Mirassol vs Bragantino Prediction: 14.05.2026 Copa do Brasil

Mirassol host Bragantino at the José Maria de Campos Maia stadium in a Copa do Brasil Round 5 tie where both sides look to edge past their close rivals after a string of tight recent encounters. With both teams sitting on one point from their group and coming off balanced runs in the competition, this fixture could shape their trajectories for the rest of the cup. The coaching matchup brings tactical intrigue: Rafael Guanaes faces Vagner Mancini in a duel of fine margins. Key players likely to impact the match include Mirassol’s versatile forward Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve, who leads the team in recent goals, and Bragantino’s midfield engine Rodriguinho, currently their top scorer over the last five matches.

A standout stat: Bragantino have produced eight goals in their last five matches, one more than Mirassol, showing a slight attacking edge. Expect an open, aggressive contest, as both teams have used similar 4-2-3-1 setups lately, and each has several offensive contributors.

Mirassol vs Bragantino prediction

We predict a narrow home win for Mirassol. Their home advantage and slightly superior squad depth give them the edge. Bragantino’s recent scoring run may tempt some, but their defensive lapses, especially away, have hurt consistency. Mirassol’s midfielders control the tempo well at home and force turnovers, while Bragantino struggle when pressed high.

Both teams commit plenty of fouls—Mirassol have 63, Bragantino 62 over the last five matches—so expect a stop-start rhythm. Both average over two yellow cards per match, so a physical duel is likely. Mirassol’s slightly higher pass accuracy (63% to Bragantino’s 62%) hints at better ball retention, and both sides get plenty of corners, which could create set-piece chances.

Team Analysis

Mirassol’s recent run features a 1-1 draw against Chapecoense, a result that underscored their defensive focus. In that game, Mirassol managed to contain Chapecoense’s forwards while creating several dangerous moments themselves. Prior to that, they beat LDU Quito 2-0 and Corinthians 2-1—both strong performances showing resilience and a knack for converting opportunities at key moments. Mirassol’s structure relies on tight midfield pressing and quick counterattacks, with Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve finding space in the box and Alesson supporting with direct runs. The goalkeeper, Walter Leandro Capeloza Artune, has provided stability and some key saves recently.

Bragantino, in their last match, lost 0-2 to Santos. Defensive errors and a lack of sharpness in front of goal defined the loss. Despite this, Bragantino scored six against Blooming and have shown in bursts that their front line—featuring Eduardo Sasha and Rodriguinho—can dismantle weaker opposition. The 2-1 win over Chapecoense showed both their scoring ability and defensive fragility. Bragantino’s midfield can be overrun, and the team concedes chances, especially when trying to play out from the back.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Mirassol vs Bragantino stats page for more info.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mirassol the favourite

• Moneyline Mirassol 2.36 | Bragantino 3.20
• Draw 3.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.25 | Under 2.5 1.60
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.95 | No 1.80

Bookmakers narrowly favour Mirassol due to their home advantage and a recent better record at this venue. Bragantino’s price reflects both their inconsistency and their potential for goals. The odds on under 2.5 goals are short, matching both teams’ tendency for tight games, while both teams to score is evenly priced, which lines up with their similar attacking stats.

Possible Starting Lineups

Mirassol possible starting eleven

Mirassol’s likely 4-2-3-1 formation focuses on stability at the back and mobility in midfield. The back four blends experience with youth, and the double pivot in midfield gives extra cover. Watch for Carlos Eduardo de Oliveira Alve’s late runs and Alesson’s speed on the counter. Capeloza Artune’s consistent performances in goal provide reliability.

Bragantino possible starting eleven

Bragantino should also deploy a 4-2-3-1, aiming for balance in attack and defense. Volpi anchors the defense. Pedro Henrique and Gustavo Marques provide aerial strength. Rodriguinho and Sasha will drive forward, while Lucas Henrique Barbosa is a threat on the left. Expect Bragantino to press high early and look for quick transitions.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

We predict Mirassol to edge this contest at home. Bragantino’s recent away form raises concerns, and Mirassol’s more cohesive midfield gives them a clear advantage in controlling the game’s rhythm. Bragantino’s goal threat is clear, but their defensive lapses and discipline issues may prove costly. Expect a competitive match, both teams to score, and Mirassol to narrowly secure a win with a 2-1 or 1-0 result most likely.

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