Sofia Quijada
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Llaneros host Millonarios at Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana in Villavicencio on 28 August in what is one of the more intriguing Clausura fixtures so far. Llaneros sit second in the table with 11 points from five games, unbeaten this phase, and they welcome a Millonarios side sitting ninth with seven points. The two clubs have met three times in competitive football since early 2025, with Millonarios winning two of those, but Llaneros claimed the most recent league encounter between them, a 1-0 win in the 2025 Clausura. Leonardo Castro leads Millonarios in attack with two goals in three games across recent fixtures and is the visitor’s most dangerous outlet, while Jhon Vasquez has contributed a goal and an assist in four appearances for Llaneros and carries a constant threat from deep positions.
Hot stat: Llaneros have conceded just three goals in five Clausura matches while scoring seven, the joint-best defensive record alongside América de Cali at this stage of the phase.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Primera A 2026, Clausura |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Manuel Calle Lombana, Villavicencio |
| 🗓️ Date: | 28.08.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 01:10 CEST |
Llaneros vs Millonarios Prediction
Llaneros are unbeaten in five Clausura games at home, and their form over the last 30 days is the stronger of the two sides: three wins and two draws from five matches against Millonarios’ two wins, one draw, and one loss from four. The bookmakers make Millonarios slight favourites at around 2.10-2.20, but those odds undervalue a Llaneros side that has not lost a single Clausura game and is playing in front of their own supporters.
We predict a Llaneros win or draw double chance as the primary market, with the best single-outcome value sitting on a Llaneros win at approximately 3.50-3.77. Millonarios’ away form is patchy: they lost to Bucaramanga on the road and fell to Colo Colo in their most recent continental outing. Their pass accuracy across the last five matches sits at 75%, noticeably below Llaneros’ 72% raw volume but with Llaneros completing passes at a higher rate relative to their own workload.
Llaneros commit fewer fouls per game on average in recent outings (47 total across five games) compared to Millonarios (50), and they have picked up 14 yellow cards to Millonarios’ 10. That aggression from Llaneros does create free-kick opportunities for the opposition, something Millonarios’ set-piece runners could exploit. Millonarios generate slightly more total shots (43 vs 39), so a low-scoring, tight match is plausible, but Llaneros’ home strength tips the balance.
- Best bet: Llaneros win (approx. 3.50-3.77 at Pinnacle/bet365)
- Alternative: Double chance Llaneros or draw (lower odds but safer given home form)
- Avoid: Millonarios win at 2.10 given their away record and Llaneros’ unbeaten Clausura run
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Llaneros to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Llaneros have been the surprise package of the 2026 Clausura. José Luis García’s side went into this phase on the back of a mixed Apertura campaign (10 wins from 29 games, 34% winrate), but they have transformed their consistency. Five games, three wins, two draws, zero losses. Their last three results in the Clausura: 1-0 vs Deportivo Pereira, 1-1 vs Bucaramanga, 3-1 vs Fortaleza. The Fortaleza win is the standout result. Llaneros scored three without reply until the final stages, showing they can be clinical when they find rhythm. Their most recent Clausura match, a 1-0 win over Deportivo Pasto, was controlled and disciplined. Over the last 30 days they have a 60% win rate from five games, and their overall 2026 form across the last 15 matches (reading right to left) shows a strong run of wins with only one loss in that stretch.
Millonarios arrive under Fabián Bustos with a more inconsistent picture. Their Clausura record of two wins, one draw, one loss from four games is acceptable, but the 0-1 home loss to Bucaramanga stands out as a concern. Before that, they beat Junior Barranquilla 1-0 and Deportivo Pasto 2-0, which shows they can control weaker opponents. Their most recent Clausura fixture, a 1-1 draw away to Águilas Doradas, was a missed opportunity to climb the table. Over the last 15 matches their form shows three consecutive losses sandwiched between some wins, making their away performances particularly unreliable. Their Copa Colombia exit on the road to Colo Colo (0-1) also signals that Millonarios struggle when they face organised, physically competitive sides away from home.
🚨Check out our dedicated Llaneros vs Millonarios stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Millonarios the Favourite
- Moneyline Llaneros 3.50-3.77 | Millonarios 2.07-2.20
- Draw 2.90-3.10
The market prices Millonarios as favourites at around 2.10-2.20, reflecting their higher club ranking and stronger Apertura pedigree. Pinnacle, generally the sharpest book, goes as high as 3.77 on Llaneros, which is the most generous line available and arguably the best-value number on the board. The draw is priced around 3.00-3.10 at most books, reasonable given Llaneros’ tendency to draw tight games. We see Llaneros as undervalued at home given their unbeaten Clausura record and the fact that Millonarios have struggled away from Bogotá.
Possible Starting Lineups
Llaneros Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Roameth Romaña
- DF: Francisco Meza, Juan Pertuz, Howell Mena, Jhojan Escobar
- MF: Juan Castilla, Kelvin Osorio, Juan Ramirez, Yorleys Mena
- FW: Jhon Vasquez, Neider Ospina
García has leaned on a 4-2-3-1 shape across the last five matches. Roameth Romaña is the established starter in goal after Juan Loaiza featured as backup. The back four of Meza, Pertuz, Howell Mena, and Escobar has been the most consistent defensive unit available, with Pertuz leading the group in interceptions (11) and free kicks won (11). In midfield, Castilla and Kelvin Osorio provide the double pivot, with Ramirez and Yorleys Mena pushing higher. Vasquez and Ospina share attacking duties; Vasquez has one goal and one assist and draws fouls regularly, making him a key figure in transitions. Joel Contreras Torres and Frank Castañeda are rotation options up front if García wants more directness.
Millonarios Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Javier Burrai
- DF: Andrés Llinás, Sergio Mosquera, Jorge Arias, Danovis Banguero
- MF: Rodrigo Ureña, Mateo Garcia Rojas, Francisco Chaverra, Daniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera
- FW: Leonardo Castro, Rodrigo Contreras
Bustos has deployed a 4-4-2 in recent games. Javier Burrai starts in goal with four saves across three appearances. Llinás is the most attack-minded defender, having scored once, and he presses high on set pieces. Ureña anchors the midfield with 117 passes and two yellow cards across three games, making him both creative and combative. Chaverra adds nine shots from midfield, the highest in the squad, and his running off the ball causes problems. Up front, Castro (two goals) and Rodrigo Contreras (one goal, one assist) form a direct partnership. Andrey Estupiñán provides pace from the bench as an impact substitute.
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Millonarios. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Llaneros are second in the Clausura table, unbeaten in five, and playing at home in Villavicencio where altitude and travel fatigue can affect visiting sides from Bogotá. Millonarios have quality in Castro and Contreras, but their away performances have been inconsistent and they have dropped points to teams ranked below them this phase. The head-to-head record slightly favours Millonarios over the last two meetings, but Llaneros won the most recent league clash between the sides.
We predict a Llaneros win. The 3.50-3.77 range on offer represents genuine value against a Millonarios side that has not convincingly won away from home in this Clausura. Llaneros’ defensive structure, 50 interceptions and a clean sheet in their last Clausura outing, should frustrate Millonarios’ attack enough to keep the scoreline tight and in the hosts’ favour. To be honest, the market is sleeping on how well Llaneros have managed games this phase.
