Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction: 24.01.2026 Eredivisie 2025/26

Nijmegen will host PEC Zwolle in an intriguing Eredivisie matchup at Stadion de Goffert on January 24, 2026, as both teams look to solidify their positions heading into the second half of the season. While Nijmegen currently enjoys a strong campaign with a solid grip on fourth place, PEC Zwolle is striving for mid-table security. The fixture is not just a routine league encounter—it could become a benchmark either for Nijmegen’s push towards the European places or Zwolle’s capacity to disrupt higher-ranked opposition. Recent meetings between these sides have been remarkably close, making this fixture one to watch closely.

Key players to watch include Nijmegen’s versatile midfielder Kodai Sano—who has scored and provided crucial tackles in recent outings—and for PEC Zwolle, attacker Shola Shoretire, whose three goals in his last two games underline his match-winning potential. These individuals have consistently influenced tight matches like this, and their performances could tip the balance.

A hot stat heading into this clash: Nijmegen boast a 100% win rate over the last two matches, highlighting the team’s impressive start to 2026 and reinforcing their status as match favorites.

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Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle prediction

Given both teams’ recent form and underlying stats, the best value for this match is backing Nijmegen to win, possibly with an Asian Handicap or Draw No Bet to manage risk. Nijmegen comes into this fixture off the back of two consecutive wins and an overall unbeaten streak in their last five matches. Their attack—powered by Sano, Onal, and Proper—has been clinical, and the side has consistently created high-quality chances, reflected by 21 total shots across recent fixtures and a robust 100% win rate this year. PEC Zwolle, meanwhile, have only won once in their last three games and showed defensive vulnerability, conceding 40 goals over 19 matches this season.

From a tactical perspective, both teams commonly deploy the 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing midfield control and wide attacks. Nijmegen’s discipline, reflected in only 2 yellow cards in their last five outings, could grant them a critical edge, while their accurate passing (averaging nearly 80% in recent matches) should help maintain possession and prevent Zwolle from establishing a rhythm. PEC Zwolle, by contrast, commit more fouls (23 in their last five), which could lead to dangerous set-piece opportunities for the home side. Combined, these trends point towards a lively encounter, but one where Nijmegen’s control and recent attacking form give them a distinct advantage.

Team Analysis

Nijmegen has demonstrated impressive momentum. In their last match, a 2-1 victory over De Treffers, they showcased resilience—coming from behind to secure all three points. Prior to that, an action-packed 4-3 win against NAC Breda further highlighted their attacking prowess and intent to remain in the top four. Nijmegen’s strength lies in their effective use of midfield runners and intelligent positional play, making them difficult to break down. Their last five matches have all featured goals, reflecting the team’s healthy attacking intent balanced by occasional defensive lapses.

PEC Zwolle enter this fixture after a commendable 3-1 home win over AZ Alkmaar but have generally struggled to string positive results together, as indicated by their 33% win rate in the past 30 days. Their 1-1 draw with Twente was a solid technical showcase, but lapses in defending have been costly across the season. Zwolle’s attack, buoyed by Shola Shoretire’s recent form, can cause problems, but the defense has to be more robust to resist Nijmegen’s high press. Set-pieces and transitions remain a strength, and if capitalized upon, could keep Zwolle in the match longer than most expect.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Nijmegen vs PEC Zwolle stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Nijmegen the favourite

• Moneyline Nijmegen 1.46 | PEC Zwolle 6.00
• Draw 4.75
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.58 | Under 2.5 2.35
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.70 | No 2.00

Bookmakers overwhelmingly favor Nijmegen due to their current top-four placement, high win rate, and home advantage. The odds on Zwolle are notably long, reflecting their inconsistent form and leaky defense. Value can be found on Nijmegen’s side either on the outright or with a moderate handicap, while the goal markets anticipate an open, attacking encounter—backed up by both sides’ recent offensive output.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Nijmegen possible starting eleven

This lineup reflects Nijmegen’s regular 4-2-3-1, maximizing their control in central areas and offering width in attack. Cillessen brings vital experience in goal, while Sandler and Willems anchor a disciplined defense. Proper and Sano—both in top form as key playmakers and tacklers—are crucial in linking defense with attack. Onal and Ogawa provide speed and finishing up front. Expect Sano’s advanced movement and set-piece contribution to be especially influential.

PEC Zwolle possible starting eleven

PEC Zwolle’s lineup, most likely in a 4-2-3-1, leans on Shola Shoretire’s dynamism up front and Thomas’ composure in midfield. The back line, with MacNulty and Graves Jensen, will be tested but has shown resilience in patches. Floranus supports with forward runs, while Namli’s creativity and Shoretire’s directness present real threats on the counter. Expect them to cede more possession but look to strike quickly in transition.

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My take on the Match

My main pick is Nijmegen to win comfortably, possibly by more than one goal. The data overwhelmingly points to Nijmegen’s superiority in form, squad strength, and recent attacking consistency. Their tactical discipline and home advantage further reinforce the likelihood of a decisive result, while PEC Zwolle’s tendency to concede against top-half sides is a red flag. Expect goals, entertaining football, and a further boost to Nijmegen’s European ambitions.

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