Nantes vs Nice Prediction: 25.01.2026 Ligue 1 Preview

The Ligue 1 Regular Season continues with an intriguing fixture as Nantes host Nice at Stade de la Beaujoire. While both sides currently sit in the lower half of the table, recent performances and a dramatic 10-goal thriller between these two teams just weeks ago add a layer of excitement to this matchup. The stakes are high for Nantes, who urgently need points to stave off relegation concerns, while Nice look to build on their decent form and climb the standings under Claude Puel.

Among the standout players, Bahereba Guirassy has emerged as Nantes’ key attacking threat, netting twice in their last five fixtures, while Nice’s Sofiane Diop has been clinical up front with two goals in his last three appearances. With both sides possessing players capable of game-changing moments, expect a contest marked by direct attacking intent and midfield battles.

What’s the hot stat? Nice’s offensive prowess shines through as they’ve notched 34 corner kicks in their last five matches—a clear sign of sustained attacking pressure and a key metric for bettors focused on corner markets.

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Nantes vs Nice prediction

Given both teams’ recent defensive struggles and their spectacularly open 4-6 Coupe de France clash earlier this month, the value lies in betting on over 2.5 goals. In their last five matches, Nice have seen a total of 7 goals scored, while Nantes have conceded 10 goals (despite also winning two of their last four)—pointing to vulnerabilities at the back for both teams. The attacking trends, alongside high corner counts and yellow cards, also suggest this will be an open, intense battle with multiple scoring opportunities.

Nantes typically deploy a 4-2-3-1, focusing on quick transitions with attacking midfielder Rémy Cabella providing creative spark. Their match data (5 yellow cards and 56 total fouls in the last five league games) shows a combative approach, occasionally leading to lapses in concentration. Conversely, Nice favour a 4-3-3 focused on width, exploiting the pace of Sofiane Diop and Sepe Elye Wahi. With 9 yellow cards, 59 fouls, and a striking 34 corners in the same period, Nice’s aggressive style could overwhelm Nantes’ shaky defence but also leaves them open for counters. Expect a high-energy contest shaped by direct play and set-piece threats.

Team Analysis

Nantes come into this fixture having lost narrowly to defending champions Paris (1-2), following a resilient win over Marseille (2-0) and a five-goal show against Concarneau (5-3). Despite moments of attacking brilliance—particularly from Guirassy and winger Matthis Abline—defensive lapses have been a recurring theme, as evidenced in their lopsided 1-4 loss to Angers and the 4-6 reverse to Nice. Nantes’ play style is intense but error-prone, and while home advantage could motivate a committed display, their defence remains the chief concern.

Nice bounced back from their 1-5 defeat to Toulouse with a strong 3-1 win over GA Eagles, and a gutsy 1-1 draw at home against Strasbourg, showing improved defensive organization. Their attacking trio of Diop, Wahi, and Gouveia has provided constant movement and pressing, while midfield anchors like Sanson have helped stabilize possession. Wins have been hard-earned, but Nice look sharper in transitions and have shown they can create—and convert—chances at pace, as they did in the six-goal bonanza against Nantes.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Nantes vs Nice stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Nice the favourite

• Moneyline Nantes 2.92–3.05 | Nice 2.29–2.52
• Draw 3.30–3.55
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.03 | Under 2.5 1.77
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.67 | No 2.18

Bookmakers have Nice as slight favourites based on recent away form and their head-to-head edge, but odds for Nantes aren’t far behind—reflecting a balanced but high-scoring encounter likely. The short odds on both teams to score and over 2.5 further reinforce expectations for an open, attacking game where defensive weaknesses on both sides are likely to be exposed.

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Possible Starting Lineups

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My take on the Match

In my view, this clash promises high entertainment value and attacking flair. The safest and most lucrative bet is Over 2.5 goals, with both defences susceptible to quick transitions and creative wingers on either side. Nice’s ability to rack up corners and exploit wide spaces gives them a slight edge, but Nantes’ home advantage should not be discounted. A potential 2-2 or 3-2 result is on the cards, with Nice marginally favoured to come out on top if they maintain discipline at the back.

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