Morocco vs Paraguay Prediction: 31.03.2026 International Friendly

The International Friendly fixture between Morocco and Paraguay on 31 March 2026 at Brann Stadion in Bergen presents a fascinating encounter for football fans and betting enthusiasts alike. Both national sides are currently shaping their squads ahead of major tournaments, making every friendly an opportunity to refine tactics and integrate emerging talents. One interesting aspect to watch is how the tactical discipline of both teams – both recently favoring a 4-2-3-1 formation – will play out when faced with each other’s contrasting footballing cultures.

Key players expected to influence proceedings include Achraf Hakimi for Morocco, whose defensive solidity and attacking surges down the right flank provide both security and penetration, and Paraguay’s likely midfield orchestrator, whose recent form hints at a pivotal creative role. These individuals’ performances could well sway the momentum in a contest where contrasting playing styles are set to collide.

The most outstanding stat to note is Morocco’s resilience at the back, demonstrated by a run of five consecutive matches conceding just a single goal, and capped by a 3-0 win over Senegal. That defensive structure may prove crucial against a Paraguay side still searching for consistent attacking output.

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Morocco vs Paraguay prediction

The best value prediction for this encounter is a Morocco win or Draw No Bet on Morocco. The North African team has demonstrated greater consistency and tactical structure in their recent outings, especially highlighted by their recent clean sheets and superior win percentage in 2026 (three wins from five). Paraguay may have won their most recent fixture against Greece, but a lack of consistent goal output and limited match rhythm this year places them at a slight disadvantage.

Regarding team style, Morocco’s approach has revolved around solid defensive lines, with low foul count and disciplined midfield play. Their matches have not featured an excess of yellow cards, suggesting a controlled and strategic pressing game. On the other hand, Paraguay has put less focus on aggressive pressing, as seen in their fewer fouls and cards, but that also reflects a potentially less combative midfield. Neither team is prone to high ball precession or dominating territory, so transitions and set-pieces could play a decisive role in the outcome.

Team Analysis

Morocco: In their most recent match, a 1-1 draw against Ecuador, Morocco demonstrated their trademark defensive balance, conceding only once and maintaining a low error rate. Key contributions came from Neil El Aynaoui, who scored a crucial goal from midfield, and Achraf Hakimi, offering impetus on the right. Preceding results – a 3-0 thrashing of Senegal and a 2-0 victory over Cameroon – reinforce their increasing attacking fluidity and organized defensive core. Morocco’s ability to nullify higher-ranked opponents and secure multiple clean sheets under coach Mohamed Ouahbi is impressive and underlines their status as slight favorites in this friendly.

Paraguay: Paraguay’s last fixture was a 1-0 win over Greece. While they effectively converted one of their few chances and protected their lead, the data also shows a lack of attacking productivity (zero shots and corners in the last five matches) – a real concern against Morocco’s solid defense. Previous encounters, including a 2-1 win against Mexico and narrow defeats to the USA and South Korea, further emphasize their reliance on keeping games tight and capitalizing on isolated moments. Coach Gustavo Alfaro will be pushing for more offensive ambition but may struggle to break Morocco’s lines without a marked upturn in form.

🚨Read our full Morocco vs Paraguay stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Morocco the favourite

• Moneyline Morocco 2.24 | Paraguay 3.17
• Draw 3.23
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.70 | Under 2.5 1.44
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.21 | No 1.56

The bookmakers currently see Morocco as the slight favorite, reflected in their 42 percent win probability and shorter average odds. The low odds for under 2.5 goals mirror both teams’ defensive records and recent low-scoring matches, while the BTTS ‘No’ option is also favored. Bettors can reasonably expect a cautious tactical battle rather than an open goal-fest.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

Possible Starting Lineups

Morocco possible starting eleven

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My take on the Match

From a tactical, statistical, and squad perspective, Morocco holds the edge in this friendly. Their recent defensive form, balanced midfield, and more fluid attack suggest they can edge a low-scoring contest in Bergen. The best value play is on Morocco -0.25 Asian Handicap, with an insurance against a draw. I expect Morocco to control significant portions of the match, and for Paraguay to struggle to consistently threaten unless they display unexpected attacking verve.

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