Nice vs Roma Prediction: 24.09.2025 UEFA Europa League

Brann Stadion in Bergen plays host to an intriguing Europa League league-phase clash as Nice welcome Roma on 24 September 2025. While both sides have a continental pedigree, their current trajectories couldn’t be more different—Nice eager to rediscover consistency after a mixed run, while Roma arrive boasting an impressive win rate and growing momentum under Gian Piero Gasperini. This isn’t just another fixture; it’s a litmus test for Nice’s resilience against a Roma side increasingly tipped for a deep European run.

All eyes will naturally focus on creative dynamo Jérémie Boga, who’s been Nice’s spark up front with crucial goals and relentless drive, and Roma’s Matias Soule, whose direct play and scoring knack make him a genuine match-winner. Their ability to turn half-chances into moments of brilliance could well prove decisive.

Notably, Nice have managed six goals in their last five outings despite facing stiffer opposition, displaying an attacking mentality. But here’s the hot stat: Roma have racked up a 75% win rate in the last 30 days—an ominous sign for any hosts!

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Nice vs Roma prediction

Roma enter the contest as favourites, bolstered by a formidable 75% recent win rate and defensive resolve; their balanced 3-4-3 setup stifles opponents and enables quick transitions, particularly with Soule orchestrating attacks. Nice have shown themselves dangerous on the counter, with six goals in five matches—yet defensive lapses (11 yellow cards and 53 fouls in the same span) have cost them dearly.

Given the styles, expect Roma to dictate ball possession through composure in midfield (higher interception and pass stats) while Nice’s aggressive approach could result in both scoring and disciplinary action. This suggests value in ‘Both Teams to Score’ and corners, with Nice’s wingbacks contributing to attacking forays.

Roma’s finishing has been less prolific (just three goals in five), but their consistency and deeper squad rotations are likely to make the difference. A Roma win with “Draw No Bet” additional cover looks the optimal play, considering Nice’s unpredictability at home.

Team Analysis

Nice: Recent games and analysis
Nice’s last five matches have been a rollercoaster: a demoralizing 1-4 home defeat to Brest underscored struggles against direct, high-press outfits but was sandwiched between tightly contested wins, including a 1-0 over Nantes and 3-1 over Auxerre. Boga (2 goals) and Terem Moffi (2 goals) remain Nice’s focal points, but defensive organisation has wavered, as 11 yellow cards, 53 fouls, and 24 corners conceded highlight discipline and set-piece vulnerability.

Roma: Recent games and analysis
Roma’s recent form exudes determination: key victories against Lazio (1-0) and Bologna (1-0), both hard-fought against top-half Serie A rivals, paired with tidy if unspectacular triumphs over Pisa. While goals have been scarce, there’s resilience—a tactical flexibility under Gasperini, with Soule and Pellegrini linking efficiently, and Svilar marshalling a diligent back line. Only five yellow cards and 58 fouls in the last five show discipline amid midfield duels.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Nice vs Roma stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma the favourite

• Moneyline Nice 3.12 | Roma 2.26
• Draw 3.46
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.97 | Under 2.5 1.81
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.68 | No 2.05

The bookmakers give Roma a clear edge, a fair reflection of their recent supremacy—especially with a 42% predicted win probability. Nice’s attacking intent keeps their price short, yet the visitors’ tighter defence and efficient midfield account for their favourite tag. The high value on “Both Teams to Score” and “Over 2.5” reflects both sides’ recent attacking frequency and defensive vulnerabilities. punters, take note: this sets up for an open and engaging contest.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Nice possible starting eleven

Franck Haise is likely to stick with his recent 3-4-2-1 system but could flex to a 3-4-3 to spark final-third movement. Yehvann Diouf’s command and distribution from the back have been vital, with Bah and Oppong offering width and defensive mettle. The midfield quartet retains energy and bite—Boudaoui and Louchet critical in transition—and expect Boga and Moffi’s pace to stretch Roma’s lines. Key player watch: Jérémie Boga, whose directness against Roma’s back three will be pivotal.

Roma possible starting eleven

Roma’s 3-4-3, fielded by Gasperini, looks nailed-on: Svilar is trusted between the sticks, with the defensive brain of Mancini, NDicka, and Angeliño marshalling the line. Koné and Cristante shore up the midfield, with Ferguson expected to drift wide, giving Soule and Pellegrini license to exploit spaces behind Nice’s full-backs. Watch for Paulo Dybala’s creativity—if he’s on form, Roma will dominate both tempo and territory.

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My take on the Match

Romantic in spirit but clinical in assessment, I see Roma edging this contest—likely by the thinnest of margins. Their tactical discipline, depth, and key performers in the likes of Soule and Pellegrini tip the scales, though Nice’s pace on the counter ensures this won’t be a cakewalk. If Nice sharpen their set-piece defending and keep composure, they’ll push Roma all the way, but the visitors’ recent European nous and formality in tight games hint at an away victory. Expect an energetic, evenly balanced, and tactically rich spectacle—exactly the kind of footballing chess match that keeps Europe’s nights glittering.

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