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Newells Old Boys vs Tigre Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Argentine Primera Division Match - 11.10.2025

09.10.2025, 12:02

On the crisp spring evening of October 11, 2025, Estadio Marcelo Bielsa in Rosario will once again play host to high-octane Argentine football as Newells Old Boys welcome Tigre for a pivotal Regular Season clash in the Argentine Primera Division. The match is scheduled to kick off at 00:30 CEST, an apt stage for two clubs pushing for crucial points as the campaign moves toward its defining weeks.
Cristian Fabbiani’s Newells Old Boys, navigating a challenging season so far, look for form and redemption on home turf. Diego Dabove’s Tigre, meanwhile, have been showing greater consistency, climbing the standings and aiming to solidify their place among Argentina’s top sides. With both squads featuring a blend of emerging talents and seasoned campaigners, tactical intrigue and emotional intensity are all but assured.

The spotlight falls on Newells’ veteran midfield orchestrator Éver Banega—whose vision and composure under pressure provide a steady heartbeat even when results falter—and Tigre’s dynamic forward Ignacio Russo, whose incisive runs and recent scoring touch have made him a match-winner in tightly contested fixtures. Despite Newells’ recent struggles, their ability to carve out chances remains potent, while Tigre’s clinical transitions have posed problems for higher-ranked sides all season.

Hot stat: Remarkably, Newells Old Boys have managed only one victory from their last five matches, conceding a staggering nine goals in their three defeats, while Tigre, by contrast, have lost only once in five, recording consecutive clean sheets against Aldosivi and Central Cordoba.

17:30Finished10.10.2025
1TigreArgentina

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Newells Old Boys vs Tigre predictions

Me best bet: Both Teams To Score – YES
Given the attacking profiles and statistical records of both teams, the best value bet for this encounter is on both sides finding the back of the net. Newells Old Boys, despite their current winless run, continue to commit numbers forward and accumulate high shot volumes (47 total shots in their last five matches). Tigre, meanwhile, have demonstrated reliability in transition, netting in key moments—even in difficult away fixtures. A porous Newells defense (nine goals conceded in last five games) supports the forecast of goals at both ends.

Analyzing playing styles, Newells Old Boys’ 4-4-2 formation has often left them vulnerable out wide, reflected in their 59 fouls and 13 yellow cards across the last five fixtures, hinting at a lack of midfield control and reactive defending. Their pass accuracy lags behind Tigre’s, and repeated defensive openings have put pressure on keeper Juan Espinola.
On the other side, Tigre—operating most recently in a fluid 3-4-2-1—excel at regaining possession quickly (36 interceptions in five matches) and exploiting space with committed wide play, yet their aggressive stance (41 fouls, 11 yellow cards) means they can be exposed themselves, especially on the break. Ultimately, the match dynamic is likely to produce both goals and moments of high drama.

  • ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
  • 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
  • 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Newells Old Boys vs Tigre Most recent H2Hs

Statistic Newells Old Boys Tigre
Goals 2+1=3 0+0=0
Total shots 18 13
Free kicks 21 25
Corner kicks 13 7
Total fouls 28 30
Pass accuracy (%) 74 71
Interceptions 15 18
Offsides 5 6

Reviewing their last two head-to-heads, Newells Old Boys have prevailed without conceding, though both encounters were tightly contested and defensively intense. Neither side dominated possession for long stretches, but Newells’ ability to capitalize on key chances—especially at home—proved decisive, with Tigre struggling to convert opportunities despite promising build-up play.
🚨Read our full Newells Old Boys vs Tigre stats for more analysis.

Newells Old Boys. Source: Official Website

Newells Old Boys. Source: Official Website

Key Stats

  • Tigre are unbeaten in four of their last five away matches in all competitions
  • Newells Old Boys have conceded at least two goals in three of their last five fixtures
  • Combined, these squads have averaged 19 shots per match over their recent meetings
  • Across the Argentine Primera Division, Tigre’s 3-4-2-1 system yields one of the league’s higher wide-possession percentages
  • Newells have picked up 13 yellow cards over their last five, emphasizing defensive frailty and disciplinary risks

Newells Old Boys vs Tigre score prediction: 1-2

Forecasting a 1-2 away victory for Tigre. Ruscio and Cabrera, two of the visitors’ most influential attacking players, are likely to test Newells’ shaky back line, while Banega and González will shoulder creative responsibilities for the home side. Expect Newells to threaten—especially from set-pieces—but Tigre’s clinical edge and superior away form tip the balance in their favor.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Newells Old Boys the favourite

Moneyline Newells Old Boys 2.62 | Tigre 3.00
Draw 2.85
Over/Under Over 2.5 2.10 | Under 2.5 1.75
BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.88 | No 1.90

The markets narrowly install Newells Old Boys as favorites, largely due to their home advantage and marginally superior historical record against Tigre. However, with a high draw probability and closely matched odds for Tigre, bookmakers clearly expect a tight contest. The value on BTTS (Yes) and Over 2.5 goals underscores expectations of attacking football and defensive frailties on both sides.

Newells Old Boys vs Tigre Over/Under Analysis

  • Over 2.5 goals has landed in three of Newells’ last five home fixtures
  • Tigre’s matches have seen both teams score in four of their last five outings
  • Tigre have failed to keep a clean sheet only once in their last five games
  • Newells’ recent defensive lapses increase the likelihood of a high-scoring match

Newells Old Boys Preview

Newells Old Boys come into this fixture desperate to spark a late-season turnaround after picking up just one victory from their last five matches. The 0-5 defeat against Boca Juniors showcased all the defensive frailties that have dogged their campaign—poor marking, slow defensive transitions, and ill-discipline in critical phases. Their 1-1 draw with Estudiantes LP was a testament to their resilience, but going forward, the side has struggled for consistent end product despite high shot creation numbers. Fabbiani is expected to rely on Banega’s deep-lying distribution and González’s movement in the final third, hoping to capitalize on set-pieces and rare open-play opportunities.

18:00Finished05.10.2025
5Boca JuniorsArgentina

Newells Old Boys possible starting eleven:

  • GK: Juan Espinola
  • DF: Luciano Lollo, Víctor Cuesta, Jherson Mosquera, Alejo Montero
  • MF: Éver Banega, Luca Regiardo, Gonzalo Maroni, Facundo Samuel Guch
  • FW: Carlos González, Darío Benedetto

Tigre Preview

Tigre enter this contest with momentum on their side, unbeaten in four of their last five matches and boasting a solid away record. Their controlled 1-1 draw with Defensa y Justicia showed defensive solidity, while their 2-0 win over Aldosivi displayed clinical finishing and tactical discipline. Dabove’s side has been effective at spreading play wide and deploying quick vertical transitions; the midfield duo of Cabrera and López offer both defensive coverage and support for lone striker Ignacio Russo. Expect Tigre to press aggressively and seek out quick counterattacking opportunities—an approach that can exploit Newells’ evident defensive gaps.

18:00Finished03.10.2025
1TigreArgentina

Tigre possible starting eleven:

  • GK: Felipe Tomas Zenobio
  • DF: Joaquín Laso, Alan Barrionuevo, Guillermo Soto
  • MF: Elías Lautaro Cabrera, Julián López, J. Saralegui, Diego Sosa, Bruno Leyes
  • FW: Ignacio Russo, José David Romero


Tigre. Source: Official Website

Tigre. Source: Official Website


Our prediction: Who Wins?

Based on current form, tactical schemes, and personnel availability, Tigre hold the edge for this encounter. Our main pick: Tigre to win or draw (Double Chance). Their structured setup, recent run of results, and ability to unlock defences with pace and width make them well-positioned to take points from Rosario. Our dedicated AI prediction engine assigns Tigre a 38 percent win probability, with 32 percent for Newells Old Boys, and a 30 percent chance of a draw, emphasizing the finely balanced nature of this clash.
Expect a hard-fought contest, ripe with moments of individual brilliance and the ever-present drama of Argentine football at the Estadio Marcelo Bielsa.

How to watch Newells Old Boys vs Tigre

  • When? October 11, 2025 – Kick-off at 00:30 CEST
  • Where? Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario, Argentina
  • How to watch: Check local broadcast schedules; online streaming options may include Fanatiz, Paramount+, or AFA Play (subject to region)
  • Favorite: Newells Old Boys for home support; Tigre for form

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