Sofia Quijada
On November 5, 2025, Estadio Los Chankas in Andahuaylas will set the stage for a highly anticipated Liga 1 Clausura clash as Los Chankas take on Alianza Lima. With kick-off scheduled for 22:15 CEST, both sides enter this decisive phase of the Peruvian top flight jostling for critical points—Alianza Lima seeking to solidify their standing in the upper echelons, while Los Chankas fight within a congested mid-table battle.
In the tactical arena, eyes will naturally gravitate toward Pablo Bueno for Los Chankas—whose striking instincts have delivered 3 goals in his last 4 outings—and Paolo Guerrero, the emblematic Alianza Lima forward, equally influential with 3 goals and 2 assists over the same recent span. The playmaking ability of Sergio Peña may also become pivotal for Alianza’s transitions in the final third.
Of particular note: Across their latest five matches, Alianza Lima’s offense has outshone most of the division, registering 8 goals and 72 total shots—a testimony to their relentless attacking production.
🏅Best bets for Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima at Thunderpick with a Welcome offer +100% up to 600€💰
Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima predictions
My best bet: Alianza Lima to win. The visitors have outperformed Los Chankas in recent direct matchups and exhibit a more consistent offensive rhythm, reflected in both their higher shot tally and pass accuracy. Alianza’s squad depth and tactical fluidity under Néstor Gorosito give them an edge, particularly given their strong away form and historic head-to-head superiority.
Looking deeper into playing styles, Los Chankas have shown tenacity—averaging 11 fouls and 2 yellow cards per match—but sometimes at the cost of rhythm and discipline. Their intermittent pressing can create opportunities but also leave gaps for a tactically mature opponent like Alianza. Meanwhile, Alianza Lima maintains superior ball possession and passing efficiency, with notably fewer cards—a sign of disciplined, controlled aggression. These elements combine to favor a team capable of weathering pressure and capitalizing in transition.
- ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
- 💥Both Teams To Score: No
- 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5
Best bets this month available at Thunderpick
Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima Most recent H2Hs
| Statistic | Los Chankas | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0 | 1 |
| Total shots | 5 | 11 |
| Free kicks | 16 | 15 |
| Corner kicks | 3 | 5 |
| Total fouls | 17 | 13 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 73 | 81 |
| Interceptions | 13 | 9 |
| Offsides | 3 | 2 |
Previous encounters suggest a pattern of narrow margins. Alianza Lima has edged both last meetings by a single goal (1-0), reinforcing their resilience under pressure. Los Chankas have struggled to break the Alianza defense, which tends to tighten notably in head-to-head scenarios. While both teams generate several set-piece opportunities, execution and finishing have decidedly favored the visitors.
🚨Read our full Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima stats for more analysis.
Key Stats
- Alianza Lima has not conceded more than a single goal in their last 5 matches with Los Chankas.
- Pablo Bueno is responsible for every Los Chankas goal over the last 4 games (3 goals scored).
- Alianza Lima produces an average of 14.4 shots per game in recent outings—best in the league for October.
- Pass accuracy edge: Alianza Lima’s 81 percent vs Los Chankas’ 73 percent in recent head-to-head meetings.
- Los Chankas has yet to earn a draw in the Clausura—either win or lose through all 14 matches played.
- Disciplinary edge: Alianza Lima averages only 1.4 yellow cards per match, the lowest among top 8 teams.
Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima score prediction: 0-1
Considering historical trends and current player form, a tight, tactical battle is expected. Paolo Guerrero, with his leadership and knack for decisive moments, is likely to be the focal point in front of goal for Alianza, while Pablo Bueno must shoulder the attacking load for Los Chankas. Both defenses are more disciplined than their offensive lines, and the history of low-scoring encounters points toward a narrow away win.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Alianza Lima the favourite
| Moneyline | Los Chankas 3.55 | Alianza Lima 2.02 | |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 3.20 | |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 2.08 | Under 2.5 1.80 | |
| BTTS (both teams to score) | Yes 1.97 | No 1.75 | |
Alianza Lima emerges as the odds-on favorite by a wide margin. The books reflect faith in their recent form and attacking output but show respect to Los Chankas’ ability at home. “Under 2.5 goals” is priced as the likeliest scenario, consistent with the pattern of close contests and the limited scoring history between the sides.
Los Chankas. Source: Official Facebook
Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima Over/Under Analysis
- Each of Los Chankas’ last 4 matches ended with Under 2.5 goals.
- Alianza Lima has seen just 1 of their last 5 matches with more than 2.5 goals.
- Both teams’ last head-to-heads have not seen both sides score (BTTS No consistently lands).
- Corner count in both teams’ recent matches frequently exceeds 9, making “Over 9.5 corners” attractive.
Los Chankas Preview
Los Chankas come into this contest buoyed by an 80 percent win rate over the last month, recently dispatching Ayacucho, Sporting Cristal, and Juan Pablo II by 1-0 scorelines. A setback came in a 0-1 home loss to Alianza Atlético, but the team quickly rebounded. Their defensive commitment—manifest in 35 interceptions and 55 fouls over the last five matches—reveals a combative spirit, though lack of offensive versatility (just 3 goals in 5) could prove costly against better-organized opponents.
Los Chankas possible starting eleven
- GK: Willy Diaz
- DF: Ayrthon Carlos Edu Quintana Azalde, H. González, Ederson Mogollón, Kelvin Sanchez
- MF: Jordan Guivin, Franco Nicolas Torres, Jorge Samir Palomino Poma, Braian Rivero
- FW: Pablo Bueno, Oshiro Takeuchi
Alianza Lima Preview
Néstor Gorosito’s Alianza Lima side have found their stride with a balanced mix of veteran poise and direct attacking intent. Recent triumphs over Sport Boys (3-1) and Sport Huancayo (2-1) display their capacity to seize momentum early and dictate pace through ball retention (1329 accurate passes in their last 5). Paolo Guerrero continues to lead from the front, ably supported by Sergio Peña and Pedro Aquino. Mixing a 5-3-2 formation with dynamic wingback play, their structure allows for swift transitions but retains enough discipline to withstand pressure.
Alianza Lima possible starting eleven
- GK: Ángelo Campos
- DF: Miguel Trauco, Renzo Garces, Carlos Zambrano, Josué Estrada, Marco Huaman
- MF: Sergio Peña, Jesús Castillo, Fernando Gaibor
- FW: Paolo Guerrero, Erick Castillo
Alianza Lima. Source: Official Facebook
Our prediction: Who Wins?
As a TipsGG team of expert analysts, our AI prediction engine assigns Alianza Lima a 45 percent chance of victory—mirroring bookmaker consensus. Their technical quality, tactical discipline, and proven clutch performers tip the scales. Los Chankas will bring intensity and a passionate home crowd, but history, recent H2H trends, and attacking threat suggest Alianza Lima will prevail—by the finest of margins. Expect a disciplined, tactical contest where set pieces and quick transitions could be decisive.
How to watch Los Chankas vs Alianza Lima
- When? November 5, 2025
- Kick-off time: 22:15 CEST
- Where? Estadio Los Chankas, Andahuaylas, Peru
- How to watch: Local Peruvian broadcasters and selected streaming services (check official Liga 1 media partners)
- Favorite: Alianza Lima
Best football betting sites and Bonuses
| 🏆Betting site | 💰Welcome offer | 🤑Promo code |
|---|---|---|
| WinSpirit | Welcome bonus 100% up to 100$; 25% Freebet | TIPS.GG |
| Thunderpick | Welcome offer +100% up to 600€ | TIPSGG |
| GG.bet | Freebet up to 50USD | TIPSGG |
| N1Bet | Welcome offer 120% up to 600$ | TIPSGG |
| Stake | 200% promo code bonus up to 500$ | TIPSGG |
