Mazatlan FC vs Monterrey Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Liga MX 2026 Clausura Match - 17.01.2026

As Liga MX 2026 Clausura enters its early stages, Estadio de Mazatlan gears up for a compelling encounter featuring Mazatlan FC and Monterrey. The match is scheduled for January 17, 2026, with a 05:00 CEST kick-off in the vibrant coastal city of Mazatlan. While Mazatlan FC look to kickstart their season under the stewardship of Robert Siboldi, Monterrey, helmed by Domenec Torrent, are keen to reinforce their top-table ambitions in this regular season clash.

For Mazatlan, eyes will be on defender Facundo Almada, whose rare scoring feat from the back line can be a difference-maker, and creative midfielder Edgar Bárcenas, tasked with providing attacking impetus. On the other side, Monterrey boast the craft of Sergio Canales—an experienced orchestrator of play—and the predatory instinct of Germán Berterame up front.

One hot stat to note: Monterrey’s remarkable 75 percent win rate from their last four matches underlines their current form, contrasting sharply with Mazatlan’s ongoing hunt for a win.

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Mazatlan FC vs Monterrey predictions

Me best bet:

Monterrey to win stands out as the clear value play. With 75 percent recent win rate and a more disciplined approach in both attack and defense, Monterrey arrive in Mazatlan as strong favorites. Their overall dominance in both possession and attacking output is evident, particularly with a front line that puts relentless pressure on defenses—the kind Mazatlan’s unsettled back four have struggled to manage, as evidenced by eight goals conceded in just five matches.

From a tactical angle, Mazatlan FC generally line up in a 4-3-3, seeking width but often being outmaneuvered centrally; they tend to concede possession and encourage transitions against more technical teams. Notably, Mazatlan accrued 28 fouls and two yellow cards in the last five matches, signifying a forced reliance on tactical fouls to stymie opponents—a potential liability against Monterrey’s quick, structured buildup. In contrast, Monterrey display maturity with ball control, averaging over 200 more completed passes and drastically fewer fouls and cards, which translates into uninterrupted possession phases and tactical fluidity.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Mazatlan FC vs Monterrey Most recent H2Hs

Looking at previous meetings, Monterrey have edged Mazatlan in both goals and passing accuracy, reflecting their sharper execution in pivotal moments. Recent H2Hs show Monterrey often dictate the rhythm, conceding fewer fouls and capitalizing when Mazatlan leave space at the back. Mazatlan’s most positive result, a narrow 1-0 win last Clausura, remains the exception rather than the rule, with Monterrey prevailing twice and drawing once in the last three encounters.

🚨Read our full Mazatlan FC vs Monterrey stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Monterrey boast a 75 percent win rate in their last four outings.
• Mazatlan FC have not recorded a win in their last five matches (three losses, two draws).
• Monterrey average 220 more completed passes per match than Mazatlan FC over the past five matches.
• Facundo Almada has scored both recent Mazatlan goals as a defender—highlighting the squad’s attacking struggles up front.
• Monterrey’s defense have conceded just one goal in the opening two Clausura rounds.
• Mazatlan’s discipline is an issue: 28 fouls and 2 yellow cards in the last five games.

Mazatlan FC vs Monterrey score prediction: 1-3

Expect Monterrey’s well-organized attack to probe Mazatlan’s defensive fragility. Germán Berterame and Iker Fimbres are likely to exploit gaps, with Canales creating from midfield. Mazatlan may find moments on the break—especially via Almada—but their limited creativity suggests they will struggle to keep pace with Monterrey’s scoring threat.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Monterrey the favourite

These odds accurately capture Monterrey’s superiority—a side in sharp form, with creative and finishing prowess on display. However, the over 2.5 goals market is particularly appealing, given both sides’ tendency to be involved in open contests—Monterrey for their attacking transitions, Mazatlan due to defensive vulnerabilities and a willingness to commit players forward when trailing. The BTTS market offers value, as Mazatlan tend to find consolation goals even in defeat.

Mazatlan FC vs Monterrey Over/Under Analysis

• Monterrey have scored 2 or more in three of their last four matches.
• Mazatlan FC have conceded 2 or more goals in four of their last five games.
• The last two head-to-heads have featured over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring.
• Only one of the last three H2Hs ended under 2.5 goals.

Mazatlan FC Preview

Mazatlan FC enter this contest in poor form, having registered no wins in their last five matches—recently falling 1-2 at home to Puebla and by the same scoreline against Juarez. Their defense has struggled to manage swift attacks, evidenced by a concerning total of eight goals conceded in two matches. Despite a few promising moments, the team’s attacking reliance on set pieces (with defender Almada netting both recent goals) underscores their lack of attacking diversity. Creative spark will be required from Bárcenas, but defensive cohesion and discipline are areas of urgent improvement.

Mazatlan FC possible starting eleven

Monterrey Preview

Monterrey’s recent results suggest a team with clear upward momentum, having triumphed 2-0 over Necaxa and dispatched Atlas 2-1. Although they faltered against Toluca, Monterrey’s tactical flexibility in a 4-2-3-1 enables transitions between possession-based attacks and rapid counters. Key player Sergio Canales orchestrates moves from midfield, ably supported by Fimbres and Berterame in the final third. Defensively, Monterrey have proven resolute in this young Clausura and boast impressive ball circulation—hallmarks of Domenec Torrent’s style.

Monterrey possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

The TipsGG team’s expert analysis strongly favors Monterrey, who combine tactical sharpness, superior individual quality, and recent form—reflecting a 65 percent win probability as projected by our dedicated AI prediction engine. Monterrey’s weaknesses are minimal compared to Mazatlan’s defensive lapses and misfiring attack. While Mazatlan may find brief moments of hope, Monterrey’s composure and experience should ensure all three points travel north.

How to watch Mazatlan FC vs Monterrey

When? January 17, 2026 (Regular Season, Liga MX Clausura) – Kick-off 05:00 CEST
Where? Estadio de Mazatlan, Mazatlan
How to watch: Live on local Mexican sports networks or streaming platforms covering Liga MX.
Favorite: Monterrey

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