Mallorca vs Sevilla Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga - 02.02.2026

Under the bright Palma lights, La Liga’s relentless drama resumes as RCD Mallorca host Sevilla at Visit Mallorca Stadium on February 2, 2026, with kick-off at 22:00 CEST. This mid-table clash will see Mallorca, currently 18th in the league, attempt to leapfrog the congested bottom of the standings while 13th-placed Sevilla aim to climb back into top-half contention. Both managers Mallorca’s Jagoba Arrasate and Sevilla’s Matías Almeyda face considerable pressure as consistency proves elusive for their squads in this challenging campaign.

Two pivotal figures to follow are Vedat Muriqi (Mallorca), La Liga’s tireless forward and clear attacking lynchpin, and Akor Adams (Sevilla), whose recent form marks him as the primary threat in front of goal for the visitors. Their respective abilities to break through organized defences might very well shape the night’s outcome.

Looking at the “hot stat,” Sevilla have amassed a league-leading 23 corners across their last five outings, underlining their aggressive transition play and frequent forays into the opposition’s box an advantage they will seek to press against Mallorca’s vulnerable back line.

🏅Best bets for Mallorca vs Sevilla at Thunderpick with a Welcome offer +100% up to 600€💰

Mallorca vs Sevilla predictions

Me best bet: Both Teams to Score – YES
Both teams have shown defensive fragility in recent weeks, each conceding at least six goals in their last five matches. Mallorca’s Muriqi, with five goals in his last four appearances, is in lethal form, while Sevilla possess significant firepower with Adams, who has netted three in his last two outings. Add to this the two sides’ shared tendency to concede from set-pieces and in open play, and the data suggest a match where both will find the net. The odds for “Both Teams To Score: YES” present strong value here, particularly with Sevilla’s high corners tally promising chances from the flanks.

In stylistic terms, Mallorca and Sevilla each prefer a balanced 4-4-2, but recent stats reveal subtle differences: Mallorca average 8.2 fouls and 1.8 yellow cards per game, while Sevilla are notably more aggressive defensively, earning 12 fouls and 1.8 yellow cards per match in this span. This edge in physicality gives Sevilla an enforcer’s advantage but leaves them open to dangerous free-kick setups. Possession-wise, both teams hover around 50 percent, indicating we can expect a relatively even battle in midfield, punctuated by quick transitions and attacking thrusts rather than prolonged spells of domination from either side.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8

Best bets this month available at Thunderpick

Mallorca vs Sevilla Most recent H2Hs

Reviewing the previous three La Liga meetings, tight contests are the rule: a thrilling 3-1 Mallorca win this season, following a pair of tense draws (1-1, 0-0). These matches average just two goals per contest, but recent spikes in both teams’ attacking output and susceptibility at the back suggest a more open affair is due. Statistically, Sevilla have tended to dictate play when it comes to transitions (more corners and interceptions), while Mallorca’s edge has come from clinical finishing in decisive moments.

🚨Read our full Mallorca vs Sevilla stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Mallorca have scored in 8 of their last 10 home matches.
• Vedat Muriqi has 5 goals in his last 4 games, emerging as Mallorca’s critical goal threat.
• Sevilla lead La Liga for corner kicks per match (4.6 avg in last 5 games).
• Both teams rank in the league’s bottom five for clean sheets this season.
• Sevilla have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 away games.
• Three of the last five head-to-heads have ended with both teams scoring.

Mallorca vs Sevilla score prediction: 2-2

Given current scoring trends and defensive lapses from both sides, a 2-2 draw is a persuasive prediction. Expect Vedat Muriqi to be involved in Mallorca’s tally, either scoring or assisting, while Akor Adams’s knack for finding space inside the opposition box points to at least one contribution for Sevilla. The likes of Sergi Darder and Joan Jordan will tussle for control in midfield, potentially tipping the balance, but neither defensive line inspires confidence to secure the win.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mallorca the favourite

Bookmakers edge Mallorca as narrow favourites, likely referencing their home advantage and historic ability to convert chances at Visit Mallorca Stadium. However, only a marginal gap separates them from Sevilla, reflecting each side’s similar win/loss records over the last month. Over/Under figures reveal market scepticism of a high-scoring contest, but the recent uptick in goals from both sides and defensive frailties offer value for those seeking bolder outcomes.

Mallorca vs Sevilla Over/Under Analysis

• Four of the last five Mallorca matches have featured at least three goals.
• Sevilla’s last two outings have both seen Over 2.5 goals land.
• Each side has scored in three consecutive league appearances.
• Mallorca concede on average 1.6 goals per game; Sevilla, 1.7 in their last five.
• Caution: Only two clean sheets between both teams in their last ten combined matches.

Mallorca Preview

Mallorca enter this fixture still reeling from a heavy 0-3 home defeat to Atletico Madrid. Prior to that, a fighting 3-2 win over Athletic Bilbao showcased their attacking resilience, especially via Muriqi’s clinical instincts. Nevertheless, defensive issues persist back-to-back losses against Rayo Vallecano and Girona illustrate a squad struggling to protect leads and navigate transitions. Defensively disciplined but at times too passive in central areas, Mallorca’s midfield features the industrious Omar Mascarell and Samuel Costa, yet the partnership has not stemmed the flow of opposition chances. Set-pieces remain a bright spot, with corners from Darder and Latorre generating regular opportunities.

Mallorca possible starting eleven

Sevilla Preview

Sevilla achieved a pivotal win in their last match, overcoming Athletic Bilbao 2-1 a result that steadied nerves after a bruising spell of only one victory in seven. Attacking intentions have sharpened, with Akor Adams central to the upturn, while Peque Fernández and Lucien Agoumé have offered much-needed guile. However, a 0-3 defeat to Levante earlier in the run underlines Sevilla’s vulnerability to counter-attacks, especially when pressing high. Defensive stalwarts Kike Salas and José Ángel Carmona will have to be wary against Mallorca’s physical forward line. Almeyda might look to exploit Mallorca’s narrow defensive shape via wide overloads, as suggested by the club’s high corner/kick rate in recent matches.

Sevilla possible starting eleven

The Verdict

As TipsGG’s La Liga experts, we tilt towards a hard-fought draw reflecting each team’s recent inconsistencies and their tendency to both score and concede in quick succession. Our AI model rates the probability at 34 percent Mallorca win, 30 percent draw, and 36 percent Sevilla, but form and match context pull us strongest towards 2-2.
Both managers are under pressure to deliver, but attacking talismans on both sides should ensure a spectacle packed with highlights, if not a definitive winner.

How to watch Mallorca vs Sevilla

When? 2 February 2026, 22:00 CEST
Where? Visit Mallorca Stadium, Palma
How to watch: Movistar LaLiga (Spain), available via streaming through LaLiga TV and selected online sports platforms.
Favorite: Mallorca

Best football betting sites and Bonuses

More useful links for football fans

• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG