Liam Duckstein
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Liverpool welcome Brighton to Anfield sitting fifth in the table, a full four points behind their visitors despite having played the same number of games. That gap tells a story: Brighton have scored 23 goals in seven league matches, more than any other side in the division, while Liverpool have shipped eight. The hosts arrive off a wild 4-3 win over Villarreal, a game that showed both their attacking quality and a defense that keeps leaking goals. Brighton, meanwhile, have won three of their last four and drew a quiet 0-0 with Jablonec in midweek, a result that looked more like squad rotation than a dip in form.
Florian Wirtz has settled into life at Anfield with a goal and two assists across his last five appearances, and his movement between the lines tends to drag Brighton’s midfield out of shape. On the other side, Georginio Rutter has been the sharpest player in Hürzeler’s side lately, contributing two goals and two assists in his last four outings and often dropping deep to link play before bursting forward.
Hot stat: Brighton have scored 23 goals in seven Premier League matches this season, the highest tally in the entire division, while conceding just five, giving them a goal difference of plus 18 that no other club in the top flight can match.
| 🏆 Tournament: | English Premier League 2026/27, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Anfield, Liverpool |
| 🗓️ Date: | 25.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 16:00 CEST |
Liverpool vs Brighton prediction
We predict goals at both ends here, with Liverpool edging it late at Anfield. The hosts have conceded in five of their last seven league games, and Brighton’s front line has been too sharp lately to go quiet two games running. Backing Liverpool to win alongside both teams scoring looks like the smart value bet given how open both defenses have been this season.
Brighton’s possession numbers stand out, averaging close to 85 percent pass accuracy across their last five matches, well above Liverpool’s figure in the same window. That control does not always translate into fewer fouls though, both sides have committed roughly the same number of fouls per match recently, around 48 to 49 apiece. Liverpool’s yellow card count has been slightly higher, a sign of a side forced into more reactive defending than they would like. Expect a physical edge in midfield battles, but not one that stops either side from creating chances.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Liverpool to win & both teams to score |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 10.5 |
Team Analysis
Liverpool’s last outing against Villarreal ended 4-3, a game that swung back and forth before the Reds held on. It followed a 2-1 win over Brentford and a 6-3 thriller against LASK, showing a team capable of scoring freely but still shaky at the back. The 0-3 loss to Manchester City two matches ago remains the clearest warning sign, Liverpool were simply overrun that day and never looked like responding. In our preview of Liverpool vs Villarreal we backed the Reds to win while expecting goals at both ends, and the eventual 4-3 scoreline delivered exactly that.
Brighton’s most recent match finished 0-0 against Jablonec, a flat display that broke a run of four straight wins including a 5-0 demolition of Crystal Palace and a 3-0 win at Arsenal. The draw looked more like a side resting legs ahead of a bigger weekend fixture than any real loss of form. In our preview of Jablonec vs Brighton we called for a comfortable win and a clean sheet for the visitors, and the 0-0 result went against that prediction.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
Liverpool have won four of the last six meetings between these two clubs, scoring 13 goals combined against Brighton’s eight across that span. Brighton’s two victories came in Premier League fixtures during the 2024/25 and 2025/26 seasons, both away from home, suggesting they travel to Anfield with some belief despite the overall head-to-head edge sitting with Liverpool.
| Statistic | Liverpool | Brighton |
|---|---|---|
| Goals (last 6 meetings) | 13 | 8 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Liverpool vs Brighton stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Liverpool the favourite
- Moneyline Liverpool 2.15 | Brighton 3.25
- Draw 3.60
The market leans toward Liverpool without fully trusting them, and that hesitation makes sense given how often they have conceded this season. A price above 2.10 for the home side against a team sitting three places and four points above them in the table feels fair rather than generous. We see value in Liverpool’s attacking talent being enough to get over the line, even if Brighton find the net too.
Possible Starting Lineups
Liverpool possible starting eleven
- GK: Alisson Becker
- DF: Jeremie Frimpong, Virgil van Dijk, Jérémy Jacquet, Milos Kerkez
- MF: Ryan Gravenberch, Alexis Mac Allister, Florian Wirtz, Treymaurice Nyoni, Rio Ngumoha
- FW: Bradley Barcola
Alisson keeps his place despite the leaky defense in front of him, his save count over the last five games shows he has had plenty of work. Van Dijk anchors the backline, though his positioning against Rutter’s movement will be worth watching closely. Wirtz and Barcola carry the attacking burden in a 4-2-3-1, with Barcola’s three goals in his last four appearances making him the man most likely to punish a Brighton defense that has been generous on the road.
Brighton possible starting eleven
- GK: Bart Verbruggen
- DF: Ferdi Kadıoğlu, Lewis Dunk, Olivier Boscagli, Maxim De Cuyper
- MF: Pascal Groß, Malick Yalcouyé, Yasin Ayari, Jack Hinshelwood, Ibrahim Osman
- FW: Georginio Rutter
Verbruggen’s nine saves across his last four appearances suggest Hürzeler trusts him over Steele, and that trust looks justified given his composure under pressure. Dunk remains the defensive leader, but the real threat lies further forward, Rutter’s link play combined with Hinshelwood’s two goals in limited minutes gives Brighton genuine unpredictability in behind a 4-2-3-1 setup built for quick transitions.
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Brighton. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
This has the look of a game where both attacks find joy. Liverpool’s recent matches have produced 4-3, 6-3 and 2-1 scorelines, while Brighton have scored in nine of their last ten outings across competitions. Perhaps the only side capable of keeping a clean sheet here is Liverpool, and recent evidence suggests that is unlikely. We lean toward a narrow home win, somewhere around 3-2 or 2-1, with Anfield’s atmosphere mattering late when Brighton’s legs start to tire from their recent schedule. To be honest, the goals market offers more certainty than the result itself, so backing over 2.5 and both teams to score feels like the sharper angle heading into kickoff.
