Sofia Quijada
Mirassol welcome LDU Quito to José Maria de Campos Maia for a pivotal Copa Libertadores Group G clash. Both sides are tied at six points after three rounds, so a victory here could shape the group’s hierarchy. Mirassol’s rise to the continental stage has added intrigue, while LDU Quito’s pedigree from Ecuador and higher world ranking presents a real challenge.
Key players to watch: Mirassol’s Alesson dos Santos Batista has contributed a goal and three assists in the last five games, providing the creative spark. For LDU Quito, Deyverson’s 15 shots in his last five outings make him their main threat up front.
Hot stat: LDU Quito have managed just three goals in their last five games despite averaging over 11 shots per match, underlining inefficiency in attack.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Libertadores 2026, Group G |
| 🏟 Venue: | José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol |
| 🗓️ Date: | 08.05.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 00:00 CEST |
Mirassol vs LDU Quito prediction
We predict a Mirassol win. Bookmakers’ average probability strongly backs the Brazilians (60%), and our stats highlight a clear home advantage. Mirassol’s recent form at home includes victories over Corinthians and Internacional—both with higher rankings than LDU Quito. The Ecuadorians have shown inconsistency and scoring struggles in recent away fixtures, lacking cutting edge in the final third.
Mirassol play with a disciplined 4-2-3-1 formation, focusing on structured buildup and wide attacking. They’ve committed 73 fouls in five games (about 15 per match), suggesting an aggressive approach that disrupts opponents but risks yellow cards—20 in their last five. LDU Quito’s 70 fouls and 15 yellows indicate they don’t shy away from physical duels either, yet their 3-4-3 system pushes for width and quick transitions, though without high goal returns lately. Expect a combative match with plenty of midfield battles, and Mirassol’s superior passing accuracy (77% vs 82%) and home support may prove decisive.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Under 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Mirassol’s last match ended with a 2-1 win against Corinthians Paulista, showing resilience and tactical flexibility. Before that, they beat Always Ready 2-0 and held Bragantino to a draw. Even in a 0-1 loss to Sao Paulo, Mirassol kept the game close. Their offense doesn’t score in bunches, but solid defending and opportunistic play in attack often tip games in their favor.
LDU Quito, meanwhile, took a 1-0 win over Guayaquil City in their last outing, but their recent games reveal inconsistency—losing to Lanus and Emelec, drawing with Aucas, and beating Independiente del Valle 2-0. While they keep games tight, lack of scoring punch has limited their upside. Their defensive structure, though, has held up well against better-ranked sides.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Mirassol | LDU Quito |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 2 |
| Total shots | 6 | 12 |
| Free kicks | 14 | 12 |
| Corner kicks | 3 | 5 |
| Total fouls | 15 | 13 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 75 | 77 |
| Interceptions | 10 | 11 |
| Offsides | 2 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Mirassol vs LDU Quito stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Mirassol the favourite
- Moneyline Mirassol 1.57 | LDU Quito 5.80
- Draw 3.95
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.35 | Under 2.5 1.55
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.45 | No 1.60
Bookmakers heavily favor Mirassol, with home odds dropping as low as 1.50. LDU Quito’s long odds reflect their struggles in attack and lack of away dominance. The Under 2.5 market is the shortest odds for goals, which matches both sides’ tendency toward defensive solidity and inefficient finishing. The “No” on BTTS is also favored, in line with our analysis—LDU Quito rarely score more than once, and Mirassol have kept things tight at home.
Possible Starting Lineups
Mirassol possible starting eleven
- GK: Alex Muralha
- DF: João Victor Carroll Santana, Willian Estefani Machado, Igor Formiga, Reinaldo
- MF: Neto Moura, Denilson Alves Borges, Alesson dos Santos Batista, Shaylon Kallyson Cardozo, José Aldo Soares de Oliveira Filho
- FW: Carlos Eduardo
Mirassol likely stick with their tried 4-2-3-1, solid at the back and reliable in transition. João Victor, Willian, and Formiga have all played every match recently, ensuring stability. Alesson stands out for his work rate and assists. Carlos Eduardo’s pace up top remains their best attacking weapon.
LDU Quito possible starting eleven
- GK: Alexander Domínguez
- DF: Leonel Quinonez, José Quintero, Gian Franco Allala, Luis Segovia
- MF: Gabriel Villamil, Jesús Pretell, Cristian Alejandro Tobar Luna, Kevin Minda
- FW: Deyverson, Jeison Medina
LDU Quito’s 3-4-3 morphs into a 4-4-2 in defense. Domínguez starts in goal. Quinonez and Allala lead the backline. Villamil and Pretell anchor the midfield, while Deyverson, their most dangerous attacker, should feature prominently alongside Medina.
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Mirassol. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Mirassol to win, in a low-scoring game where both teams show strong defensive tendencies and inconsistent finishing. The stats, home factor, and styles of play suggest a 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline in favor of the Brazilians. LDU Quito’s inefficiency up front combined with Mirassol’s solid home defense tips the balance. Under 2.5 goals and BTTS: No look like the strongest markets.
