Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes LP Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Argentine Primera Division - 26.02.2026

Argentine football returns to the historic grounds of Estadio Marcelo Bielsa in Rosario as Newells Old Boys, under Lucas Bernardi, confront Estudiantes LP, managed by Alexander Medina, in a round of Apertura Group A in the Argentine Primera Division 2026. The match will take place on February 26, 2026, kicking off at 00:30 CEST – a pivotal fixture, given both teams’ contrasting trajectories in the competition’s opening phase.

All eyes will be on key outfield talents Juan Ignacio Ramírez of Newells Old Boys and the forward Guido Carrillo of Estudiantes LP, each capable of tipping the scales with individual brilliance. Their duel in midfield and attack respectively shapes much of the creative and finishing fabric for their sides.

A standout “hot stat” from recent form: Estudiantes LP are unbeaten in their last six matches of the Apertura Group A (three wins, three draws), boasting one of the group’s sturdiest defenses with just two goals conceded in that stretch.

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Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes LP predictions

My best bet: Draw. While Newells Old Boys are searching for their first win, their two most recent draws demonstrate a resilience at home that shouldn’t be dismissed outright. Estudiantes, meanwhile, has shown defensive consistency but occasionally struggles to convert territorial dominance into clear victories away from La Plata. The bookmaker consensus also reflects a finely balanced contest, with draw the favored single outcome (33 percent) over either side. Given the compact formations (both often opting for 4-2-3-1) and historical tendency for low-scoring, closely-fought encounters, backing the draw offers the best value.

From a technical standpoint, both teams exhibit disciplined buildup with moderate ball possession. Newells’ high foul count (78 fouls and 15 yellow cards in five matches) hints at a somewhat desperate defensive approach, which may disrupt the visitors’ structured attacks but also invites set-piece danger. Estudiantes, in contrast, incurs fewer yellow cards and fouls (56, 10 respectively), suggesting more positional discipline and less defensive risk-taking. Expect this divergence in playing styles to influence the rhythm, possibly seeing Newells disrupt the flow, while Estudiantes bet on maintaining composure and control.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Under 9.5

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Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes LP Most recent H2Hs

In the most recent three meetings, both sides have been remarkably difficult to separate – twice splitting the points, and once Estudiantes running out clear winners (4-1). Statistically, Estudiantes boast a superior pass completion and shot conversion, while Newells often rely on robust defending and set-piece opportunities. This pattern reinforces the match’s unpredictable nature and the fine margins that have separated these teams historically.

🚨Read our full Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes LP stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Estudiantes LP is unbeaten in Apertura Group A (3W 3D 0L) with just 2 goals conceded in 6 matches.
• Newells Old Boys have gone seven matches without a win in all competitions.
• Estudiantes’ last three away trips yielded two clean sheets and just one goal conceded.
• Combined, their last five head-to-heads have averaged under 2.5 total goals per match.
• Newells have accumulated 15 yellow cards in their last five matches (average 3 per game).
• Estudiantes’ pass accuracy in the group is an impressive 81 percent (vs 76 percent for Newells).

Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes LP score prediction: 0-1

Expect a tactical arm-wrestle decided by fine margins. While the draw is the primary value in straight betting, Estudiantes’ recent discipline and ability to find late goals (notably through Guido Carrillo and midfield surges from Alexis Castro) point toward a narrow away win as a plausible outcome. Defensively, Leandro González Pirez anchors one of the league’s stingiest back lines, while Newells’ attack remains blunt, averaging only 0.8 goals per home fixture this term. A late set piece or transition from Estudiantes may decide it.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Estudiantes the favourite

Estudiantes LP enters as the marginal favourite with odds reflecting both their defensive solidity and Newells’ struggles. Bookmakers are cautious, however, offering substantial value on the draw due to both sides’ tendency for stalemates. Metrics on total goals strongly support a low-scoring outcome with under 2.5 the overwhelming statistical likelihood. Both teams to score (BTTS) “No” also appears justified considering Newells’ recent attacking inefficiency.

Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes LP Over/Under Analysis

• Four of the last five Newells’ matches finished with under 2.5 goals.
• Estudiantes kept four clean sheets in their last six league matches.
• Three of the past five head-to-heads have seen only one team score.
• The last encounter at Estadio Marcelo Bielsa ended in a 1-1 draw.
• Average total corners per game between the teams: 8.5, suggesting another modest set-piece count.

Newells Old Boys Preview

Winless in their opening six matches, Newells Old Boys have struggled for attacking fluidity and defensive assurance. Their last outing, a comprehensive 0-3 home defeat by Banfield, underscored these issues: Newells managed only four shots on target, conceded early, and appeared vulnerable on set pieces and in transition. Lucas Bernardi’s 4-2-3-1 structure leans heavily on midfield disruption, but discipline and cohesion remain lacking – as reflected in the high card count and persistent individual defensive errors.

Newells Old Boys possible starting eleven

Estudiantes LP Preview

Estudiantes LP have enjoyed an unbeaten start to Group A, building confidence with disciplined performances, notably a recent 1-0 home victory over Sarmiento Junin. They controlled possession, limited the opposition to speculative efforts, and found the decisive goal via Guido Carrillo – whose movement remains a constant threat. Alexander Medina’s side displays tactical flexibility but usually lines up in 4-2-3-1, relying on high pass accuracy and the experience of José Sosa and Alexis Castro to orchestrate play. Defensive solidity is maintained by Leandro González Pirez, whose leadership has proven vital in closing tight matches.

Estudiantes LP possible starting eleven

The Verdict

On behalf of the TipsGG team, our pick for this fixture is a marginal Estudiantes LP win (1-0), with a 42 percent win probability as calculated by our AI prediction engine. Estudiantes’ blend of defensive poise and reliable shot creation sets them apart, while Newells’ recent frailties suggest they may be unable to capitalize even on rare openings. Expect cautious, structured football with Estudiantes eking out a slim advantage.

How to watch Newells Old Boys vs Estudiantes LP

• When? February 26, 2026
• Kick-off time: 00:30 CEST
• Where? Estadio Marcelo Bielsa, Rosario, Argentina
• How to watch: Local Argentinian sports broadcasters and international streaming services covering the Argentine Primera Division.
• Favorite: Estudiantes LP

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