Sofia Quijada
Nacional Potosi host Aurora at Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte in Potosí in a Bolivian Professional Football League clash that carries genuine table significance. Aurora sit third with 16 points from eight games, unbeaten so far this season, while Nacional Potosi sit eleventh with eight points and are in real danger of being dragged into the lower half. The altitude of Potosí, one of the highest stadiums in South America, is a known factor that disrupts visiting sides, yet Aurora’s form coming into this fixture is considerably stronger than the hosts’.
Rodrigo Ramallo is Aurora’s standout attacker across the last three matches, contributing two goals and one assist from 270 minutes of football. For Nacional Potosi, the creative burden falls heavily on Maicon Solis in the forward line, though his output has been limited, registering three shots across two recent appearances without converting.
Hot stat: Aurora have registered 43 total shots across their last five matches compared to Nacional Potosi’s 20, more than double the attacking volume, which strongly reflects the gap in offensive output between these two sides.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Bolivian Professional Football League 2026, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte, Potosí |
| 🗓️ Date: | 11.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
Nacional Potosi vs Aurora Prediction
Aurora’s unbeaten league record this season is the defining factor here. Coach Giancarlo Umaña’s side has not lost in eight league outings, collecting four wins and four draws, and their recent 30-day run of two wins and one draw out of three games shows consistent momentum. Nacional Potosi, by contrast, have won none of their last two and have been outscored in recent weeks, losing to Guabira and Always Ready. The bookmakers have Nacional Potosi as 55% favourites, largely on home advantage and altitude, but Aurora’s form and attacking depth make that price look inflated.
Aurora commit more fouls on average (24 across five matches vs Nacional Potosi’s 19) and have picked up seven yellow cards to Nacional Potosi’s five, suggesting a physical, pressing style. Their 1,032 pass accuracy figure versus Nacional Potosi’s 452 over five matches shows a massive gap in ball retention, which should allow Aurora to control tempo even away from home. Nacional Potosi’s two red cards in their last five matches also point to defensive fragility under pressure. We predict Aurora to avoid defeat, and the value lies with the visitors or the draw.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Aurora Double Chance (Draw or Aurora Win) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Nacional Potosi’s last five league outings have produced just two goals, and they have lost three of those five fixtures. Their most recent match, a 1-2 home defeat to Guabira on June 3, was particularly concerning given that Guabira sit seventh and arrived in poor form themselves. Before that, a 1-1 draw against Bolivar at home showed some resilience, but Bolivar are a top-two side and that draw was more a reflection of Bolivar’s off day than Nacional Potosi’s quality. Coach Alexis Márquez has struggled to generate consistent attacking output, with only 20 shots across five games and a single corner kick total, which is an unusually low number that signals limited set-piece creativity.
Aurora’s recent run has been convincing. Their latest result was a 2-1 win over Universitario de Vinto, following a 2-0 win against Tomayapo, with only a 1-1 draw against Real Oruro interrupting the sequence. The win over Universitario came against a side with a higher opponent rating (1352), which shows Aurora can handle physical, well-organised opposition. Their 4-2 win over Guabira earlier in the sequence, the same Guabira side that just beat Nacional Potosi, is a direct quality indicator. Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro leads the shot count with 10 attempts across three games, and the team’s 11 corner kicks over five matches reflects sustained attacking pressure.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Nacional Potosi | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 2 |
| Total shots | N/A | N/A |
| Free kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Corner kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Total fouls | N/A | N/A |
| Pass accuracy (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Interceptions | N/A | N/A |
| Offsides | N/A | N/A |
The two available head-to-head results both come from the 2025 Apertura season, and Nacional Potosi won both: 2-1 and 3-1. Those results skew the historical picture heavily in the hosts’ favour, and bookmakers have assigned Nacional Potosi 55-57% probability in both fixtures. The key difference this season is that Aurora are unbeaten in eight league games and are playing with far more consistency than they showed in 2025.
🚨Check out our dedicated Nacional Potosi vs Aurora stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Nacional Potosi the Favourite
- Moneyline Nacional Potosi 1.67 | Aurora 4.10
- Draw 3.85
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Nacional Potosi at 1.67 reflects the home advantage and historical head-to-head record, but that price offers poor value given their current form and Aurora’s unbeaten run. Aurora at 4.10 is generous for a side sitting third in the table with the best defensive record in the top four, having conceded just seven goals in eight games. The draw at 3.85 is the more balanced option if you expect altitude to neutralise Aurora’s attacking edge. To be honest, the Aurora Double Chance market, which combines the draw and Aurora win, is where the real value sits in this fixture.
Nacional Potosi. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Nacional Potosi Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: (starter based on squad rotation)
- DF: Edisson Restrepo, Oscar Baldomar, Luis Eduardo Demiquel Banegas
- MF: (midfield combination per coach Alexis Márquez’s setup)
- FW: Tommy Tobar, Maicon Solis, Maximiliano Núñez, C. Abastoflor
Nacional Potosi line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape. Restrepo and Baldomar have been the most consistent defensive presences, though both have picked up yellow cards in recent appearances. Maicon Solis is the player to watch in the forward line, offering the most shot output of the attacking group. Abastoflor has played two matches but registered no stats in terms of shots or passes, suggesting a limited role, perhaps as a wide option or late substitute.
Aurora Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Joel Isaías Terrázas García
- DF: I. Vidaurre, Sebastian Altamirano, Pablo Lopez Quinteros
- MF: Alfredo Amarilla, L. Viviani, Ariel Flores
- FW: Rodrigo Ramallo, Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro, Michael Rangel, Denis Olivera
Aurora operate in a 4-2-3-1 formation under Giancarlo Umaña. Joel Isaías Terrázas García starts in goal. Vidaurre and Altamirano anchor the defensive line with solid pass accuracy figures and consistent interception numbers. Alfredo Amarilla is the key midfield organiser with 98 passes and 84% accuracy across three games, and he has been disciplined despite picking up one yellow card. Rodrigo Ramallo is the clear danger man up front with two goals and one assist across three appearances. Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro leads the team in shots with 10 and will look to exploit Nacional Potosi’s defensive vulnerabilities.
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Aurora. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Nacional Potosi’s home record and head-to-head wins from 2025 make them the bookmakers’ pick, but the stats from this season tell a different story. Aurora have not lost in eight league games, score goals freely (14 in eight matches), and carry far more attacking threat per game than their hosts. Nacional Potosi have scored just nine goals in seven matches and have been shutting down in recent weeks, failing to win any of their last two. Aurora’s 43 shots across five recent games versus Nacional Potosi’s 20 is a gap that is hard to overlook.
We predict Aurora to win or draw this match, making the Aurora Double Chance the top pick. Over 2.5 goals is also a strong secondary option given Aurora’s attacking output and Nacional Potosi’s tendency to concede. Both teams to score is worth considering, as Nacional Potosi have managed to get on the scoresheet in recent home games despite their overall struggles.
