We crunched the numbers – over 73,000 tips in November 2025 from TipsGG and found the 20 most-backed teams that month. Some names are obvious (Manchester City, Arsenal). Others? Less so. Atletico Madrid with a 100% win rate when tipped? Napoli getting backed despite losing more than they win? The numbers don’t lie—even when they’re confusing.
Below, the raw data. After that, our team’s notes on what stands out (and what doesn’t).
| Club | Tips | Home Tips | Away Tips | Avg Odds | Wins | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City | 357 | 312 | 45 | 1.41 | 240 | 67.23% |
| Arsenal | 341 | 98 | 243 | 1.46 | 261 | 76.54% |
| Real Madrid | 319 | 61 | 258 | 1.54 | 136 | 42.63% |
| Atletico Madrid | 306 | 262 | 44 | 1.57 | 306 | 100.00% |
| Barcelona | 291 | 168 | 123 | 1.53 | 205 | 70.45% |
| Real Betis | 277 | 224 | 53 | 1.64 | 192 | 69.31% |
| Paris Saint Germain | 275 | 209 | 66 | 1.45 | 220 | 80.00% |
| Aston Villa | 271 | 221 | 50 | 1.57 | 257 | 94.83% |
| Juventus | 258 | 130 | 128 | 1.74 | 119 | 46.12% |
| Bayern Munich | 258 | 180 | 78 | 1.50 | 203 | 78.68% |
| Crystal Palace | 257 | 163 | 94 | 1.89 | 163 | 63.42% |
| Chelsea | 253 | 77 | 176 | 1.63 | 177 | 69.96% |
| Roma | 248 | 132 | 116 | 1.81 | 213 | 85.89% |
| Inter | 242 | 149 | 93 | 1.37 | 202 | 83.47% |
| Porto | 241 | 156 | 85 | 1.55 | 180 | 74.69% |
| Liverpool | 232 | 204 | 28 | 1.54 | 99 | 42.67% |
| Flamengo RJ | 227 | 70 | 157 | 1.81 | 114 | 50.22% |
| Lille | 225 | 158 | 67 | 1.68 | 186 | 82.67% |
| Napoli | 216 | 203 | 13 | 1.72 | 97 | 44.91% |
| Newcastle | 216 | 80 | 136 | 1.73 | 89 | 41.20% |
Notes & Observations by TipsGG
Atletico Madrid’s perfect record is a mirage. 306 tips, 306 wins. Sounds impossible. It’s not—because 262 of those tips were for home games. Simeone’s side are fortress-like at the Metropolitano but away? Just 44 tips, and we bet those punters regretted it. The market’s overcorrecting for their home dominance while ignoring their away frailties. We think this is the month it backfires.
Arsenal’s away tip volume is bizarre. 243 away tips vs. 98 at home. That’s backwards for most clubs. Then again, Arteta’s side have been oddly more reliable on the road this season—less pressure, more counterattacking freedom. Still, 1.46 avg odds for a team that wins 76% of tipped matches? The value might be drying up.
Liverpool’s home/away split is extreme. 204 tips at Anfield. 28 away. That’s not just home bias—that’s desperation. Slot’s side have been Jekyll and Hyde, and punters are only backing one version. Smart? Maybe. But with Salah firing again, maybe the away tips start creeping up.
Bayern’s home dominance is underrated. 180 home tips. 78 away. 78% win rate overall. The Kane effect is real, but it’s the machine-like efficiency at the Allianz that’s keeping them in the top 10. Until the injuries hit—then all bets are off.
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