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Mallorca vs Levante Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2025/26 Match - 26.10.2025

24.10.2025, 11:29

The Visit Mallorca Stadium in Palma sets the scene for a crucial La Liga 2025/26 clash between Mallorca and Levante on Sunday, 26 October 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 15:00 CEST. Both teams are currently tied on points in the standings (15th and 16th) with identical records (2W, 2D, 5L), heightening the significance of this regular-season tie. The anticipation is palpable as two tactically organized sides—Mallorca under Jagoba Arrasate and Levante guided by Julián Calero—seek to solidify their place in Spain’s top division.

Eyes will be closely watching Mallorca’s dynamic forward Mateo Joseph, fresh off two recent goals and an assist, as well as Levante’s energetic winger Iván Romero, whose pace and directness could trouble the hosts. Both have a penchant for game-changing contributions and will shoulder significant attacking responsibility.

A ‘hot stat’ worth noting: Levante have averaged an impressive 8.4 corners per match in their last five La Liga outings—substantially higher than the league norm and indicative of a side that probes relentlessly down the flanks.

09:00Finished26.10.2025
1MallorcaSpain
1LevanteSpain

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Mallorca vs Levante predictions

Me best bet: Both Teams To Score (Yes) at attractive odds. Both sides have scored in three of Mallorca’s last five league matches, and Levante, with renewed attacking energy, have scored five across their last four. Neither team can claim defensive consistency, and each has players capable of unlocking defences: Mateo Joseph and Vedat Muriqi for Mallorca, Iván Romero and Carlos Álvarez for Levante.

In tactical terms, expect a cagey battle shaped by both sides’ preference for a 4-2-3-1 formation. Mallorca average just over 11 fouls per match (55 in the last five), with nine yellow cards—a mark of their combative midfield. Levante tally a slightly lower 6.4 fouls per match (32 in five), and both are disciplined, with no red cards recorded. Mallorca’s superior ball retention (1352 passes, 77% accuracy) hints at a more progressive, possession-based style, whereas Levante, who lead in corners won, rely more on quick transitions and overloads out wide. These stylistic contrasts lend themselves to a contest where set-pieces and transitions could prove decisive.

Prop picks by me:

  • ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
  • 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
  • 🎯Total Corners: Over 10

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Mallorca vs Levante Most recent H2Hs

Statistic Mallorca Levante
Goals 5 3
Total shots 32 42
Free kicks 55 32
Corner kicks 10 16
Total fouls 55 32
Pass accuracy (%) 77 75
Interceptions 26 22
Offsides 5 5

Historically, their head-to-heads have been tightly contested, with Mallorca narrowly edging recent encounters in terms of goals (5-3). Levante’s greater shot output and corner counts underline a pattern of direct, high-risk football, while Mallorca’s disciplinary record—more fouls and yellows—confirms their gritty, resilient nature. With Levante often forcing more corners but failing to capitalize fully, expect Mallorca’s organization to again meet Levante’s width-driven style head-on.

🚨Read our full Mallorca vs Levante stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

  • Mallorca have scored in four of their last five home matches in La Liga.
  • Levante’s corners average is 8.4 per match (last five matches)—among the highest in the division.
  • Neither club has kept a clean sheet in their last three games.
  • Both managers prefer a 4-2-3-1 but with contrasting approaches: Mallorca for possession, Levante for transition.
  • Yellow cards: Mallorca 9, Levante 5 in their last five matches—Mallorca’s midfield is more combative.
  • Levante’s win rate in 2025 stands at 50%, far surpassing Mallorca’s 28%.

Mallorca vs Levante score prediction: 2-2

This match projects as an open affair, with both teams vulnerable at the back and capable up front. Joseph and Muriqi (Mallorca) stand out in scoring potential, while Romero and Álvarez add verve to Levante’s attack. Neither defence has convinced in recent weeks, suggesting goals at both ends and the likelihood of a balanced draw.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Mallorca the favourite

Moneyline Mallorca 2.12 | Levante 3.60
Draw 3.33
Over/Under Over 2.5 2.15 | Under 2.5 1.73
BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.85 | No 1.90

Bookmakers reflect Mallorca as marginal favourites, emphasizing home advantage and slightly superior underlying performance stats. Value can be found in the goals markets—Over 2.5 and BTTS both hover close to even money—thanks to recent defensive frailty and attacking output from both sides. While Mallorca’s 2.12 odds imply a 45% win probability, Levante’s underdog price may appeal to those backing a shock given their ability to generate attacking chances.

Mallorca vs Levante Over/Under Analysis

  • Over 2.5 has landed in three of Mallorca’s last five home games.
  • Levante’s last three away outings have all hit the Over, with both teams scoring.
  • Mallorca average 1.0 goals scored but 1.5 conceded per game recently.
  • Levante average 0.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in the same span.
  • Hot tip: Both teams to score and Over 2.5 look logical given these defensive and offensive patterns.

Mallorca Preview

Mallorca come into this fixture buoyed by a 3-1 home victory over Sevilla—a result that snapped a mini-slump and provided a crucial confidence boost. Previously, they succumbed to narrow defeats against Athletic Bilbao and Real Sociedad and ground out a vital win over Alavés. Jagoba Arrasate’s 4-2-3-1 utilizes the physical presence of Vedat Muriqi and the guile of Mateo Joseph, while Samuel Costa’s dynamism in midfield controls tempo and protects the back line. However, discipline remains an issue (nine yellow cards, one red in five matches), and the defence, marshalled by Raíllo and Valjent, must tighten up.

08:00Finished18.10.2025
1SevillaSpain
3MallorcaSpain

Mallorca possible starting eleven

  • GK: Leonardo Román Riquelme
  • DF: Antonio José Raíllo, Martin Valjent, Pablo Maffeo, Johan Mojica
  • MF: Samuel Costa, Sergi Darder, Manuel Morlanes, Marc Domenech
  • FW: Vedat Muriqi, Mateo Joseph

Levante Preview

Levante’s form is mixed: a heavy 0-3 defeat at home to Rayo Vallecano offset by a thrilling 3-3 draw with Leganes and a controlled 2-0 win versus Real Oviedo. Coach Julián Calero also favours a 4-2-3-1, with Iván Romero and Carlos Álvarez injecting movement and unpredictability up front. The team’s major weapon is their ability to win corners (16 in the last five matches) and generate shots from wide areas (42 total shots). However, defensive lapses—identified through 8 goals conceded in their last five—remain problematic.

12:30Finished19.10.2025

Levante possible starting eleven

  • GK: Mathew Ryan
  • DF: Adrián de la Fuente, Jeremy Toljan, Manu Sánchez, Matias Moreno
  • MF: Pablo Martínez, Kervin Arriaga, Unai Vencedor, Oriol Rey
  • FW: Iván Romero, Carlos Álvarez


The Verdict

As expert analysts at Tips.GG, our main pick is a high-scoring draw (2-2), supported by the likelihood of defensive lapses and in-form attackers on both sides. The probability of a Mallorca win stands at 45%, a draw at 28%, and a Levante win at 26% (according to both bookmakers and our AI engine). This fixture’s balance of strengths and weaknesses, particularly in attack versus defence, raises the odds for Over 2.5 goals and BTTS—our most confident selections.

How to watch Mallorca vs Levante

  • When? Sunday, 26 October 2025
  • Kick-off time: 15:00 CEST
  • Where? Visit Mallorca Stadium, Palma, ES
  • How to watch: Official La Liga broadcasters (Movistar+, DAZN) and international streaming options
  • Favorite: Mallorca

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Levante. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

Levante. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo

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