Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hamrun Prediction: 14.08.2025 UEFA Europa League

As the UEFA Europa League Third Qualifying Round heats up, Maccabi Tel Aviv host Hamrun at the iconic Bloomfield Stadium. On paper, it looks a classic clash of established continental performers and bold upstarts. Maccabi enter as strong favourites, but European nights have a tendency to spring surprises especially in the qualifying rounds, where nerve and ambition collide. Notably, these sides have already met once in this round, with Maccabi edging a 2-1 victory. For the Maltese visitors, this is more than a match: it’s a shot at European validation.

Two standout players are drawing the spotlight in this fixture. For Maccabi, Roy Revivo has impressed as a marauding full-back with two goals and an assist in his last five outings. Hamrun, meanwhile, lean heavily on the finishing touch of N Dri Philippe Koffi, who has netted twice in just two recent appearances. Their direct duel down the flanks could very well shape the balance of the tie.

The “hot stat” from the last face-off? Maccabi Tel Aviv have now won three of their last six matches, reflecting a fine run of form at a crucial phase, while Hamrun have managed just one win in five a telling gulf in recent pedigree.

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Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hamrun prediction

Given both recent form and historical context, the best value lies with Maccabi Tel Aviv to win, potentially by a clear margin. The Israeli side not only boasts a higher win rate (58 percent this year), but they play an effective 4-3-3 that thrives on control and incisiveness in the final third. Hamrun, struggling for both defensive solidity and attacking reassurance, must break a streak of four losses in their last five matches to stand a chance.

Stylistically, Maccabi are tidy in possession averaging over 360 passes per match with 85 percent pass accuracy across their last five. They’re disciplined but aggressive, having accumulated 13 yellow cards and 25 fouls, indicating a willingness to break up play high up the field. Hamrun, for their part, have matched that yellow card count but show less midfield control and fewer shots on goal, highlighting their reactive rather than proactive approach. Expect Hamrun to sit deep in their 4-1-4-1, seeking to frustrate before hitting on the counter, but Maccabi’s structure and consistency should decide the match.

Team Analysis

Maccabi Tel Aviv have demonstrated both resilience and attacking intent. Their last outing, a 2-1 win over Hamrun, showcased clinical edge goals from Revivo and Madmon and strong control in midfield. While they slipped up 0-1 against Pafos previously, their earlier draw and wins underpin a steady form line.

Hamrun, meanwhile, enter the tie short on confidence and consistency. Their last five have included heavy defeats to Dynamo Kyiv (0-3 twice), and only a solitary win over Zalgiris, suggesting both defensive vulnerabilities and difficulties in front of goal. Much depends on Koffi and Joseph Mbong replicating any sparks shown in brief attacking moments.

🚨Read our full Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hamrun stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Maccabi Tel Aviv the favourite

• Moneyline Maccabi Tel Aviv 1.20 | Hamrun 12.00
• Draw 6.50
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.58 | Under 2.5 2.30
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.70 | No 1.47

The odds reflect Maccabi’s superiority, both in squad depth and current trajectory. With the Israeli side dominant on their home turf and Hamrun inconsistent away, the gulf is stark. A Maccabi win is heavily favoured, the market underlining Hamrun’s underdog status. Over 2.5 goals is a smart punt, given both teams’ open styles and defensive lapses though Maccabi’s defence looks set to keep Hamrun quiet.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Maccabi Tel Aviv possible starting eleven

This selection mirrors the most consistent XI in recent weeks, with Gerafi keeping goal behind a stable back line marshalled by Stojic and the influential Revivo. In midfield, Sissokho drives the tempo, while the energetic trio of Madmon, Batista, and Davida offer both pace and penetration upfront. Expect a 4-3-3 setup focused on width and quick transitions; Revivo and Madmon stand out as difference makers.

Hamrun possible starting eleven

Hamrun are likely to stick with the 4-1-4-1 that provides them their best defensive stability, with Bonello trusted between the sticks. Čađenović and Compri anchor the defence, while Bjeličić is key as the midfield shield. Up top, all eyes are on Koffi to supply the goals, supported by pacey outlets in Mbong and Thioune. Expect them to focus on quick counters to catch Maccabi off guard.

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My take on the Match

With both form and quality firmly in their favour, I’m tipping Maccabi Tel Aviv to deliver a comprehensive performance in front of their home crowd. Their blend of youth and experience, tactical cohesion, and the momentum carried from their previous victory over Hamrun, are likely to prove decisive. Hamrun will scrap for pride and have enough about them to trouble the Israelis on the counter but barring a European miracle, this is Maccabi’s tie to lose. Our main pick: Maccabi Tel Aviv -1.5 Asian Handicap.

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