Alex MacQuoid
Two Premier League powerhouses collide at Anfield on Sunday (4:30pm GMT) as Liverpool host Manchester City in one of the season’s defining fixtures. BC.Game have released the latest odds for this massive clash, and the numbers hint at a tight, high-scoring contest between Arne Slot’s revitalized Reds and Pep Guardiola’s champions.
💰 Liverpool vs Man City – Main Odds
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Liverpool Win | 2.32 |
| Draw | 3.65 |
| Man City Win | 2.78 |
BC.Game prices Liverpool as narrow favourites at 2.32, reflecting their home advantage and resurgent form, while City sit close behind at 2.78 – suggesting near parity between the sides.
⚽ Total Goals Market
| Total Goals | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 12.00 |
| 1 | 1.06 | 8.60 |
| 1.5 | 1.18 | 4.70 |
| 2 | 1.24 | 3.85 |
| 2.5 | 1.57 | 2.36 |
| 3 | 1.87 | 1.89 |
With both sides averaging nearly 3 goals per league game in 2026, Over 2.5 Goals (1.57) is the most popular market. The short odds on Over 0.5 and Over 1.5 reflect strong attacking potential from both teams.
🤝 Both Teams to Score
| Option | Odds |
|---|---|
| Yes | 1.49 |
| No | 2.48 |
“Yes” at 1.49 suggests that bookmakers expect both teams to find the net – understandable given the attacking depth of Salah, Wirtz, and Ekitike for Liverpool, and Haaland, Foden, and Cherki for City.
🟥 Special Markets
| Event | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|
| Sending Off | 4.6 | 1.15 |
| Penalty Awarded | 3.4 | 1.26 |
Punters eyeing drama can look to the ‘Sending Off’ market, with a red card priced at 4.6 – high but possible given the fiery nature of past meetings. The ‘Penalty Awarded’ market at 3.4 also carries value, especially considering VAR’s role in recent Anfield clashes.
📊 Match Form & Betting Context
Liverpool finally ended their winless Premier League streak in 2026 with a resounding 4-1 win over Newcastle. That victory followed dominant performances against Qarabag (6-0) and Marseille (3-0) in Europe. The Reds have scored 15 goals in their last four games across competitions and are unbeaten in eight at Anfield.
In contrast, Manchester City have stumbled in league play, with just one win in six. Their 2-2 draw at Tottenham and recent defensive frailty leave them six points behind Arsenal. Yet City showed renewed strength in the EFL Cup, dispatching Newcastle 3-1 to reach the final.
📉 Head-to-Head & Win Probability
City’s 3-0 win in November means they can secure their first league double over Liverpool since 1937. However, Liverpool’s home record remains imposing – 24 wins and 12 draws from their last 38 Anfield meetings with City.
| Outcome | Implied Probability |
|---|---|
| Liverpool Win | 43.1% |
| Draw | 26.7% |
| Man City Win | 30.2% |
These probabilities, based on 1×2 odds, reinforce the notion of an evenly matched encounter, with home advantage just tipping the scales toward Liverpool.
🔥 Hot Stats & Trends
- Five of Liverpool’s last six matches have gone over 2.5 goals.
- City remain the only Premier League side in 2026 yet to concede a first-half goal.
- However, they’re also the only side not to score in the second half this year.
- Liverpool have earned 28 points from losing positions since 2024 – fourth-most in the league.
- Ekitike has 10 league goals this season, averaging a goal or assist every 112 minutes.
⚔️ Key Players to Watch
- Hugo Ekitike (Liverpool) – In red-hot form, scoring seven in his last six league games.
- Florian Wirtz (Liverpool) – Six goals and three assists since December; key playmaker.
- Erling Haaland (Man City) – Yet to score at Anfield in the Premier League; major storyline.
- Rayan Cherki (Man City) – Creates 3.0 chances per 90; second-highest in the league this season.
🎯 Expert Prediction
Predicted Score: Liverpool 3–2 Manchester City
Expect a classic Anfield spectacle. Both sides possess world-class attacking talent, but Liverpool’s home advantage, pressing intensity, and current form could make the difference. Goals are likely – and the Over 2.5 goals (1.57) and BTTS “Yes” (1.49) markets offer the best value for bettors.
📈 Betting Tips Summary
- Tip 1: Over 2.5 Goals – 1.57 ✅
- Tip 2: Both Teams to Score – Yes (1.49) ✅
- Tip 3: Draw or Liverpool Double Chance – 1.45 ✅
- Tip 4: Penalty Awarded – Yes (3.4) 🔥
Odds courtesy of BC.Game and subject to change. Always gamble responsibly.