Liam Duckstein
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North Macedonia open their Nations League League B Group 1 campaign against a Switzerland side that has looked sharp in front of goal all year. Goce Sedloski’s men have won just once in their last five outings, and that lone win did not even feature in this batch of results, and they now face a Swiss squad that has scored at least twice in four of their previous five matches. The gap in confidence between these two camps right now is stark, and it shows in the market.
An interesting wrinkle here: North Macedonia have conceded 15 goals across their last five games while scoring just once themselves, a defensive collapse that Sedloski still hasn’t found an answer for. Switzerland, meanwhile, arrive off the back of a wild 4-3 win over Colombia, proof that Murat Yakin’s side can win ugly as well as pretty.
Watch for Switzerland’s Breel Embolo, who has been directly involved in goals throughout this run and gives Yakin’s side a reliable focal point up top. On the other side, North Macedonia’s Eljif Elmas remains their only real creative outlet capable of unlocking a stubborn defense, though he’s had little support in recent weeks.
Hot stat: North Macedonia have failed to score in four of their last five matches, a run that includes back-to-back 0-4 defeats, while Switzerland have found the net in every single one of their last five games.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Nations League 2026/27, League B Group 1 |
| 🗓️ Date: | 26.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:45 CEST |
North Macedonia vs Switzerland prediction
We predict a comfortable Switzerland win here, and the odds around 1.40 reflect that reality fairly. North Macedonia have not managed a win in their last five outings and have been outscored 15-1 in that span. Switzerland, by contrast, have won four of their last five and scored freely against sides of varying quality, from Bosnia to Colombia to Algeria.
North Macedonia tend to sit deeper and rely on set pieces, which naturally leads to fewer fouls but also less possession and fewer clear chances created. Switzerland press higher and commit more numbers forward, a style that has occasionally left them exposed at the back, as their 1-3 loss to Argentina showed, but it also fuels their scoring output. Given North Macedonia’s struggles to generate shots and Switzerland’s aggressive approach, expect the visitors to dominate territory and chances from the opening whistle.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Switzerland -1.5 Asian Handicap |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
North Macedonia’s last match ended in a 0-4 defeat to Turkey, extending a run without a win to five games. Before that, they drew 0-0 with Bosnia and Herzegovina and 0-0 with Ireland, results that show some defensive stubbornness against mid-table sides but zero attacking threat. The heavier defeats to Denmark (0-4) and Wales (1-7) point to a team that struggles badly whenever the opponent has genuine quality in the final third. Sedloski’s side has scored just once in these five matches, and that alone should worry anyone backing them here.
Switzerland’s last match was a 1-3 loss to Argentina, their only defeat in this five-game sample and arguably forgivable given the opponent’s quality. Before that they won 4-3 against Colombia in an entertaining shootout, beat Algeria 2-0, edged Canada 2-1, and thrashed Bosnia and Herzegovina 4-1. Four wins in five games, with 13 goals scored across that stretch, tells us Yakin’s side carries genuine firepower into Bergen regardless of the opponent’s system.
🚨Check out our dedicated North Macedonia vs Switzerland stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Switzerland the favourite
- Moneyline North Macedonia 7.56 | Switzerland 1.40
- Draw 4.76
Bookmakers give Switzerland roughly a 67% chance of winning this one, and honestly, that number feels about right given the disparity in current form. North Macedonia’s price above 7.00 reflects how little confidence the market has in their attack finding a way through, while the draw at close to 4.80 looks tempting only if you expect another defensive stalemate similar to their recent 0-0 draws. We lean toward the favourite covering comfortably rather than needing a nervy finish.
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North Macedonia. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Switzerland to win this Nations League opener with room to spare, perhaps by two goals or more. North Macedonia have not scored more than once in any of their last five matches and have shipped heavy defeats against anyone with genuine quality up front. Switzerland’s attack has clicked in four of their last five outings, and even their one loss came against a top-tier opponent in Argentina. To be honest, backing the away win alongside over 2.5 goals looks like the sharpest angle on this fixture, with BTTS No offering extra value given how toothless North Macedonia have been in front of goal recently.
