Sofia Quijada
The Estadio Eduardo Gallardon in Lomas de Zamora will set the stage for a vital Primera Nacional 2025 regular season showdown between Los Andes and Alvarado on 6 June 2025, with kick-off scheduled for 02:00 CEST. Both clubs enter this Argentinian campaign fighting for much-needed points, albeit from very different perspectives on the league table. Los Andes, currently 25th with 20 points from 16 games, aim to steady their form under coach Leonardo Lemos, while relegation-threatened Alvarado—sitting 33rd and carrying only 13 points—desperately seek a turnaround under Pablo Quattrocchi’s guidance.
A pair of pivotal outfield players could shape this match’s rhythm and outcome: for Los Andes, Matias Nicolas Gomez stands out with his recent crucial goal-scoring presence, and for Alvarado, Agustín Bolívar brings dynamic midfield thrust, having recently found the net himself.
Hot stat: Across their last five outings, Los Andes have registered 16 corners—showcasing their persistent attacking set-piece threat—while Alvarado have struggled to average a single goal per game and have the fewest wins in the league.
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Los Andes vs Alvarado predictions
Me best bet: Los Andes to win.
Reasoning: Despite some erratic form, Los Andes possess a home advantage and have a markedly better win rate this year (29 percent) than Alvarado, who have secured only two victories in 16 league matches. Alvarado’s recent away record is especially dire, and their offensive inefficacy (just 10 goals this season) underscores the task ahead.
In terms of style, Los Andes tend to leverage a traditional 4-4-2 with an emphasis on wide play, overlapping fullbacks, and set-piece opportunities—as evidenced by their high number of corners (16 in the last five matches). High foul and yellow card counts (11 yellows recently) indicate an aggressive defensive approach that can disrupt rhythm, but also risks conceding free kicks. Alvarado mirror the same formation but have lower possession rates and generate fewer attacking chances, with discipline slightly improved (6 yellows) but insufficient to shift momentum. Expect physical football, frequent midfield turnovers, and a cautious tempo from the visitors.
- ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
- 💥Both Teams To Score: No
- 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5
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Los Andes vs Alvarado Most recent H2Hs
| Statistic | Los Andes | Alvarado |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
| Total shots | 17 | 9 |
| Corner kicks | 16 | 11 |
The previous matchups between these sides reveal tightly contested battles characterized by defensive caution and few clear-cut opportunities. Los Andes typically edge possession and set-piece creation, while Alvarado struggle to generate sustained offensive pressure—reflected in the total number of chances and goals per encounter.
🚨Read our full Los Andes vs Alvarado stats for more analysis.
Key Stats
- Los Andes have averaged 1 point per match at home this season.
- Alvarado possess the lowest win rate (13 percent) among all sides in the bottom five of the Primera Nacional standings.
- Across their last five games, Los Andes have won more corners (16) than any of their nearest direct rivals.
- Both teams deploy the 4-4-2 formation, but Los Andes create nearly double the number of goal-scoring opportunities as Alvarado in recent matches.
- Alvarado have conceded 20 goals in just 16 games—second-worst in the league.
- Matias Nicolas Gomez (Los Andes) and Agustín Bolívar (Alvarado) are the only midfielders for either side to record a goal in their last five appearances.
Los Andes vs Alvarado score prediction: 1-0
Given Los Andes’ robust set-piece execution and Alvarado’s protracted scoring droughts, the likely outcome is a tight, low-scoring contest. Expect home advantage and an aggressive midfield led by Gomez to be decisive, with Bolívar trying to break through Los Andes’ disciplined defense but facing a tough challenge.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Los Andes the favourite
- Moneyline Los Andes 2.00 | Alvarado 4.60
- Draw 2.90
- Over/Under Over 2.5 2.70 | Under 2.5 1.40
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.25 | No 1.60
Los Andes are favored by bookmakers and prediction models alike: their home field advantage, greater points haul, and recent attacking stats stand in stark contrast to Alvarado’s troubles. The low price on “Under 2.5 goals” reflects both teams’ chronic offensive struggles and willingness to battle it out physically. With Alvarado desperate for points, ultra-defensive tactics could frustrate the home side for spells—but Los Andes’ superior quality and set-pieces tip the scales.
Los Andes vs Alvarado Over/Under Analysis
- Four of Los Andes’ last five games have finished with under 2.5 goals.
- Alvarado have failed to score in two of their previous three away matches.
- Neither team has registered more than two goals in a single match over their past five outings combined.
- With both teams committed to physical, tactical football, expect under 2.5 goals and high aggregate bookings.
Los Andes. Source: Official Website
Los Andes Preview
Los Andes approach this fixture carrying mixed momentum: their last four matches produced one win, one draw, and two defeats—highlighting persistent inconsistency but also pockets of resilience. Their latest outing, a 1-1 stalemate versus All Boys, saw Los Andes press energetically in midfield with Gomez scoring the crucial goal. Defensively robust when organized, the team’s midfield has begun to chip in more offensively, suggesting a tactical shift from coach Leonardo Lemos to break their scoring malaise. Set-pieces, especially corners, continue to be a source of danger and may prove decisive here.
Los Andes possible starting eleven
- GK: Sebastián López
- DF: Gabriel Carrasco, Roman Daniel Riquelme, Brian Alexis Leizza, Agustín Omar Bellone
- MF: Guillermo Pereira, Carlos Alfredo Arce, Matias Nicolas Gomez, Francisco Guillermo Marco
- FW: Tomas Rambert, Gastón Gerzel
Alvarado Preview
Alvarado arrive in Lomas de Zamora on the back of a blunt attacking run and a stuttering away record. Last time out, they fell 0-2 to Arsenal de Sarandi—failing to convert key opportunities and allowing early pressure to dictate the tempo. Although midfielder Agustín Bolívar added a rare goal recently, Alvarado’s attack is worryingly blunt (one goal in last five games). Defensive lapses and a mounting goals-conceded tally (20) amplify the pressure on Quattrocchi’s side. Expect Alvarado to defend deep, seek counter-attacks, and rely on set-pieces for any breakthrough.
Alvarado possible starting eleven
- GK: G. Francisco
- DF: V. Werro, Tomas Fernandez, Mateo Ortale, Brian Blasi
- MF: Julián Emanuel Ascacibar, Franco Agustín Vega, Matias Mansilla, Diego Becker, Marco Borgnino
- FW: M. Bergara, Joaquin Susvielles
Our prediction: Who Wins?
As the Tips.GG expert, our pick is a narrow Los Andes victory. The squad’s home field edge, more varied attacking options, and superior recent set-piece threat should provide just enough to edge past an Alvarado side lacking offensive punch. According to our dedicated AI prediction engine, Los Andes have a 47 percent win probability to Alvarado’s 20 percent—with a 32 percent chance of a stalemate. Expect a spirited but cagey contest befitting two sides battling to revive their seasons.
Alvarado. Source: Official Website
How to watch Los Andes vs Alvarado
When? 6 June 2025, kick-off at 02:00 CEST.
Where? Estadio Eduardo Gallardon, Lomas de Zamora, AR.
How to watch: Streaming options TBC (check local listings and official tournament partner platforms).
Favorite: Los Andes
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