Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau Predictions: Odds and betting tips for Liga 1 - 17.04.2026

In the heart of Andahuaylas, at the vibrant Estadio Los Chankas, Liga 1’s Apertura brings us a compelling encounter between Los Chankas and Atletico Grau on April 17, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 22:00 CEST. As these Peruvian outfits lock horns amid the early drama of the Apertura, both teams prepare not merely for three points, but for a statement of intent in the nation’s premier football competition. Los Chankas, managed by Walter Paolella, hold second place with an undefeated record, while Atletico Grau, led by Gerardo Ameli, find themselves desperate to climb out of the lower reaches of the table. With both sides set to deploy their familiar shapes – Los Chankas in a fluid 4-3-3, Atletico Grau in a more intricate 3-4-1-2 – tactical intrigue is guaranteed.

While the spotlight naturally falls on collective form, keep a close eye on Adrian Quiroz for Los Chankas, a midfielder whose creativity and late surging runs have been pivotal in their unbeaten start, and Atletico Grau’s I. Camargo, whose recent scoring has given his side a much-needed attacking spark from deeper positions.
Notably, Los Chankas come into this match on the back of four consecutive wins, boasting a perfect 100% record over the past month – a testament to their winning consistency.

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Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau predictions

My best bet: Los Chankas to win.
Based on both form and underlying numbers, Los Chankas are the clear favorite here. Their remarkable 78% win rate this year, clear home advantage, and the fluency of their 4-3-3 set-up contrast sharply with Atletico Grau’s struggles – just 1 win in 9 matches in 2026. Los Chankas’ attacking depth, led by Quiroz and Torres, repeatedly breaks down defensive lines, while Atletico Grau’s defensive structure has buckled under pressure, conceding ten goals in the league already. The bookmakers make Los Chankas strong favorites, with odds rarely drifting above 1.67 for the home win, reflecting the gulf in current quality.

In stylistic terms, Los Chankas’ play marries controlled possession (566 passes per match, 72% accuracy) with incisive attacks and disciplined fouling (19 fouls and just 4 yellow cards over five matches). In contrast, Atletico Grau play a more direct style, evident in their higher foul count (37 in last five games), more yellow cards (six), and less control in build-up (450 passes, 65% accuracy). Los Chankas’ composure makes them less susceptible to costly cards or set-piece concessions, a significant edge in tight Liga 1 contests.

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

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Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau Most recent H2Hs

Historically, these encounters have been closely contested with both teams scoring in each of the last three matches. Notably, Los Chankas claimed a 3-2 victory in their most recent head-to-head in the 2025 Clausura. While Atletico Grau snatched a 2-1 away win in last season’s Apertura, the overall recent form, especially Los Chankas’ defensive improvements and offensive productivity, suggest the momentum now squarely favors the hosts.

🚨Read our full Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Los Chankas are unbeaten in home matches this season (7 wins, 2 draws).
• Atletico Grau have failed to win any away fixture and have just one victory in their opening nine matches.
• Both teams have scored in all of their last three meetings.
• Atletico Grau commit nearly double the number of fouls compared to Los Chankas, increasing risk of disciplinary issues.
• Los Chankas average over two goals per match in the league, making them Liga 1’s second-highest scorers so far.

Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau score prediction: 3-1

This contest is set to be defined by Los Chankas’ attacking quality and home advantage. Expect Adrian Quiroz and Franco Nicolas Torres to drive the hosts forward, capitalizing on Grau’s inconsistent midfield coverage. However, I. Camargo and Raúl Ruidíaz’s counter-attacking flair could carve out a consolation for the visitors if Los Chankas’ fullbacks push high up the pitch. Given recent trends and both teams’ scoring records, a 3-1 victory for Los Chankas appears the most likely outcome.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Chankas the favourite

The odds paint a clear picture: bookmakers expect Los Chankas to leverage their home form and superior attack. The 1.67 odds for a home win are justified by their unbeaten streak and high scoring rate, while Grau’s poor conversion in away fixtures renders an upset less likely. Over 2.5 goals is attractively priced, reflecting both teams’ open tactical approaches and defensive vulnerability. Both teams to score remains a viable prop, given each side’s history of finding the net in these matches.

Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau Over/Under Analysis

• Over 2.5 goals has occurred in 3 of the last 4 Los Chankas matches.
• Both teams have scored in 75% of the last head-to-head meetings.
• Atletico Grau have conceded in every away Liga 1 match this year.
• Los Chankas’ last five matches averaged 3.2 total goals each.
• Match projects to 9 to 11 corners based on both teams’ season averages.

Los Chankas Preview

Los Chankas come into this battle brimming with confidence, riding a four-match winning streak. Their most recent triumph, a tight 1-0 win against Cajamarca, showcased their defensive concentration and ability to grind out results against physically robust opponents. Earlier, victories over Sporting Cristal (3-2), Juan Pablo II (3-2), and Universitario de Deportes (3-1) illustrated offensive variety and resilience, with Quiroz, Ayarza, and Torres consistently featuring among the goals and assists. Defensively, Los Chankas have blended structured pressing with swift counters, limiting opponents’ creative output while maximizing their athleticism in transitions.

Los Chankas possible starting eleven

Atletico Grau Preview

Despite a challenging opening to 2026, Atletico Grau showed flashes of potential in their last four matches, earning draws against Alianza Atletico (2-2), Deportivo Garcilaso (0-0) and FBC Melgar (0-0), before a breakthrough 1-0 win over Cajamarca. The side’s defensive improvement is noteworthy, having conceded only twice across four matches, but the lack of offensive firepower (just five league goals) limits their ability to control matches. Gerardo Ameli’s switch to a more conservative 3-4-1-2 has yielded defensive solidarity, but Grau’s inability to sustain pressure or convert their counter-attacks into goals remains a consistent theme.

Atletico Grau possible starting eleven

The Verdict

As the Tips.GG team of sports analysts, our main pick for this encounter is a Los Chankas victory. With 75%+ win probability powered by our dedicated AI prediction engine and supported by recent form, squad stability, and home edge, the odds are stacked towards a Los Chankas win. Atletico Grau’s resilient rearguard offers some promise, but the attacking talent and momentum of the hosts are likely to prove decisive in a high-energy match-up under the lights of Andahuaylas.

How to watch Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau

• When? April 17, 2026. Kick-off time: 22:00 CEST
• Where? Estadio Los Chankas, Andahuaylas, Peru
• How to watch: Available via Liga 1 official broadcasters and streaming platforms.
• Favorite: Los Chankas

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