Sofia Quijada
Monaco host Getafe at Stade Louis II on August 6 in a pre-season friendly that carries more context than the scoreline might suggest. Luís Filipe’s side arrive after a mixed summer, most recently drawing 2-2 with Cercle Brugge and suffering a 0-2 defeat to Sporting CP, while Pepe Bordalás brings his typically combative Getafe side fresh off a 1-4 loss to Atlético Madrid. The interesting subplot here is that Bordalás built his reputation on suffocating defensive football and high foul counts, and Monaco will be testing whether that system has been fully tuned ahead of the season opener.
Two players to track are Monaco’s attacking threat from their 5-2 win over Saint Priest, which showed the squad’s offensive ceiling when pressing lower-rated opposition, and Getafe’s ability to grind results against teams near their level, demonstrated by back-to-back wins over Tenerife and Reading before the Atlético setback. The Getafe forward line converting a 2-1 win over Tenerife after a run of draws suggests some attacking sharpness is returning.
Hot stat: Monaco scored five goals against Saint Priest and conceded five against Strasbourg in their last five matches, pointing to a defence that is far from settled heading into this fixture.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026, August Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Stade Louis II, Monaco |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 20:00 CEST |
Monaco vs Getafe Prediction
Monaco enter this match as the home favourite at roughly 50% implied probability, and that feels about right given they are on home turf and rank higher globally than Getafe. Their last five results show a team capable of big wins but also prone to shipping goals, with the 4-5 loss to Strasbourg and 0-2 defeat to Sporting CP raising questions about defensive organisation. Getafe, on the other hand, have won four of their last five competitive friendlies before the Atlético Madrid setback, and their 0-0 draw with Real Valladolid confirms that Bordalás has his defensive structure largely in place.
The best value prediction is a Monaco win, but the route to profit lies in the goals markets. Bordalás sides are historically low-scoring and foul-heavy, and Monaco’s leaky backline has conceded in each of their last three matches. Both teams have shown they can score against friendly-level opposition, making Both Teams to Score the strongest secondary bet. Monaco’s home advantage and superior ranking tip the match winner market in their favour, but the margin is likely to be slim.
Getafe’s style under Bordalás typically generates high foul counts and limits the opponent’s open-play rhythm through tactical fouling and pressing triggers. Monaco prefer to build from the back and use wide areas, which means Getafe’s press could disrupt their passing lanes early. Corner kick volume tends to be moderate in Bordalás-coached games since his teams defend deep and limit sustained attacking phases, so the corners market is likely to stay under. The overall foul count, however, should be elevated given Getafe’s identity.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Monaco Win & Both Teams to Score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Monaco’s pre-season has been a tale of two halves. Their 5-2 thrashing of Saint Priest showed attacking fluency and depth in the final third, but the 0-2 defeat to Sporting CP and a 2-2 draw with Cercle Brugge suggest the defensive unit is still finding its footing. Going back further, the 4-5 loss to Strasbourg is the most alarming data point: conceding five goals to a side ranked 86th globally points to structural issues at the back that Luís Filipe needs to address before competitive fixtures begin. The team’s recent form over the last 30 days reads one win, one draw, one loss, making them inconsistent but capable of producing results at home.
Getafe arrive in better shape over the same 30-day window, collecting two wins, one draw, and one loss from four matches. The 1-0 wins over Reading and Osasuna, combined with a 2-1 victory over Tenerife, show a team that grinds out results efficiently. The 0-0 draw with Real Valladolid reinforces Bordalás’s defensive foundation, and even the 1-4 defeat to Atlético Madrid is not a major concern given the quality gap. Getafe are compact, disciplined, and difficult to break down, which makes them a dangerous opponent even for a home side with Monaco’s attacking talent.
🚨Check out our dedicated Monaco vs Getafe stats page for more info.
Getafe. Source: Official Website
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Monaco the Favourite
- Moneyline Monaco 1.82 | Getafe 3.75
- Draw 3.65
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Monaco at around 1.82 to 1.87 across bookmakers is fair value given home advantage and the global ranking gap. Getafe’s odds ranging from 3.40 to 4.20 reflect the genuine uncertainty around a Bordalás side that can make life difficult for any opponent. The draw at 3.55 to 3.75 is not unattractive, particularly given Getafe’s recent 0-0 and 2-2 results, but Monaco’s attacking quality at home makes the outright win the more likely outcome. We predict Monaco to win, with the Bordalás effect keeping the scoreline tight rather than comfortable.
Monaco. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Monaco should edge this fixture at home, but Getafe’s defensive solidity under Bordalás means a comfortable margin is unlikely. Monaco have scored freely against lower-level opposition, and their home crowd provides an extra boost, but the defence has conceded in each of their last three matches. Getafe have enough quality up front to punish any lapses, as their wins over Tenerife and Reading demonstrated. We predict a 2-1 Monaco win, with both teams scoring and the total goals market landing over 2.5. The corners market should stay subdued given Getafe’s deep defensive shape, and the foul count is worth watching if you are tracking card markets.
