Sofia Quijada
New York Cosmos host Santos Laguna at Brann Stadion in Bergen in what is a lopsided friendly on paper. The Cosmos have managed just one win in their last five competitive outings, while Santos Laguna arrive with their own inconsistency, having lost three of their last five matches, including a 2-4 home defeat to Pachuca. The gap in club ranking between these two sides is significant, with Santos Laguna sitting far above the Cosmos in global standings, making the bookmakers’ 77% win probability for the Mexican side entirely justified.
Two players worth tracking are Santos Laguna’s attacking output under coach Renato Paiva, whose side put three past Monterrey in their most recent friendly win, and New York Cosmos forward depth under Jeff Strasser, who will need creativity to trouble a defensively organized Mexican Liga MX outfit. The Cosmos’s most recent outing ended 0-0 against Union Omaha, which underlines their attacking limitations heading into this fixture.
Hot stat: Santos Laguna scored 3-0 against Monterrey, a Liga MX rival ranked 182nd globally, in their most recent friendly win, showing they can turn it on against lower-resistance opposition. New York Cosmos, by contrast, have scored just twice across their last four matches combined.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026, June Phase |
| 🗓️ Date: | 28.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 23:00 CEST |
New York Cosmos vs Santos Laguna Prediction
Santos Laguna are the clear pick here. Despite their inconsistent form, the quality gap between a Liga MX club and a lower-ranked US side is too wide to ignore. The Cosmos have gone scoreless in three of their last five matches, and their only win in that span came against Fort Wayne FC, a side ranked even lower. Santos Laguna beat Annapolis Blues 2-0 in their most recent outing and dismantled Monterrey 3-0 in the match before that. We predict a Santos Laguna win with a comfortable margin.
Neither team has detailed shot, foul, or possession data available for their last five matches, which limits granular tactical analysis. Based on the match history and opponent quality faced, Santos Laguna appear to control games through attacking intent rather than grinding out defensive results. The Cosmos’s form string of lllwd tells a team that is struggling to string results together. Santos Laguna’s dlllldlwlwdlllw form looks erratic, but their wins have come against meaningful opposition. In a friendly setting, we expect Santos to dominate possession and convert at least twice.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Santos Laguna to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
New York Cosmos have picked up just one win from five matches in 2026, and their last 30 days tell a similar story: one win, two losses, one draw from four games. Their most recent match, a 0-0 draw with Union Omaha on June 29, followed a 0-0 stalemate against AV Alta. Before those blanks, they drew 2-2 with Forward Madison FC and beat Fort Wayne FC 2-0. The Cosmos are a side that struggles to create consistent attacking output, and their opponents in recent weeks have all been ranked far below Santos Laguna’s level.
Santos Laguna’s recent form is a mixed bag, but the quality of opponents they have faced puts their results in context. Their most recent match was a 2-0 win over Annapolis Blues, a side ranked 23,159th globally. Before that, they beat Monterrey 3-0, which is genuinely impressive given Monterrey’s Liga MX pedigree. The losses to Atletico San Luis (0-2), Atlas (0-1), and Pachuca (2-4) came against top-flight Mexican opposition. Renato Paiva’s side clearly has the tools to perform against teams at or below their level, which bodes well for this fixture against the Cosmos.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
The only recorded head-to-head meeting between these two clubs is the current fixture listed in the data, with no prior completed results available. The table below reflects the single H2H entry on record.
🚨Check out our dedicated New York Cosmos vs Santos Laguna stats page for more info.
New York Cosmos. Source: Official Website
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Santos Laguna the Favourite
- Moneyline New York Cosmos 9.00 | Santos Laguna 1.17
- Draw 6.75
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Santos Laguna at 1.17 reflects almost certainty from the market, and to be honest, it is hard to argue. The Cosmos at 9.00 is a longshot that only makes sense if Santos Laguna field a heavily rotated squad. The draw at 6.75 is similarly unattractive. The real value in this match lies in the handicap or goals markets rather than the moneyline, since the 1.17 price offers minimal return. We would look at Santos Laguna -1.5 on the Asian handicap or the “Santos to win to nil” angle as better risk-adjusted plays.
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Santos Laguna. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Santos Laguna should win this match without much difficulty. The Cosmos have scored just two goals in their last four outings, and their opponents in that stretch were all lower-ranked American sides. Santos Laguna, despite their inconsistent Liga MX results, have shown they can put three or more past quality opposition in a friendly format. New York Cosmos’s inability to create chances, combined with Santos’s attacking firepower, points firmly toward a 2-0 or 3-0 result for the Mexican side. We predict Santos Laguna to win to nil, with over 2.5 goals in the match and corners favoring the more aggressive Santos side throughout.
