Liam Duckstein
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Nijmegen host Olympiacos at Stadion de Goffert in the second leg of their UEFA Champions League 2026/27 Third Qualifying Round tie. The first leg at the Georgios Karaiskakis Stadium finished 0-0, meaning everything is still wide open as these two sides meet again. Nijmegen, making their debut appearance in the Champions League qualifying rounds, face a Greek side with far more European experience and a world club ranking nearly 140 places higher. That gap in pedigree makes this one of the more intriguing ties at this stage of the competition.
Keep an eye on Tjaronn Chery for Nijmegen. The midfielder leads the team in pass accuracy across recent matches and brings directness in tight spaces. For Olympiacos, Dani García in midfield has been a constant presence, completing 92% of his passes over the last three games while absorbing pressure and dictating tempo from deep.
A striking stat from recent Nijmegen matches: they scored seven goals in a single game against Al-Fayha, yet have managed just one goal across their other four most recent fixtures. That inconsistency in front of goal is worth noting heading into a high-stakes tie where margins are thin.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Champions League 2026/27 Third Qualifying Round |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 11.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 19:30 CEST |
Nijmegen vs Olympiacos Prediction
With the aggregate score locked at 0-0, Nijmegen must push forward at home, which suits a tie that could open up. Both teams have been cautious in their recent European meetings, but the home crowd and the need for a result should push Nijmegen to take more risks. Olympiacos, for their part, are compact and patient, and they know a draw takes the tie to extra time in their favor as a more experienced side.
Nijmegen’s attack has been misfiring. In five recent matches they managed just 53 total shots and only one goal outside that Al-Fayha outlier. Olympiacos haven’t been prolific either, with zero goals in their last three matches and just 33 total shots in five games. Both teams struggle to convert, which points firmly toward a low-scoring affair.
Nijmegen average 4.4 yellow cards per five matches, while Olympiacos average 6, suggesting the Greek side plays with a more physical edge. Nijmegen commit slightly more fouls on average (44 total across five matches versus 34 for Olympiacos), but Olympiacos earn more free kicks (43 to 34), meaning they work hard to win set-piece opportunities. With Olympiacos holding a pass accuracy edge in their defensive shape and Nijmegen’s attack misfiring, the game has the feel of a tight, low-scoring contest where a single goal could decide the tie.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Olympiacos to qualify (advance to next round) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Nijmegen’s recent form has been inconsistent. They picked up wins against Al-Fayha and showed moments of quality, but losses to Telstar, Sevilla, and Elversberg paint a picture of a side that struggles against quality opposition. In their most recent outing, they fell 1-2 to Telstar, which is a concerning result ahead of a European tie of this magnitude. Their defensive shape has been shaky, conceding in four of their last five matches. Dick Schreuder’s side will need to be much more disciplined at the back to avoid going out on the night.
Olympiacos have also had a mixed recent run. They lost 0-3 to Antwerp and 0-1 to Ajax in recent friendlies, and were beaten 2-3 by AZ Alkmaar. Their only win in the last five came against Fortuna Sittard. José Luis Mendilibar’s side has kept the tie alive with their disciplined defensive display in the first leg, and they will look to replicate that compact structure on the road. Their lack of goals is a concern, but their defensive solidity and experience in European knockout football gives them an edge over Nijmegen in terms of managing big occasions.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides have met three times in total, with Olympiacos winning the only game that produced goals. The two recent qualifying legs have both ended goalless.
| Statistic | Nijmegen | Olympiacos |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Nijmegen vs Olympiacos stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Olympiacos the Favourite
- Moneyline Nijmegen 2.70 | Olympiacos 2.57
- Draw 3.10
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The bookmakers make Olympiacos a marginal favorite at around 37% implied probability, with Nijmegen close behind at 35%. The near-even split reflects how difficult this tie is to call, but Olympiacos’s European experience and their ability to stay organized in away fixtures gives them a slight edge that the market is correctly identifying. We predict the value sits with Olympiacos on the moneyline at odds around 2.57, given the home side’s struggles to score consistently against quality opposition.
Possible Starting Lineups
Nijmegen Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Gonzalo Alejandro Crettaz Ortega
- DF: Philippe Sandler, Deveron Fonville, Brayann Pereira, Thomas Ouwejan
- MF: Darko Nejašmić, Jamiro Monteiro, Tjaronn Chery, Noe Lebreton
- FW: Clement Bischoff, Bryan Linssen
Nijmegen have been consistent in their 4-2-3-1 shape, and we expect Schreuder to stick with it here. Gonzalo Crettaz Ortega has been the first-choice goalkeeper across recent matches. Deveron Fonville and Darko Nejašmić lead the team in passing volume, providing the platform to build from the back. Tjaronn Chery is the player to watch in the attacking midfield role, bringing the most direct threat from distance. Bryan Linssen offers movement up front, though his output in recent games has been limited. Dušan Tadić, with an assist in his last three appearances, could also factor off the bench if Nijmegen need a creative spark.
Olympiacos Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Balša Popović
- DF: Rodinei, Lorenzo Pirola, Bruno Onyemaechi, Pablo Maffeo
- MF: Dani García, Chiquinho, Christos Mouzakitis, Kostas Fortounis
- FW: Ayoub El Kaabi, Joel Roca
Olympiacos line up in a 4-2-3-1 as well, mirroring Nijmegen’s preferred structure. Balša Popović has made 12 saves across recent matches and is the clear first choice between the posts. Dani García anchors the midfield with composure, completing over 90% of his passes and keeping the team organized in defensive transitions. Ayoub El Kaabi leads the attacking line and will be the focal point when Olympiacos look to hit on the counter. Pablo Maffeo brings defensive intensity down the right flank, and his ability to win duels in wide areas could be key to shutting down Nijmegen’s attacking outlets.
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Olympiacos. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
This tie has the hallmarks of a cautious, low-scoring second leg. Both teams have struggled to find the net consistently in recent weeks, and the first meeting between them produced no goals at all. Nijmegen are playing on home soil and need to attack, but their conversion rate in meaningful matches has been poor.
Olympiacos carry more European nous. Mendilibar’s side knows how to manage a tie like this, staying compact and waiting for moments to punish mistakes on the break. Their midfield structure, led by Dani García, should keep Nijmegen’s attack at arm’s length for long stretches.
We predict Olympiacos to win 1-0, advancing on aggregate through a single away goal. The Greek side’s defensive solidity, combined with Nijmegen’s misfiring attack, makes a clean sheet for Olympiacos a realistic outcome. To be honest, this feels like a tie where Olympiacos’s experience in European pressure situations is the deciding factor. Our tip is Olympiacos to qualify, with Under 2.5 goals as the supporting market.
