Monza vs Carrarese Prediction: 20.12.2025 Serie B 2025/26 Preview

On 20th December 2025, Monza host Carrarese at the Stadio Brianteo in a pivotal Serie B regular season bout. With Monza hot on the heels of league leaders Frosinone and Carrarese fighting to climb the table, this fixture is brimming with implications at both ends. Intriguingly, both sides—managed by Paolo Bianco and Nicola Antonio Calabro—favour a 3-5-2 setup, setting the stage for a tactical chess match in midfield.

Keep a close eye on Monza’s Andrea Petagna, who not only leads the attacking line but also chips in crucial goals and holdup play, and Carrarese’s Fabio Abiuso, in fine form with three goals in his last five appearances. Their head-to-head battle will be central, with Monza’s solid home record giving them an edge.

Hot stat: Carrarese have scored five goals in their last five outings, highlighted by a convincing 3-1 win over Entella—proof their attack is finding its stride at a critical juncture.

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Monza vs Carrarese prediction

Given recent form, squad depth, and attacking efficiency, Monza are the clear favourites. Their ability to control midfield, paired with a home crowd advantage, points towards a solid result. Carrarese, however, have shown they are no pushovers, especially with their counter-attacking threat and Abiuso’s recent scoring run.

Both teams regularly rack up fouls (49 apiece over their last five matches), and Monza’s disciplined backline—evident in their 1-0 win over Cesena—might provide a crucial edge. Ball retention is another key: Monza boast superior pass accuracy (82.3% vs 79% for Carrarese across five matches), granting them better control under pressure. The yellow card count suggests a physical affair but not one likely to boil over, making the Asian Handicap Monza -1 an appealing pick.

Team Analysis

Monza Recent Games: After a sparkling 1-0 home win over Cesena, Monza slipped slightly, drawing with SudTirol (1-1), conceding two late in a draw with Juve Stabia (2-2), and losing 0-2 against Venezia—a reminder of the competitive grind in Serie B. Their ability to bounce back after setbacks speaks volumes of their consistency and mentality, particularly in their favoured 3-5-2 system which maximises their midfield dynamism. While recent draws have stalled momentum, defensive resilience and key contributions from forwards like Petagna and Marić keep them in the hunt for automatic promotion.

Carrarese Recent Games: Carrarese have had a bumpy spell, mixing a resounding 3-1 win over Entella—a match showcasing Abiuso’s knack for being in the right place at the right time—with tough defeats including a 0-5 thrashing by Palermo and a 2-3 loss to Sampdoria. Their midfield, featuring the industrious Nicolas Schiavi, remains central to moving the ball forward despite a spate of yellow cards. Their away form is a work in progress, but their ability to find the net in most games makes them a persistent threat.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Monza vs Carrarese stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Monza the favourite

• Moneyline Monza 1.60 | Carrarese 5.60
• Draw 3.80
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.00 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.90 | No 1.85

With Monza’s pronounced home advantage, dominant standing, and bookmakers giving them a sizeable 59 percent chance of victory, the odds are rational. Carrarese’s long odds reflect their inconsistent campaign and defensive frailties away from home, despite their recent uptick in attacking returns. The draw market, at just under 4.0, recognises Monza’s occasional struggles to close tight games, while the even split on BTTS and the relatively short price for over 2.5 goals acknowledges both sides’ recent attacking intent.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Monza possible starting eleven

• GK: Demba Thiam
• DF: Andrea Carboni, Armando Izzo, Paulo Azzi
• MF: Patrick Ciurria, Matteo Pessina, Pedro Obiang, Leonardo Colombo, Samuele Birindelli
• FW: Andrea Petagna, Mirko Marić

Expect Monza to deploy their well-drilled 3-5-2 under Paolo Bianco. Defensive stability is provided by Carboni and Izzo, while Obiang anchors midfield alongside the creative spark of Pessina. The wingbacks—Birindelli and Azzi—offer width, and Petagna is tasked with bullying the Carrarese backline, ably supported by the energetic Mirko Marić. The backbone of this side is consistency; their structure helps them dominate midfield battles while not neglecting defensive duties.

Carrarese possible starting eleven

• GK: Marco Bleve
• DF: Marco Imperiale, Julian Illanes, Nicolo Calabrese
• MF: Nicolas Schiavi, Simone Zanon, Emanuele Zuelli, Tommaso Rubino, Manuel Cicconi
• FW: Fabio Abiuso, Mattia Finotto

Likewise, Carrarese are expected to stick with Calabro’s 3-5-2. Bleve is the ever-present in goal, with Imperiale and Illanes forming the defensive bedrock. Schiavi is a midfield engine, vital for transitions, with Zanon and Rubino pushing box-to-box. Up front, Abiuso is the man in form, while Finotto’s movement could unsettle Monza’s back three. The wingbacks play key roles with both attacking and defensive responsibilities—but keeping Monza’s attack at bay remains their biggest challenge.

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My take on the Match

It’s hard to look beyond Monza for this one! The Biancorossi have everything in their favour: superior league position, home turf, and a reliable attacking threat. While Carrarese and Abiuso could certainly rattle the net, Monza’s squad cohesion, resilience, and tactical quality should be too much over 90 minutes, especially given the stakes as they chase Frosinone at the top. Expect the match to be physical, occasionally nervy, but loaded with opportunities—especially from set-pieces. My main pick: Monza to win, with Both Teams to Score a strong side bet for punters in search of extra value.

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