Netherland (w) vs Scotland (w) Prediction: 03.06.2025 UEFA Women's Nations League

A consequential League A Group A1 encounter awaits at Brann Stadion, Bergen, as Netherland (w) look to confirm their status as group runners-up against a Scotland (w) side desperately seeking to avoid a group-stage whitewash in the UEFA Women’s Nations League. On paper, the gulf is clear: the Dutch sit second, having already overpowered the Scots in a narrow 2-1 away victory, while the visitors are yet to register a point this campaign. But with pride on the line and history beckoning, can Scotland (w) spring a surprise or will the Oranje Roar ring out once more in Bergen?

The midfield battle promises intrigue, as Sherida Spitse brings her composed passing and set-piece threat for the Dutch, while Caroline Weir so often Scotland’s creative heartbeat will be tasked with unlocking a Dutch defence that is statistically vulnerable.

One stat leaps off the page: while Scotland (w) have failed to win a single match all tournament, Netherland (w) boast a 60 percent win rate in 2025, with 10 goals in five group encounters. That offensive pedigree should prove telling.

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Netherland (w) vs Scotland (w) prediction

The odds are decidedly stacked: the Dutch come in as heavy favourites courtesy of a superior attack and a desperate Scottish side that has shipped 14 goals in five matches. Our top value prediction is Netherland (w) with an Asian Handicap -1.5, given the attacking conviction shown in their previous two fixtures against Austria (back-to-back 3-1 wins) and the lack of any positive momentum for Scotland (w).

In terms of style, expect a high-pressing, possession-driven approach from Andries Jonker’s side they averaged 447 passes per match in recent games, with consistent pass accuracy hovering near 80 percent. The Dutch are not shy of physicality either, averaging 9 fouls and picking up yellow cards in recent fixtures.

By contrast, Scotland’s 4-3-3 set-up under Shelly Kerr focuses on defensive structure, but it has all too often been overwhelmed, evidenced by low interception numbers (just 4 last match) and a meagre 2 goals from five outings. Discipline could be a factor: both teams see their share of bookings, yet the Dutch’s ball retention and superior shot-creation (10 shots last match vs 4 for Scotland) should keep play tilted firmly in their favour.

Team Analysis

Netherland (w): The Dutch bounced back from a humbling 0-4 defeat to Germany (w) with consecutive 3-1 victories over Austria (w), a much-needed tonic given the group’s quality. In those wins, Netherland (w) showcased smart link-up play and efficient finishing the hallmark of Jonker’s preferred 4-2-3-1. The defeat to Germany revealed cracks when pressed intensely, but against less aggressive opposition they controlled matches through sustained possession and superior movement off the ball. The defence will want to tighten up after conceding 9 in five matches, yet the firepower up front remains a difference-maker.

Scotland (w): It’s been a campaign to forget, with five straight losses, most recently a 0-1 home reversal to Austria (w). Despite flashes of promise, Scotland are blunt in attack just two goals in five group stage matches. Kerr’s back four has come under near-constant siege, conceding 6 against Germany in one encounter and failing to establish any rhythm in possession, averaging just 235 passes per game. Key contributors like Erin Cuthbert have had to drop deep in search of the ball, and with discipline also a worry (regular yellow cards for defenders), it’s clear where improvement is needed.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Netherland (w) vs Scotland (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Netherland (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Netherland (w) 1.18 | Scotland (w) 13.60
• Draw 7.30
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.60 | Under 2.5 2.35
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.44 | No 1.50

Bookmakers are firmly backing the Dutch the price on a home win is exceptionally short, reflecting the contrasting form and group standings. The draw is also seen as highly unlikely. The Over 2.5 market offers some value given the Dutch’s goal tally and Scotland’s porous defence. Expecting both teams to score is priced rather long, understandably so, given the Scots’ recent goal drought.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Netherland (w) possible starting eleven

With the 4-2-3-1 formation preferred by Jonker, expect Spitse’s leadership and Groenen’s control to be pivotal. Pelova’s versatility on the left and Snoeijs’ movement up front add attacking edge, while Buurman anchors the backline. The focus will be on ball circulation, quick transitions, and punishing Scottish errors Spitse and Groenen, in particular, should control the rhythm in midfield.

Scotland (w) possible starting eleven

Kerr’s likely 4-3-3 will have Howard and Corsie marshalling the centre, with Weir’s ball progression and Cuthbert’s energy essential for a competitive showing. Alexander remains a reliable last line of defence, while Emslie’s pace could offer rare moments of direct threat. However, the cohesion of this eleven will be truly tested by the Dutch attack.

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The Verdict

All signs point to a dominant Dutch display in Bergen, with the gulf in quality, form, and attacking output too substantial for Scotland (w) to bridge. My main pick is the Asian Handicap -1.5 Netherland (w). The Dutch’s structured attacking patterns, depth in midfield, and ability to turn on the style after setbacks should see them comfortable victors. If Scotland (w) are to take anything, it will require a defensive masterclass and a rare moment of attacking excellence a prospect that, based on form, feels fanciful. Supporters will be hoping for a fighting performance, but the script seems set for the Oranje to consolidate their second spot in the group with style.

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