CEST |
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Norway vs Israel prediction
Given Norway’s impeccable form – six wins from six and 24 goals scored, with just 3 conceded – it’s difficult to look beyond a home win in Bergen. Israel are capable of snatching goals against shaky opponents but struggled to contain Norway’s attack previously and have looked vulnerable away from home. Best value sits with Norway on the Asian Handicap (-1.5), as another emphatic victory seems likely.
Norway’s typical 4-3-3 system facilitates expansive, quick interplay and direct attacking moves, heavily reliant on Haaland’s finishing and Ødegaard’s creativity. Their low foul count suggests disciplined pressing, while a lack of yellow cards reveals maturity in game management – something that could prevent Israel from capitalising on set-piece chances. Israel, usually set up in a 5-4-1 intending to absorb pressure and break on the counter, have improved defensively but are often overwhelmed by superior ball possession sides. The Israeli boys must watch their discipline, as Norway’s combination play in the final third punishes even the slightest lapse.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Norway -1.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 3.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Norway’s recent run: If ever there was a side playing with verve and purpose in qualifying, it’s Norway. Their previous two outings tell the full story: an 11-1 demolition of Moldova, with Haaland bagging five and virtually every attacking player joining the party, followed by a measured 1-0 win over a dogged Finland. Prior to that, they had dispatched Estonia (1-0) and famously overwhelmed Italy 3-0. This is a team oozing confidence but also striking balance – opening the taps when lesser teams come to play, and locking down defensively against stronger adversaries. The 4-3-3 works a treat, helping the Norwegians suffocate the midfield and transition quickly. Their passing numbers, averaging over 650 per game with near-pinpoint accuracy, underline just how much they control proceedings.
Israel’s recent run: Israel approach this clash from a tougher patch, having narrowly lost to Italy in a thriller (4-5). They bounced back by dispatching Moldova 4-0, showing flashes of what their attack can deliver if given space. Yet, defeats to Norway and some inconsistent displays against mid-table opposition have left them battling for second place – perhaps just outgunned by the group’s elite. Israel’s back five, especially when under pressure, has creaked, but on their day, their rapid counters and ability to play direct balls into advanced areas can unsettle any defence.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Norway | Israel |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 4 | 2 |
| Total shots | 34 | 12 |
| Free kicks | 13 | 10 |
| Corner kicks | 4 | 2 |
| Total fouls | 6 | 9 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 91 | 85 |
| Interceptions | 8 | 10 |
| Offsides | 1 | 2 |
🚨Read our full Norway vs Israel stats for more analysis.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Norway the favourite
- Moneyline Norway 1.23 | Israel 12.00
- Draw 6.80
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.55 | Under 2.5 2.30
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.80
With Norway’s stonking home form and Israel’s tendency to leak against high-calibre opponents, the odds are justifiably stacked in the hosts’ favour. The low price on Norway reflects both their attacking threat and the gulf in current confidence between the sides. Israel’s knack for a goal keeps BTTS viable, as does Norway’s penchant for leaving the door open when cruising. If Israel steal an early lead, things might get twitchy, but otherwise, logic favours a commanding Norwegian display.
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Possible Starting Lineups

Norway possible starting eleven
- GK: Ørjan Nyland
- DF: Julian Ryerson, Leo Østigård, Kristoffer Ajer, David Moller Wolfe
- MF: Martin Ødegaard, Sander Berge, Felix Horn Myhre
- FW: Erling Braut Haaland, Alexander Sørloth, Antonio Nusa
This lineup reflects Norway’s consistent 4-3-3 shape, giving them plenty of width and attacking thrust. Nyland has been reliable in net, and the defensive unit rarely needs to get out of second gear against most group opponents. The midfield trio balances dynamism (Berge), creativity (Ødegaard), and industry (Myhre). Up top, one need only say “Haaland” to grasp the threat – but his link-up with Sørloth and Nusa is just as vital, bringing goals and sharp movement. Expect quick switches, overlapping fullbacks, and a barrage of shots on goal.

Israel possible starting eleven
- GK: Ofir Marciano
- DF: Eli Dasa, Miguel Vitor, Hatem Abd Elhamed, Sean Goldberg, Doron Leidner
- MF: Neta Lavi, Manor Solomon, Mohammad Abu Fani, Gadi Kinda
- FW: Shon Weissman
Israel’s likely 5-4-1 attempts to solidify the back while giving freedom to creative midfielders Solomon and Abu Fani. Marciano is a seasoned goalkeeper, and Vitor’s experience in defence helps anchor the line. Weissman must battle for space against Norway’s big centre-halves but, if supported, is capable of snatching goals on the break. Dasa’s attacking forays from right wing-back will be key, especially if Israel chase the game.
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Israel. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Norway are, in every respect, the form team – playing with confidence, discipline, and a ruthless edge in front of goal. Not only does Haaland lead the line with efficiency and fire, but the supporting cast is clicking at just the right time. Israel are spirited and capable of unsettling any side, but the gulf in form and finishing quality should win out here. My pick: Norway to win comfortably, scoring at least three, though Israel might just sneak a consolation if they counter sharply.

