Liam Duckstein
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Monza and Udinese meet at Stadio Brianteo on Matchday 2 of the 2026/27 Serie A season, with both sides looking for their first league win of the campaign. Monza opened with a heavy 1-4 loss to Inter, while Udinese managed a 1-1 draw against Como — a result that at least avoided defeat. The bookmakers lean toward an Udinese win, and the stats from the past 30 days back that up: Udinese carry a slightly better recent record and a significantly higher world club ranking, which makes this a fascinating home underdog scenario for Ivan Juric’s side.
Two players to watch closely are Gustavo Varela of Monza, who has scored three goals in his last two appearances and is clearly in fine form heading into this fixture, and Nicolo Zaniolo for Udinese, who leads his team in shots (10) and free kicks taken (7) over the past five matches, suggesting he is the primary creative threat for Kosta Runjaic’s side.
A hot stat worth flagging: Udinese have beaten opponents ranked far above them in recent weeks, taking down Barcelona and Nottingham Forest in back-to-back matches before the season started. That level of competition should not be underestimated when assessing their readiness for a Serie A opener.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie A 2026/27 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stadio Brianteo, Monza |
| 🗓️ Date: | 29.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:30 CEST |
Monza vs Udinese Prediction
The best value here sits with Udinese. The bookmakers price them as favorites at roughly 41% implied probability, and the underlying numbers support that view. Udinese have a 43% win rate over their last seven matches, their squad depth is stronger on paper, and their pre-season form against elite opposition shows this group is well-prepared. Monza, by contrast, were dismantled by Inter in their opener and face an early pressure situation at home.
We predict an Udinese win or at minimum a draw. Given Monza’s attacking output over five recent matches is just four goals from 29 shots, there are real concerns about their efficiency in front of goal. Udinese generated 36 shots over the same period, showing more sustained offensive intent.
On style, Monza’s 3-4-2-1 system under Juric tends to invite pressure and rely on transitions. Their foul count (26 in five matches) is lower than Udinese’s (36), but Udinese’s yellow card total (6 to Monza’s 2) suggests they press with more aggression. Monza’s pass accuracy sits below Udinese’s in raw numbers, which points to a side that may struggle to control possession against a well-organized Udinese midfield block.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Udinese to score in both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Monza’s recent form shows two wins and two losses in their last five matches, with a draw sandwiched in between. Their most significant result was the opening Serie A defeat to Inter (1-4), which exposed defensive vulnerabilities against high-quality opposition. Before that, they beat Milan Futuro 4-2 and Padova drew 3-3 with them, suggesting they can produce goals but are equally capable of conceding in bunches. The loss to Aris Thessaloniki (1-3) earlier in the run also raises questions about their consistency against motivated opponents.
Udinese come in with three wins, two losses, and two draws from their last seven. Their standout results were back-to-back wins over Barcelona (1-0) and Nottingham Forest (1-0) in what appear to be pre-season or cup fixtures. They then drew 1-1 with Como in their Serie A opener, which was not a disaster but showed they can be held. The loss to Trabzonspor (0-1) is the one blot in their recent record. Across five detailed matches, their defensive shape has been solid — 25 interceptions and a pass accuracy percentage that significantly outstrips Monza’s.
🚨Check out our dedicated Monza vs Udinese stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Udinese the Favourite
- Moneyline Monza 3.20 | Udinese 2.35
- Draw 3.15
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
The odds reflect a clear lean toward Udinese, and to be honest, the price on them around 2.35 is fair value given their recent performances and superior squad depth. Monza at 3.20 represents a small-value punt if you believe Juric can set up a resilient home structure, but the underlying stats do not fully justify backing them as the likely winners. The draw at 3.15 is worth noting given both teams’ tendency to keep scorelines tight in competitive fixtures.
Possible Starting Lineups
Monza Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Semuel Pizzignacco
- DF: Andrea Carboni, Lorenzo Lucchesi, Eddy Kouadio
- MF: Samuele Birindelli, Foe Ondoa, Mathis Mout, Ricardo Mangas
- FW: Andrea Colpani, Gustavo Varela, Patrick Cutrone
Monza’s 3-4-2-1 setup under Juric places Pizzignacco in goal, supported by a back three of Carboni, Lucchesi, and Kouadio — all of whom have featured regularly. Birindelli and Mangas operate as wing-backs, providing width and defensive cover. Foe Ondoa and Mathis Mout anchor the midfield, with Mout particularly influential in build-up play (103 passes, 84% accuracy over two matches). Colpani operates in the advanced midfield role behind Varela and Cutrone. Varela is the one to watch — three goals in two appearances make him the most dangerous attacker Monza have right now, and Cutrone’s two assists in the same period show he can also contribute beyond just finishing.
Udinese Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Maduka Okoye
- DF: Mergim Vojvoda, Oumar Solet, Matteo Palma, Hassane Kamara
- MF: Jesper Karlstrom, Jakub Piotrowski, Jurgen Ekkelenkamp, Lennon Miller
- FW: Nicolo Zaniolo, Idrissa Gueye
Udinese’s 4-2-3-1 shape sees Okoye between the posts, with Vojvoda and Kamara as full-backs and Solet and Palma as the central pair. Solet has been outstanding over five matches — 154 passes, 131 accurate, three interceptions, and an assist — making him the defensive anchor. Karlstrom and Piotrowski form a disciplined double pivot, while Ekkelenkamp and Miller provide energy in wider roles. Zaniolo leads the line in an advanced capacity, and his shot volume (10 in three matches) makes him the primary goal threat. Gueye adds pace and pressing intensity alongside him.
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Udinese. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
We back Udinese to take all three points at Stadio Brianteo. Their passing volume, shot output, and defensive organization over five recent matches all point to a side that is better prepared for a tight Serie A contest. Monza showed attacking spark in pre-season, particularly through Varela, but their defensive record — conceding four to Inter and three to Aris Thessaloniki — gives real cause for concern.
Udinese’s 1-0 wins over Barcelona and Nottingham Forest may have been pre-season fixtures, but they demonstrate a team that knows how to manage matches and grind out results. Runjaic’s side are disciplined in their shape and aggressive in their pressing, which should cause Monza problems in transition. We predict a low-scoring match, with Udinese winning 1-0 or 2-1. Both teams to score is a reasonable side play given Monza’s ability to produce in attack even when struggling overall.
