Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol Prediction: 30 July 2026 UEFA Europa League

This second leg of the UEFA Europa League 2026/27 Second Qualifying Round is almost a formality on paper. Maccabi Tel Aviv crushed Sheriff Tiraspol 5-0 in the first leg, and the Israeli side now enters the return fixture at Batumi Arena needing only to avoid a catastrophic collapse to advance. Kenny Miller’s side have been ruthless in front of goal lately, scoring 13 times across their last five matches. One player to watch closely is striker Sayd Abu Farhi, who has bagged six goals in those five games and looks in outstanding form. For Sheriff, forward Jayder Asprilla has started every recent match and will need to be the creative spark if the Moldovan side harbors any hope of mounting a miraculous comeback.

The hot stat from this fixture: Maccabi Tel Aviv scored five goals against Sheriff in the first leg alone, making it the biggest win recorded in this tie so far and putting the aggregate deficit almost entirely out of reach.

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol Prediction

With a five-goal cushion from the first leg, Maccabi Tel Aviv are essentially playing to manage the tie rather than chase more goals. That said, their attacking output this season has been exceptional, and a team that averages nearly 2.6 goals per game over their last five matches will not sit back passively. Sheriff, on the other hand, have scored just one goal across their last five matches in all competitions, which tells you everything about their attacking threat right now.

We predict Maccabi Tel Aviv to win or draw this match comfortably. The aggregate scoreline makes it nearly impossible for Sheriff to go through, and Maccabi’s defensive structure, which has allowed minimal chances in recent outings, should hold firm. The best value bet here is a Maccabi Tel Aviv win, backed by the odds and the overwhelming first-leg advantage.

Maccabi Tel Aviv have committed only 12 fouls across their last five matches, a remarkably disciplined number that suggests Miller has his side well-organized. Sheriff, by contrast, have accumulated 11 yellow cards in five games, pointing to a team that struggles to stay composed under pressure. Sheriff’s physical approach could lead to further bookings in this leg, and that disciplinary trend could open up space for Maccabi on the break. With Maccabi’s pass accuracy and volume far exceeding Sheriff’s in recent games, the Israeli side controls the tempo of these encounters.

Team Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv have been in excellent form across the board. In their last five matches, they have recorded 56 total shots and 14 corner kicks, showing consistent attacking intent. The 5-0 demolition of Sheriff in the first leg was their most complete performance, but they also beat Hapoel Beer Sheva 3-1 in a domestic fixture shortly before that. Their only blemish in recent weeks was a 0-1 home loss to IMT Novi Beograd, which came earlier in their preparation period. Dor Peretz has contributed three goals in three appearances, and the combination of his movement with Abu Farhi’s finishing makes Maccabi genuinely dangerous from multiple angles. Roy Revivo has registered four assists in three games, acting as the creative engine from midfield. The team’s 3-5-2 shape gives them width through the wing-backs while maintaining a solid defensive base.

Sheriff Tiraspol arrive at this second leg in poor shape. Their most recent match before this tie was a 0-0 draw with Milsami in domestic competition, and the 0-5 loss in the first leg exposed serious defensive vulnerabilities. To be honest, their attacking numbers are deeply concerning: just one goal scored across five matches, with only 28 total shots in that span. Their 3-2 win over Petrocub was their only convincing attacking display recently, and even that came against modest opposition. Loukou Jaures-Ulrich has been their only goal scorer in recent fixtures. Victor Mihailov’s side have conceded heavily and look short of the quality needed to turn this tie around over 90 minutes.

🚨Check out our dedicated Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Maccabi Tel Aviv the Favourite

• Moneyline Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.35 | Sheriff Tiraspol 8.80
• Draw 5.00
• Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The odds reflect the reality of this tie. Maccabi Tel Aviv at around 1.33 to 1.36 across most books is a fair price given the five-goal aggregate advantage and their recent attacking form. Sheriff at 8.00 to 8.90 is a long shot for good reason. The draw market sitting at 5.00 is interesting for a second leg where the home side might ease off, but Maccabi’s goal threat makes even that outcome unlikely. We see the Maccabi win as the clearest value here, with the low odds justified entirely by the context.

Possible Starting Lineups

Maccabi Tel Aviv Possible Starting Eleven

Maccabi Tel Aviv look set to line up in their familiar 3-5-2 shape. Ofek Melika has started all three of their recent matches in goal. The back three of Shlomo, Camara, and Ben-Hamo has provided stability, while Sagiv Yehezkel pushing forward from a wing-back role adds an extra attacking dimension. He has two goals and three assists in three games, making him one of the most productive players across the whole squad. Up front, the Abu Farhi and Peretz partnership has been lethal, and there is no reason for Miller to change it here.

Sheriff Tiraspol Possible Starting Eleven

Sheriff are likely to set up in a 3-5-2 or a similar defensive shape, with Tîmbur in goal and a back line that includes Raí Lopes, Bourama, Ciss, and Magassouba. Miguel Mota has accumulated two yellow cards recently and may be managed carefully. Loukou Jaures-Ulrich is Sheriff’s only genuine goal threat in recent matches, and Asprilla’s work rate across the forward line will be key if they are to create any pressure at all. Danila Forov has contributed one assist and brings some physical presence, but the squad as a whole looks short of the quality needed to overturn this deficit.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

Maccabi Tel Aviv should win this second leg without too much trouble. Their attacking output across the last five games, 13 goals and 56 shots, combined with Sheriff’s inability to score consistently, makes it hard to see anything other than an Israeli victory. Sheriff are arriving at this game having conceded five in the first leg and managing just one goal across five recent matches. Their yellow card count of 11 in five games also suggests they will struggle to stay organized under sustained pressure.

We predict a Maccabi Tel Aviv win, with the Israeli side scoring at least twice and keeping a clean sheet. The “Maccabi Tel Aviv to score in both halves” tip carries real value given how freely they have been creating and converting chances. Sheriff simply do not have the firepower or the defensive solidity to change the outcome of this tie.

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