Liam Duckstein
Two Bulgarian clubs meet at the Dragalevtsi Stadium in Sofia on July 10, with Ludogorets taking on Septemvri Sofia in the International Club Friendly 2026. On paper this looks like a routine pre-season exercise, but history between these two sides tells a different story. Ludogorets have beaten Septemvri Sofia in four of their last five competitive meetings, including a 5-0 league demolition in May 2025, making the gap in quality very clear. The interesting twist heading into this fixture is that Septemvri Sofia arrive in better short-term form, winning two of their last three matches, while Ludogorets have managed just one win and one draw from two recent outings.
Two players worth watching are Ludogorets midfielder who has been a consistent presence in Per-Mathias Høgmo’s setup and the Septemvri Sofia forward line that produced goals against Vihren and Marek in back-to-back wins. Septemvri’s attacking players have looked sharp in their recent run, and they will need to carry that threat into this match if they are to cause an upset.
Hot stat: Ludogorets put seven goals past Etar in their most recent competitive win, a 7-4 result that shows the attacking firepower they can produce when switched on, even if their defensive side of that game was far from convincing.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026 – July Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Dragalevtsi Stadium, Sofia |
| 🗓️ Date: | 10.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 10:00 CEST |
Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia Prediction
The head-to-head record is dominant in Ludogorets’ favour. They have won four of the last five meetings without Septemvri Sofia scoring more than one goal in any of those games. The one exception was a 0-0 draw in the 2024/25 league season, which suggests Septemvri are capable of keeping things tight when organised. Still, a Ludogorets win looks like the strongest value option here. The class difference between these clubs is significant, and even in a friendly context, Ludogorets tend to impose their quality.
Septemvri Sofia’s recent wins came against sides ranked well below Ludogorets in world club rankings, so the step up in quality is real. Simão Freitas’ side has played three friendlies this July, winning two and losing one, but none of those opponents match the calibre of Ludogorets. The 2-3 loss to Slavia Sofia in their most recent outing is a reminder that they can be exposed defensively at a higher level.
Ludogorets’ recent form is mixed with draws and losses featuring in their last stretch of competitive games, but this is a friendly setting where rotation is expected. The 7-4 win over Etar shows their attack can fire at any time, and we predict Ludogorets to win this comfortably. Both teams have shown a willingness to score in recent outings, so goals from both sides are a realistic possibility, making BTTS an attractive option alongside a Ludogorets win.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Ludogorets Win & Both Teams to Score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Ludogorets come into this friendly off the back of a 2-2 draw with FC Botosani, a result that followed a chaotic 7-4 win over Etar. That Etar result is worth dwelling on. Ludogorets scored seven goals but conceded four, which points to an open, high-tempo style of play right now, likely influenced by pre-season rotation and tactical experimentation under Per-Mathias Høgmo. Before those two matches, they drew 0-0 with Lokomotiv Plovdiv and edged CSKA Sofia 1-0, showing they can also grind results when needed. Their overall July record stands at one win and one draw from two friendly outings, but the broader picture across this year shows 14 wins from 31 matches, a 45% win rate that reflects a competitive schedule rather than poor form.
Septemvri Sofia have been in decent shape recently, picking up wins over Vihren (2-0) and Marek (3-0) before suffering a 2-3 defeat to Slavia Sofia in their most recent game. That loss is notable because Slavia Sofia are a Bulgarian rival of real quality, and Septemvri were undone despite scoring twice. Their most recent friendly record in July reads one win and one loss from two matches, with a goal difference of 4-3. Over the season as a whole, they have won nine from 27 matches at a 33% win rate. Coach Simão Freitas appears to favour an attacking approach, and the 3-0 win over Marek showed genuine sharpness in front of goal. Defensively, though, conceding three to Slavia Sofia suggests vulnerabilities that Ludogorets will look to target.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides have met five times in recent seasons across the Bulgarian league and cup, with Ludogorets winning four of those encounters.
| Statistic | Ludogorets | Septemvri Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 12 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Ludogorets vs Septemvri Sofia stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Ludogorets the Favourite
No bookmaker odds were available for this fixture at the time of writing. Based on the head-to-head record and the quality gap between the two clubs, Ludogorets should be firm favourites. The five previous meetings have seen Ludogorets win four times, conceding just one goal across those four wins. Septemvri Sofia’s only points came in a 0-0 draw in the 2024/25 season. Any odds that offer value on a Ludogorets win or a high-scoring game should be considered, especially given the attacking output both sides have shown recently.
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Ludogorets. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict a Ludogorets win in a match that sees goals at both ends. The head-to-head record is overwhelmingly in Ludogorets’ favour, and while this is a friendly setting, their quality advantage over Septemvri Sofia is too large to ignore. The 7-4 win over Etar and the 2-2 draw with Botosani both suggest Ludogorets are in an open, free-scoring phase of pre-season, and Septemvri’s defensive record in recent matches gives them every reason to be cautious. Septemvri have shown they can find the net, which makes BTTS appealing, but the match result should go the way of the Razgrad side. A Ludogorets win with both teams to score is our preferred bet, and over 2.5 total goals is a strong supporting play given the attacking intent both sides have displayed this July.
