Liam Duckstein
Modena face Juve Stabia at the Alberto Braglia for a final regular season showdown that has both sides eager for a strong finish in Serie B. With only four points separating them, and a spot in the promotion play-offs already secure for Modena, the tension centers on form and momentum. Modena’s coach Andrea Sottil has struggled to find a consistent winning formula in recent weeks. Meanwhile, Ignazio Abate’s Juve Stabia have become draw specialists, but lack punch in front of goal. Watch out for Yanis Massolin, Modena’s midfielder who has contributed with goals and assists in tight matches, and Juve Stabia’s Alessandro Gabrielloni, whose work rate and movement in attack remain their main threat. Hot stat: Juve Stabia have drawn four of their last five matches, underscoring their defensive resilience but also their attacking limitations.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Serie B 2025/26 Regular Season, Italy |
| 🏟 Venue: | Alberto Braglia, Modena |
| 🗓️ Date: | 12.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:45 CEST |
Modena vs Juve Stabia prediction
We predict a low-scoring encounter with Modena having a slight upper hand. Modena have produced more wins at home and their defensive line, anchored by Alessandro Dellavalle, looks tighter than Juve Stabia’s. The visitors’ tendency to settle for draws, paired with a modest goal tally, makes a home win the best value bet. Expect a tactical approach from both sides: Modena are disciplined, averaging only 10 yellow cards in their last five, and maintain decent possession and passing accuracy. Juve Stabia commit fewer fouls and pick up fewer cards, but their ball retention and passing are less reliable, which limits their attacking transitions. This match will likely feature compact midfields, few clear chances, and a cautious start from both.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Draw at Half-Time |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Modena’s recent form is patchy. In their last game, they fell 0-1 at home to Avellino. The attack struggled for penetration and wasted a few decent chances. Prior matches saw a narrow win over Reggiana and competitive losses to top teams like Monza and Frosinone. This suggests the team can compete with most, but sometimes lacks cutting edge against compact defenses.
Juve Stabia’s last outing ended 1-1 with SudTirol, yet again highlighting their difficulty in converting draws into wins. Before that, they drew with Pescara and Catanzaro, and lost narrowly to Frosinone. Their attack is often isolated, but the defense rarely collapses. This pattern makes them tough to beat but not easy to back for a win.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Modena | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 3 |
| Total shots | 56 | 46 |
| Free kicks | 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks | 13 | 14 |
| Total fouls | 44 | 44 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 83 | 81 |
| Interceptions | 24 | 32 |
| Offsides | 5 | 9 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Modena vs Juve Stabia stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Modena the favourite
- Moneyline Modena 2.22 | Juve Stabia 3.88
- Draw 3.20
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.05 | Under 2.5 1.75
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.65
Modena are deserved favourites given their stronger home form and better recent performances in attack. The market respects Juve Stabia’s ability to grind out results, but their lack of cutting edge is reflected in the long odds. Bookmakers expect a tight, low-scoring contest, with Under 2.5 goals and BTTS No both being heavily favoured. Our punters agree: the odds offer value backing a home win and a goalless half.
Possible Starting Lineups
Modena possible starting eleven
- GK: Michele Pezzolato
- DF: Alessandro Dellavalle, Bryant Nieling, Daniel Tonoli
- MF: Matteo Cotali, Steven Nador, Yanis Massolin, Simone Santoro, Pyyhtia Niklas
- FW: Pedro Mendes, Giuseppe Ambrosino
Pezzolato is the clear first-choice in goal, supported by a settled back three. Midfield options are deep, with Massolin the standout, while Pedro Mendes and Ambrosino should start up front. The 3-5-2 formation maximizes wing support and midfield control, which suits Modena’s style. Keep an eye on Massolin’s link-up play and Ambrosino’s eye for goal.
Juve Stabia possible starting eleven
- GK: Alessandro Confente
- DF: Christian Dalle Mura, Marco Bellich, Andrea Giorgini
- MF: Lorenzo Carissoni, Nicola Mosti, Giuseppe Leone, Emanuele Torrasi, Fabio Maistro
- FW: Alessandro Gabrielloni, Alessio Cacciamani
Confente anchors the defense with Dalle Mura and Giorgini as regulars. The midfield is hard-working, with Mosti and Maistro tasked with transitions. Gabrielloni and Cacciamani form a mobile front pair. Juve Stabia also prefer a 3-5-2, relying on defensive structure and quick breaks. Watch Mosti’s creativity and Gabrielloni’s finishing.
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Modena. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a narrow Modena victory in a match with few goals. The stats suggest that both sides will focus on defensive stability, but Modena’s edge at home and better attacking contributors tip the balance. Expect tactical discipline, a measured tempo, and a likely single-goal margin for the hosts.
