Londrina PR vs Avai Prediction: 16 June 2026 Campeonato Brasileiro Série B

Two of the Série B’s most troubled sides meet at Estadio Jacy Scaff in what is effectively a relegation battle. Londrina PR sit 18th with just 8 points from 12 games, while Avai are only two points better off in 17th. Both clubs are deep in the danger zone, and with neither having won more than two league games all season, this fixture carries serious stakes. The interesting angle here is that Londrina have actually outscored Avai across their last five matches, 4 goals to 2, despite losing four of those five games, pointing to a leaky defense on both sides rather than a lack of attacking intent.

For Londrina, Bruno Santos de Oliveira is the player to watch. He leads the side with 1 goal and 2 assists from his last four appearances, combining physical presence with a willingness to press. For Avai, Paulo Vitor stands out in midfield, contributing the only goal among Avai’s tracked players across the last five matches, alongside a solid passing rate of 81%.

Hot stat: Londrina PR have committed 46 fouls and picked up 10 yellow cards across their last five matches, an average of over 9 fouls and 2 yellows per game. That level of aggression in a tight relegation clash is a significant factor for disciplinary markets and free kick frequency.

Londrina PR vs Avai Prediction

The bookmakers give Londrina a 42% chance of winning on home soil, and the home advantage is meaningful here. Avai arrive having lost 5 of their last 8 matches, including a wild 7-5 defeat to Chapecoense, a lower-division side, which signals severe defensive disorganization. Londrina, despite their poor run, did manage a 4-1 win over Ponte Preta two matches ago and tend to generate more volume in attack, recording 44 total shots to Avai’s 22 across recent outings.

We predict a Londrina PR win here. Playing at home against a defensively fragile Avai side that conceded 7 in a single match recently, Rogério Micale’s team should find openings. Avai’s 4-2-3-1 structure has struggled to hold shape under pressure, and Londrina’s 3-4-2-1 gives them width and overloads in wide areas that can exploit that.

Londrina’s foul count of 46 across five matches, compared to Avai’s 27, reflects a more aggressive, direct style of play. Avai, with 5 yellow cards to Londrina’s 10, are more disciplined but have been far less competitive defensively. Londrina’s higher pass volume (1,342 vs 776) and greater shot output suggest they dominate possession at home. Avai’s pass accuracy of 82% (639 accurate from 776) is actually slightly better proportionally than Londrina’s 79% (1,060 from 1,342), but quantity and pressure tend to win out in low-stakes, scrappy relegation matches. The corner count also favors Londrina heavily, 12 to 3, which speaks to their sustained pressure in attacking areas.

• We predict: Londrina PR to Win
• Over 2.5 Goals looks strong given both defenses’ fragility
• Both Teams to Score: Yes, given Avai’s attacking output and Londrina’s defensive record

Team Analysis

Londrina PR have been in poor form, winning just 1 of their last 5 matches with 4 defeats and no draws. Their most recent fixture ended in a 0-1 loss to Criciuma, extending a run of three consecutive defeats. Before that, they fell 0-1 to league leaders Vila Nova and 0-3 to Fortaleza. The one bright spot was a 4-1 demolition of Ponte Preta, where Bruno Santos de Oliveira showed his quality. Defensively, Londrina have conceded 9 goals across those five games, a rate that is difficult to sustain. With 3 red cards in 5 matches, discipline has been a recurring problem under Rogério Micale.

Avai have played 8 matches in the last 30 days, winning just 2 and losing 5. Their most recent game was a 1-2 defeat to Ceara, where Paulo Vitor scored but the side conceded twice. The 5-7 loss to Chapecoense before that is alarming, a chaotic match that exposed every defensive weakness Avai carry. They did beat Chapecoense 3-0 in the reverse fixture just three days earlier, and also beat Volta Redonda 3-0, suggesting their form is wildly inconsistent. Coach Cauan Almeida has not found a stable defensive setup, and that unpredictability makes Avai a risky selection as an away side.

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Check out our dedicated Londrina PR vs Avai stats page for more info.

Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Londrina PR the Favourite

• Moneyline Londrina PR 2.20 | Avai 3.22
• Draw 3.08
• Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —

Londrina are priced around 2.20 on average, which reflects their home advantage despite a poor season. The 42% win probability the market assigns them feels fair, perhaps even slightly conservative given Avai’s recent defensive collapse. Avai at 3.20+ is a price that acknowledges their away struggles and inconsistency. The draw at 3.08-3.10 looks like the sharpest price of the three, but we do not expect a stalemate given how open both defenses have been. The Londrina win at 2.19-2.27 carries genuine value in context.

Possible Starting Lineups

Londrina PR Possible Starting Eleven

Londrina are expected to line up in their preferred 3-4-2-1 shape. Mauricio Kozlinski has appeared in 4 of the last 5 games and is the clear first-choice goalkeeper. Gabriel Santos Cordeiro Lacerda has been a consistent presence at the back across all four of those matches. In attack, Bruno Santos de Oliveira is the focal point with 1 goal and 2 assists, and his link-up play with Thalis Henrique Cantanhede, who has registered 1 assist and 9 shots, makes them the primary creative pairing. The three red cards in five games are a concern and suggest Micale may need to tighten up his defensive instructions.

Avai Possible Starting Eleven

Avai are set to deploy their 4-2-3-1 formation, with Otávio in goal after recent appearances. The defensive unit of Douglas da Silva Teixeira, Wallison, and Wesley has been present across the last two matches, though results suggest the backline needs significant improvement. Paulo Vitor is the standout in midfield, the only player among tracked starters to find the net, and his 81% pass accuracy makes him the most reliable ball-carrier. Luiz Henrique provides defensive cover with 3 interceptions and solid passing volume. Coach Cauan Almeida has limited options to shuffle given the squad’s inconsistency.

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TipsGG Match Prediction

This is a basement battle between two sides in genuine relegation danger. Londrina PR, despite their poor record, have played more aggressively at home, generating far more shots (44 vs 22), corners (12 vs 3), and attacking pressure than Avai have managed in recent outings. Avai’s defensive record is alarming, having conceded 17 goals in 12 league games and shipping 7 in a single match just recently. Playing away from home, with a squad that has won only 2 of its last 8 matches, Avai look vulnerable.

We predict Londrina PR to win, with both teams finding the net. The Over 2.5 goals line looks well-supported by both sides’ defensive records. For a non-typical market, Londrina’s disciplinary record (10 yellow cards, 3 red cards in 5 matches) makes the over on their yellow card count an attractive option. To be honest, neither side inspires confidence, but home advantage and attacking output tip the balance toward Londrina.

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