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North Macedonia U21 vs Poland U21 Prediction: 18.11.2025 UEFA European U21 Championship 2027 Qualifiers

17.11.2025, 08:44

The European U21 Championship 2027 Qualifiers continue as North Macedonia U21 hosts a high-flying Poland U21 at Brann Stadion, Bergen. While North Macedonia U21 currently struggles near the bottom of Group E, Poland U21 arrives as group leaders with maximum points and an impressive goal difference. This match serves as a crucial checkpoint: can North Macedonia U21 defy the odds and revive their campaign, or will Poland U21 keep their perfect record intact? A notable subplot lies in the tactical approaches — Goran Stanic’s North Macedonia favouring a flexible 3-5-2, while Jerzy Brzeczek’s Poland primarily operates with a solid 4-4-2.

Two players to keep an eye on include Dashmir Elezi, who recently found the net for North Macedonia U21, and Wiktor Bogacz, a young forward adding dynamism and goals for a Poland side loaded with attacking threat.

The “hot stat”: Poland U21 boast a 100 percent win rate in these qualifiers, scoring 17 goals and conceding just once across five matches.

11:00Finished18.11.2025
🏆 Tournament: UEFA European U21 Championship 2027 Qualifiers – Group E
🏟 Venue: Brann Stadion, Bergen
🗓️ Date: 18.11.2025
⏰ Time: 18:00 CEST

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North Macedonia U21 vs Poland U21 prediction

The best value prediction here is a Poland U21 win with a -1.5 Asian Handicap. Poland’s dominance both offensively and defensively, combined with North Macedonia’s inconsistencies and defensive frailties, makes this the standout option. Poland have already defeated North Macedonia 3-0 earlier in the group and shown the ability to control games against even the strongest opponents, including a convincing 2-1 win over Italy U21.

North Macedonia U21’s recent stats show they average a modest one goal per game, with a tendency towards high-conceding matches (12 goals conceded in 5 games). Meanwhile, Poland U21 keeps their shape well and restricts opposition chances; their discipline is evidenced by only one yellow card in their last five matches. However, Poland’s aggressive pressing and high early possession can invite fouls — a trend reflected in their 15 total fouls in the recent period. Expect Poland to press high, force errors in North Macedonia’s half, and dictate play, while North Macedonia will likely defend in numbers and look for quick transitions through wide players.

🔥Hot Tip: Poland U21 -1.5 Asian Handicap
⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Over 7.5

Team Analysis

North Macedonia U21 come into this fixture off a heavy 1-4 loss to Sweden U21. Their only win in the qualifying phase came against Armenia U21 (2-1), while they have struggled against the group’s stronger sides, conceding three each to Montenegro and Poland, and losing narrowly to Italy. Dashmir Elezi’s recent goal was a positive, but the team’s struggles with both chance creation (just 7 total shots vs Sweden) and defensive coverage have hindered their progress. Recent form indicates issues with both concentration and discipline, as reflected in a yellow card average nearing three per five games.

11:00Finished13.11.2025

Poland U21, in stark contrast, are in excellent form, winning their last match 2-1 against Italy U21 — a direct rival for the group’s top spot. Prior to that, they dismantled Sweden U21 6-0 and maintained clean sheets against Montenegro and Armenia. Players like Wiktor Bogacz and Tomasz Pienko are consistently getting on the scoresheet and contributing in midfield and attack. Their high ball possession, passing accuracy (consistently above 70 percent), and width-oriented attacking strategy are key tactical advantages. Poland have also demonstrated strong adaptability by rotating their squad without any drop in performance.

10:00Finished14.11.2025
2Poland U21Poland
1Italy U21Italy

🚨Read our full North Macedonia U21 vs Poland U21 stats for more analysis.

North Macedonia U21. Source: Official Website

North Macedonia U21. Source: Official Website

Pre-game odds and win probability: Poland U21 the favourite

  • Moneyline North Macedonia U21 8.25 – 7.20 | Poland U21 1.29 – 1.32
  • Draw 4.80 – 4.40
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 1.98 | Under 2.5 1.85
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.15 | No 1.60

The bookmakers heavily favour Poland U21; with an average win probability of 68 percent, the odds reflect Poland’s streak of dominant performances and North Macedonia’s defensive vulnerabilities. The value on Poland is justified by their perfect record, high-scoring offense and recent head-to-head. Over 2.5 total goals is a sensible secondary bet given the attacking tendencies, while ‘No’ for both teams to score aligns with North Macedonia’s struggle in front of goal.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

North Macedonia U21 should maintain their recent 3-5-2 structure, providing defensive coverage while allowing wing-backs to join attacks. Expect Anes Meljichi’s experience in defence to be crucial. Dashmir Elezi, fresh off a goal, offers penetration up front. The squad’s core remains consistent with a few expected rotations due to fatigue from the congested qualifiers.


Poland U21 should field their established 4-4-2, blending defensive solidity with creative width. Players like Tomasz Pienko and Antoni Kozubal anchor the midfield, providing transitions and attacking impetus. Wiktor Bogacz is the focal point in attack with support likely from a rotating selection of young forwards. Stability in the backline is expected, with Luberecki and Gurgul among regulars. This blend has paid dividends, reflected in both clean sheets and high offensive output.

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Poland U21. Source: Official Website

Poland U21. Source: Official Website


My take on the Match

My main pick is a confident Poland U21 win, taking the -1.5 Asian Handicap. The Poles have too much depth, pace, and tactical assurance for a North Macedonia side that struggles to keep games tight and creates few chances. Poland’s midfield superiority and aggressive pressing are likely to overwhelm North Macedonia, leading to a multi-goal margin victory. For those seeking additional value, ‘over 2.5 goals’ is attractive given Poland’s free-scoring ways and North Macedonia’s defensive lapses. Expect Poland’s unbeaten run to continue with a professional and dominant performance.

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