Liam Duckstein
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Anfield hosts a heavyweight EFL Cup tie as Liverpool welcome Tottenham for a Round 3 clash under the lights. Both clubs have used this competition to rest key men in years past, yet recent history between these two sides in the League Cup has been anything but sleepy, Liverpool once thumped Spurs 4-0 in a semi-final leg at this very ground. That memory alone gives this fixture some extra bite, even with rotation likely on both benches.
Alexander Isak has been the standout attacking weapon in Liverpool’s last five outings, netting three goals from just 14 shots, a conversion rate that should worry any Spurs backline missing regulars. On the other side, Mathys Tel has quietly become Tottenham’s most direct outlet, firing 11 shots in that same stretch even without consistently starting. Watch how De Zerbi deploys him against a Liverpool defense that has conceded in bunches lately.
Hot stat: Tottenham have won 38 corners across their last five matches compared to Liverpool’s 24, despite having fewer total shots (71 vs 78). That points to a wide, patient build-up under De Zerbi that could translate into set-piece chances at Anfield tonight.
| 🏆 Tournament: | EFL Cup 2026/27, Round 3 |
| 🏟 Venue: | Anfield, Liverpool |
| 🗓️ Date: | 15.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Liverpool vs Tottenham prediction
We predict a Liverpool win, though not by a landslide margin. The Reds carry a 50% winrate over their last six games and have not lost in that span, while Tottenham have dropped two of their last seven. Perhaps the smarter angle here is Liverpool to win with both teams scoring, given how often games between these two produce goals at both ends historically.
Liverpool’s fouls (63) and yellow cards (11) across the last five matches sit only marginally above Tottenham’s numbers (62 fouls, 5 cards), but the gap in cards suggests Iraola’s side plays with a rougher physical edge that referees are picking up on. Tottenham’s higher pass accuracy (2462 successful passes recorded against Liverpool’s 2173) hints at a possession-based approach that could frustrate Liverpool’s press if Spurs are patient early on. To be honest, if Tottenham control tempo for long spells, this could turn into a cagier affair than the market price suggests.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Liverpool to win & Over 8.5 corners |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Liverpool’s most recent outing ended goalless against Fulham, a result that snapped a run of tighter scorelines rather than open goal-fests. Before that draw, Iraola’s men beat Atletico Madrid 2-1 and Ipswich 2-0, while drawing 2-2 with both Nottingham Forest and Newcastle. The pattern shows a team capable of scoring freely but occasionally leaky at the back, conceding in four of their last five outings. Their overall form this stretch reads as a genuine mixed bag, wins and draws almost evenly split, with no losses at all in that run, a solid platform heading into a home cup tie.
Tottenham head into Anfield off the back of a goalless draw with Everton, their second scoreless result in three matches after a similar stalemate against Nottingham Forest. Sandwiched between those two draws was a 0-2 defeat to Newcastle, though Spurs did show firepower earlier in this run with a 5-1 demolition of Charlton before a surprising 0-3 loss at Brentford. That inconsistency, two losses and three draws across seven recent matches, explains why bookmakers rate Liverpool as clear favourites tonight.
🚨Check out our dedicated Liverpool vs Tottenham stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the favourite
- Moneyline Liverpool 1.76 | Tottenham 4.20
- Draw 3.70
The market prices Liverpool as strong favourites, and that lines up with their unbeaten run and home advantage at Anfield. Tottenham’s odds near 4.20 reflect their inconsistent away form and the two defeats suffered in their last seven matches. We see value in backing Liverpool, though not at the shortest available price given Tottenham’s tendency to score against bigger sides in recent cup ties.
Possible Starting Lineups
Liverpool possible starting eleven
- GK: Alisson Becker
- DF: Jeremie Frimpong, Virgil van Dijk, Jérémy Jacquet, Milos Kerkez
- MF: Dominik Szoboszlai, Alexis Mac Allister
- MF: Florian Wirtz, Cody Gakpo, Rio Ngumoha
- FW: Alexander Isak
Alisson remains the senior choice in goal, backed by his save numbers across the sample. Van Dijk anchors the back line alongside Jacquet, with Frimpong and Kerkez providing width from full-back. Szoboszlai and Mac Allister screen the midfield, freeing Wirtz to operate centrally behind Isak, who leads the line in what should be a 4-2-3-1 shape. Isak is the man to watch given his sharp finishing rate this season.
Tottenham possible starting eleven
- GK: Antonin Kinsky
- DF: Pedro Porro, Jan Paul van Hecke, Micky van de Ven, Andrew Robertson
- MF: Rodrigo Bentancur, Sandro Tonali
- MF: Archie Gray, Lucas Bergvall, Mathys Tel
- FW: Dominic Solanke
Kinsky’s minutes and save contribution make him the clear starter between the posts. Van Hecke and Van de Ven carry the highest playing time among the centre-back options, while Porro and Robertson offer attacking width down the flanks. Bentancur and Tonali give De Zerbi control in a double pivot, with Gray, Bergvall and Tel rotating behind Solanke in a matching 4-2-3-1. Tel’s shot volume makes him worth tracking on the counter.
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Tottenham. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
Liverpool should have enough to see off Tottenham at Anfield, though we expect goals at both ends given Isak’s sharpness against Tottenham’s defensive gaps and Tottenham’s own ability to punish transitions through Tel and Solanke. Our punters team leans towards a 2-1 or 3-1 Liverpool win, with corners flowing given Tottenham’s wide-focused build-up. The head-to-head record and home advantage both support backing the hosts, but a BTTS wager adds insurance given how open recent meetings between these clubs have been.
