Sofia Quijada
This upcoming clash between Nacional Potosi and Aurora stands as a pivotal fixture in the Bolivian Professional Football League regular season. Both teams are eager to solidify their positions in the standings, especially with the home side looking to rebound after recent stumbles. The pressure falls on Nacional Potosi to capitalize on their home advantage at the high-altitude Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte, a known hurdle for traveling teams. The matchup highlights attacking midfielder L. Viviani for Aurora, who has scored three goals in his last four matches, and Nacional Potosi’s reliable defender Luis Eduardo Demiquel Banegas, whose defensive contributions and leadership at the back could be decisive.
Aurora’s recent surge in attack, netting four goals in their last outing, stands out as a hot stat and could challenge Nacional Potosi’s defense.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Bolivian Professional Football League 2026 – Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Victor Agustín Ugarte, Potosi |
| 🗓️ Date: | 09.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:00 CEST |
Nacional Potosi vs Aurora prediction
We predict Nacional Potosi will take the win in this matchup. The home advantage at altitude, combined with Aurora’s tendency to draw on the road and their relatively low win rate this year, tilts the odds heavily towards the hosts. Nacional Potosi have shown inconsistency but maintain a higher shot count and better defensive metrics in recent matches. Their structure in the 4-2-3-1 formation often translates into midfield control and more chances created.
Both teams play with intensity but lack discipline: Nacional Potosi have accumulated eight yellow cards and two reds in their last five matches, while Aurora have seven yellows and two reds. High foul counts (41 and 39, respectively) suggest a scrappy match, with frequent interruptions. Nacional Potosi edge Aurora in pass accuracy and defensive interceptions, signaling better control in transition phases. These factors, alongside Aurora’s four draws in their last five, suggest a likely home win with moderate scoring and a good chance both teams find the net.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw at halftime |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Nacional Potosi’s recent matches showcase volatility: a 1-3 home defeat to Always Ready followed a 1-1 stalemate against GV San Jose and a narrow 1-2 loss to Blooming. The side managed a 1-0 win over Universitario de Vinto, showing occasional defensive solidity. In their most recent fixture against Always Ready, Nacional Potosi struggled with defensive shape and conceded three goals, highlighting ongoing issues with quick transitions and set pieces. Their attack can generate shots, but efficiency in front of goal remains inconsistent.
Aurora enter this game after a morale-boosting 4-2 win over Guabira, capping a sequence featuring multiple draws (1-1 vs GV San Jose, 1-1 vs Always Ready, 0-0 vs Real Potosi) and a 3-1 victory over SA Bulo Bulo. Their attack appears rejuvenated, with L. Viviani central to most goal-scoring moves, while Rodrigo Ramallo’s creativity and work rate consistently unsettle defenses. Aurora’s main weakness is converting dominance into wins, evidenced by four draws in their last five matches, often conceding in the second half.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Nacional Potosi | Aurora |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 2 |
| Total shots | 48 | 53 |
| Free kicks | 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks | 19 | 15 |
| Total fouls | 41 | 39 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 82.3 | 81.8 |
| Interceptions | 38 | 24 |
| Offsides | 8 | 6 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Nacional Potosi vs Aurora stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Nacional Potosi the favourite
- Moneyline Nacional Potosi 1.72 | Aurora 4.20
- Draw 3.90
- Over/Under Over 2.5 1.95 | Under 2.5 1.80
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.68 | No 2.05
Nacional Potosi’s odds reflect strong home favoritism, given their altitude advantage and higher win rate. Aurora’s low win probability and high draw count push the price out for an away win. Over 2.5 goals is a fair market considering both sides’ recent scoring trends, while both teams to score is backed by their attacking records and defensive lapses.
Possible Starting Lineups
Nacional Potosi possible starting eleven
- GK: Edisson Restrepo
- DF: Oscar Baldomar, Luis Eduardo Demiquel Banegas, Javier Guerra, Edisson Restrepo
- MF: Maximiliano Núñez, Maicon Solis, Tommy Tobar, C. Abastoflor
- FW: Tommy Tobar, Maximiliano Núñez
Restrepo should remain the first-choice goalkeeper. Demiquel Banegas anchors the backline, likely paired with Baldomar and Guerra. The midfield sees Núñez and Solis for control and distribution. Tobar and Abastoflor offer width and attacking support, with Tobar also contributing up front. Expect a 4-2-3-1 formation, maximizing midfield strength and flexibility.
Aurora possible starting eleven
- GK: Joel Isaías Terrázas García
- DF: I. Vidaurre, Sebastian Altamirano, Pablo Lopez Quinteros, Denis Olivera
- MF: Alfredo Amarilla, Ariel Flores, L. Viviani, Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro
- FW: Rodrigo Ramallo, Michael Rangel
Terrázas García stands in goal, with Vidaurre, Altamirano, Lopez Quinteros, and Olivera forming the defensive core. Amarilla and Flores stabilize midfield, Viviani brings a goal threat, and Terrazas Castro supports the attack. Ramallo leads the line with Rangel. Aurora are expected to maintain their 4-4-2 shape, relying on Viviani’s dynamism and Ramallo’s creativity.
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Aurora. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Nacional Potosi to win, capitalizing on home altitude and Aurora’s tendency to drop points away. Aurora’s improved attack should see them score, but their vulnerability in transition and set pieces opens the door for Nacional Potosi to exploit. Expect both teams to score, with the home side edging a lively contest.
