Los Angeles vs Esperance Tunis Prediction: 21.06.2025 FIFA Club World Cup Preview

As Group D in the FIFA Club World Cup 2025 gathers momentum, Los Angeles and Esperance Tunis lock horns at Geodis Park, Nashville, with both teams striving to rebound from opening losses to group heavyweights. The encounter is more than just a battle for points—it’s an early decider for who might still have a shot at emerging from the so-called ‘group of death’. LA, representing MLS, finds itself under the microscope against an Esperance side renowned for its resilience on the African continent.

While much attention will be given to how these sides handle the bright lights of the Club World Cup, keep a close eye on LA forward Denis Bouanga, who has tallied two goals and three assists in his last four, and Esperance’s versatile midfielder Onuche Ogbelu, a steady presence in the heart of their setup. Their form could tilt the midfield battle—so often the crucial canvas on which big games are painted.

Hot stat: Esperance Tunis, despite a prolific domestic season with 68% win rate, have failed to find the net in their last 5 matches at this level—a drought the LA defenders will be eager to extend.

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Los Angeles vs Esperance Tunis prediction

Our best value pick for this matchup leans toward Los Angeles securing the points—backed up by both statistical edges and the context of recent performances. The bookmakers have LA at a substantially shorter price, reflecting their attacking intent and Esperance’s struggles to adapt outside North Africa. LA’s greater shot volume (68 total attempts across five games versus just 6 for Esperance) and the home comfort of playing in the US suggest they will dominate ball possession and chances created.

Expect the match to see an assertive yet measured LA approach. Despite a relatively high count of 11 yellows in the last five games, their style is less reckless than Esperance’s, whose 19 fouls in the same span and patchy passing (pass accuracy down at 80%) could see them lose midfield control and risk further cautions. LA’s advantage in passing accuracy and overall attacking ambition may well translate to both territorial dominance and conversion, but do not underestimate Esperance’s defensive resolve—they’ve only seen 4 yellows despite heavy pressure.

Team Analysis

Los Angeles Recent Games:
Steven Cherundolo’s men come into this fixture following a 0-2 reverse against Chelsea—a match where LA showcased grit but lacked end-product against elite European opposition. Notably, wins over Club America (2-1) and Kansas City (3-1) in the run up have highlighted their attacking depth, with Denis Bouanga and Olivier Giroud proving a handful in the final third. Draws versus LA Galaxy and CF Montreal indicate some defensive vulnerability, particularly when pressed aggressively, but they still edge the xG battle in most fixtures, thanks to aggressive pressing and width from fullbacks. Recent match rhythms suggest a team that presses high, is not afraid to shoot on sight, but can be exposed if countered with pace.

Esperance Tunis Recent Games:
Maher Kanzari’s Esperance side enters under pressure after falling 0-2 to Flamengo RJ. They’ve been dominant in the Tunisian league (three wins and a draw prior to Nashville) yet have struggled to convert that domestic power to goals at Club World Cup level, as evidenced by that barren five-game stretch. Their victories over Ben Guerdane (3-0) and Zarzis (3-1) were full of control, but the moment they faced stiffer opposition—Flamengo, in this case—their attacking verve faded. Esperance’s formation mirrors LA’s 4-2-3-1, but the lack of cutting edge up front and limited shot output (just 6 shots in their last five) raises questions about their ability to threaten in transition or sustained possession.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Los Angeles vs Esperance Tunis stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Angeles the favourite

• Moneyline Los Angeles 1.90 | Esperance Tunis 4.55
• Draw 3.45
• Over/Under Over 2.5 2.14 | Under 2.5 1.68
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.45 | No 1.55

These odds clearly favour LA, reflecting both their local advantage, greater attacking volume, and Esperance’s persistent scoring woes. The high price for an Esperance win is merited, given their goal drought against top-level opposition and LA’s clear statistical superiority in shooting and possession. Under 2.5 goals is a short price, owing to both sides’ recent scoring trends and defensive focus. BTTS ‘No’ is the bookies’ preferred angle, and with Esperance unable to threaten regularly, this market looks justified.

You can find all our predictions for today’s games on our football betting tips page.

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Possible Starting Lineups

Los Angeles possible starting eleven

Cherundolo is likely to stick to the familiar 4-2-3-1, which has offered both defensive stability and flexibility in attack. Lloris brings vast experience in net, flanked by a reliable back line with Palencia and Hollingshead offering width and attacking forays. In midfield, Delgado’s industry pairs well with Igor Jesus’ progressive play, while Tillman can drift to link the pivot to attack. Bouanga and Giroud remain the standout threats—Bouanga’s drive from wide and Giroud’s penalty-box craft should keep Esperance’s rearguard honest. Ebobisse completes the trio, offering movement and pressing from the front. If LA get on the front foot, Bouanga is the man to watch for a decisive spark.

Esperance Tunis possible starting eleven

Kanzari’s Esperance are also set to line up in a 4-2-3-1, banking on midfield discipline and compactness. Ben Said’s reliability between the sticks will be vital, with the defensive quartet seeking to limit the space for LA’s creative attackers. The midfield trio—anchored by Ogbelu and Guenichi—will be tasked with not just ball retention but also launching quick transitions, though goal-scoring responsibility falls heavily on Belaïli and Silva. If Esperance are to arrest their drought, the creativity and unpredictability of Belaïli could prove crucial, but questions remain on whether they possess enough firepower to disrupt LA’s rhythm.

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My take on the Match

As we prepare for another chapter in football’s global festival, the narrative distinctly favours Los Angeles. Their attacking numbers, versatility, and home comfort should prove decisive, especially against an Esperance Tunis outfit still searching for solutions in the final third. While wary of Esperance’s disciplined shape and counter-attacking ambition, we tip LA to edge this, likely with a clean sheet in a low-scoring affair. The key? LA’s ability to sustain pressure high up, break down a stubborn defence, and trust in their creative stars—Bouanga in particular. Should LA snatch an early goal, the onus will be on Esperance to open up, potentially exposing space for LA to exploit as the match wears on.

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