Mallorca vs Osasuna Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga - 29.11.2025

Football in Spain returns to the scenic Visit Mallorca Stadium in Palma as Mallorca hosts Osasuna in a vital La Liga 2025/26 regular season encounter, set for November 29, 2025, with kick-off at 15:00 CEST. While neither side finds itself in the upper echelons of the standings Mallorca (16th, 12 points) and Osasuna (17th, 11 points) this matchup carries immense significance for both in their journey to steer clear of the relegation zone. The iconic Mediterranean venue is primed for a fiercely contested fixture, with both Jagoba Arrasate and Alessio Lisci aiming to galvanize their squads at a critical phase of the campaign.

Two standout players will demand attention among the outfielders: Mallorca’s Abdón Prats, fresh from two goals in his previous outings, and Osasuna’s Raúl García, the driving force in attack with three goals from his last four matches. Prats’s combative style and García’s varied attacking movement promise to shape the rhythm of the contest.

Statistically, Osasuna enter with a striking “hot stat” they’re ahead 6 to 4 in total goals scored across their last five matches, displaying attacking intent even amid mixed results.

🏅Best bets for Mallorca vs Osasuna at Thunderpick with a Welcome offer +100% up to 600€💰

Mallorca vs Osasuna predictions

My best bet: Under 2.5 goals. Both Mallorca and Osasuna have struggled offensively this season (Mallorca 13 goals in 13, Osasuna 10 in 13), with both managers favoring cautious 4-2-3-1 structures and robust defensive transitions. Considering the recent head-to-heads (1-1 and 1-0) and each team’s output, a low-scoring affair is highly probable. Osasuna’s slight statistical edge in recent goal-scoring is tempered by their inefficiency away from home and Mallorca’s solid home organization the perfect storm for a match defined by fine margins and defensive discipline.

Disciplinary and playing style trends further support a cagey duel: Mallorca (40 fouls, 6 yellow cards, 18 corners in last five) and Osasuna (53 fouls, 7 yellows, 15 corners) both rack up frequent infractions, reflecting close marking and high midfield intensity. Neither side dominates possession Mallorca’s recent pass totals (1,641) narrowly eclipse Osasuna’s (1,579), but both managers prioritize containment over open transitions. Set pieces could thus prove decisive, but both teams’ paltry conversion rates suggest a continued struggle for clear-cut chances. Expect a game with interruptions, compact lines, and limited space for free-flowing football.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Best bets this month available at Thunderpick

Mallorca vs Osasuna Most recent H2Hs

The last two meetings evidences razor-thin margins: a 1-1 draw and a 1-0 Osasuna win, each defined by midfield duels and defensive concentration. Neither team managed to carve out many high-quality chances, with total shots and set pieces evenly split. Historically, both sides tend to neutralize each other underlining why another low-scoring, physically intense match is anticipated.

🚨Read our full Mallorca vs Osasuna stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Osasuna have scored 6 goals in their last 5 games Mallorca just 4 over the same period.
• Both teams use 4-2-3-1 formations with double pivots focused on compactness and interception rates.
• Osasuna have committed 53 fouls in their last 5 matches Mallorca 40 indicating the likelihood of disrupted rhythm and multiple booking risks.
• Pass accuracy is moderate on both sides, with Mallorca (80 percent recent H2Hs) marginally ahead; this hints at slightly better retention in tight moments for the home side.
• Neither side has scored more than 1 goal per game across their last two head-to-head encounters.

Mallorca vs Osasuna score prediction: 1-0

A single goal could be decisive. Expect Mallorca to capitalize on home advantage Abdón Prats’ sharp movement or Vedat Muriqi’s aerial threat at set pieces might be crucial. With both teams defensively focused, Raúl García poses Osasuna’s main attacking menace. However, Mallorca’s organizational discipline, especially on their own pitch, gives them the finest of edges. Prediction: Mallorca 1-0 Osasuna.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mallorca the favourite

The odds reflect Mallorca’s slight home-field and form advantage. Bookmakers project a tight contest, with Mallorca 41 percent likely to win and Osasuna just over 28 percent. The under 2.5 goals line is favored, providing further weight to expectations of a cautious, defense-first battle. The “No” on BTTS is another logical route considering the sides’ limited attacking output and defensive tactical priorities.

Mallorca vs Osasuna Over/Under Analysis

• 4 of Mallorca’s last 5 matches have gone under 2.5 goals.
• Each of the last 2 H2H meetings stayed under 2.5 goals.
• Osasuna have averaged just over 1 goal per game in their last 5 fixtures.
• Set-pieces and second-phase play could skew total corners higher (recent totals: Mallorca 18, Osasuna 15 in last 5 games).
• Given the fouls and discipline record, look for a possible spike in yellow cards markets.

Mallorca Preview

Mallorca’s last outing saw a narrow 1-2 defeat to Villarreal, reflecting the defensive solidity but offensive limitations that have typified their season. Their lone win in the last five came against Getafe (1-0), where compact lines and swift transitional play saw Abdón Prats notch the decisive goal. Notably, Mallorca’s ability to stay organized allowing few clear-cut chances even against superior opponents offers some reassurance for Arrasate as he plots for a critical home fixture. However, the low goal tally remains a persistent concern, pressing the need for contribution from their forward line and central midfielders alike.

Mallorca possible starting eleven

Osasuna Preview

Osasuna’s recent form has been turbulent: a 1-3 loss to Real Sociedad exposed frailties at the back, while a resounding 5-0 Copa del Rey win over CD Sant Jordi proved they can exploit weaker opposition when allowed space. Despite a spirited attacking effort Raúl García’s clinical finishing remains a rare highlight Lisci’s squad struggles for sustained attacking fluency in La Liga. Defensive lapses and intermittent midfield control have contributed to just one win in their last five league matches, suggesting the team is still searching for cohesion and confidence.

Osasuna possible starting eleven

The Verdict

On behalf of Tips.GG’s expert team, our main pick for this match is Mallorca to win 1-0. The combination of Mallorca’s home form, Osasuna’s ongoing inconsistency, and the likelihood of a low-scoring affair all point to a narrow home victory. Our dedicated AI engine gives Mallorca a 41 percent probability to secure all three points, in line with both the form book and bookmaker consensus. For those seeking value, a clean-sheet win or under 2.5 goals prove attractive options in a contest likely decided by defensive organization and set-piece sharpness.

How to watch Mallorca vs Osasuna

When?
Kick-off time: 29 November 2025, 15:00 CEST
Where?
Visit Mallorca Stadium, Palma
How to watch: Via Movistar LaLiga and streaming platforms with licensed La Liga coverage, subject to regional availability.
Favourite: Mallorca

Best football betting sites and Bonuses

More useful links for football fans

• Daily Football Predictions
• Football Teams Rankings
• Football Matches Today
• Current football tournaments
• Football betting guide by Tips.GG