Lithuania (w) vs Montenegro (w) Prediction: 03.06.2025 UEFA Women's Nations League Preview

The final group stage clash in League C Group A4 of the UEFA Women’s Nations League 2025 brings Lithuania (w) face-to-face with Montenegro (w) at Brann Stadion, Bergen. While Montenegro approach as group leaders and favorites, Lithuania come off a morale-boosting 5-0 rout—an unexpected twist that injects intrigue into this decisive contest. With both sides seeking to conclude their campaign on a high, expect tactical discipline and determined performances, especially as advancement and seeding hang in the balance.

Keep your eye on Lithuania’s versatile midfielder Liucija Vaitukaityte, who orchestrates play and adds creativity, while Montenegro’s attacking asset from their last head-to-head win is a player to watch for her direct approach and ability to stretch defenses.

Montenegro’s most outstanding recent stat: they are unbeaten in this group and scored three past Lithuania earlier in the campaign—showcasing efficiency up front and tactical superiority in the reverse fixture.

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Lithuania (w) vs Montenegro (w) prediction

The best value prediction for this match is backing Montenegro (w) to win, potentially covering the Asian Handicap (-1.5). Montenegro have already proven their superiority in the first match (3-1 win away) and display a more balanced form across the group. Lithuania’s attack found its spark against Azerbaijan, but that result looks like an exception rather than the norm, especially considering prior defensive vulnerabilities. Montenegro’s consistent use of the 4-2-3-1 formation allows them to control central areas and effectively transition into attack, making them the structurally stronger side.

It is worth noting that Lithuania tend to play a riskier, open style, leading to both high-scoring games and more disciplinary actions (notably two yellow cards in their last five). Montenegro, in contrast, focus on structured build-up and minimize fouls, indicating a composed style that should keep them in command. Lithuania’s relatively low pass accuracy and frequent defensive lapses favor Montenegro’s high-pressing approach, hinting at a game with opportunities for the visitors to score multiple goals. Still, with Lithuania’s attacking burst last game and Montenegro’s occasional defensive lapses, both teams finding the net remains on the cards.

Team Analysis

Lithuania (w) delivered their most convincing performance of the year with a 5-0 demolition of Azerbaijan, a showcase of their latent attacking capacity when given space. Previously, however, Lithuania’s campaign was marred by a 0-2 home loss and a competitive 1-3 defeat to Montenegro away. Their recent uptick is promising, but overall form remains patchy, with defensive frailties and fluctuating ball retention skills (notably low passing figures and high turnovers in several matches).

Montenegro (w) head into this fixture on the back of a steady group performance: one win and one draw, with an impressive 3-1 victory over Lithuania already in the books. A resilient 1-1 draw against Azerbaijan demonstrates their ability to control tricky matches, and their disciplined approach has minimized yellow cards and unnecessary fouls. Montenegro’s attacking strength is reflected in their 4-2-3-1 that allows them to overrun less organized midfields, while their defense remains largely untested at this level, having conceded just twice in this group phase.

🚨Read our full Lithuania (w) vs Montenegro (w) stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Montenegro (w) the favourite

• Moneyline Lithuania (w) 11.60 | Montenegro (w) 1.24
• Draw 5.25
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.85 | Under 2.5 1.90
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 2.10 | No 1.65

Montenegro are clear favorites, reflected in their extremely short odds across leading bookmakers. Lithuania’s price demonstrates the market’s skepticism about their consistency, while the relatively balanced over/under odds signal some expectation for goals—likely influenced by Lithuania’s recent attacking burst. The value lies in backing Montenegro to win comfortably, but given Lithuania’s unpredictability, goals and both teams to score markets offer supplementary appeal.

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Possible Starting Lineups

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The Verdict

This looks set to be a competitive encounter, but the balance of quality, tactical versatility, and historical head-to-head results all align in Montenegro’s favor. My main pick is Montenegro (w) -1.5 Asian Handicap, as I expect their attacking prowess and disciplined build-up to break open Lithuania’s defense. However, Lithuania’s recent goal fever could see them register on the score sheet, making Both Teams to Score a worthy secondary bet. Expect Montenegro to assert themselves early and control the tempo, but don’t be surprised if Lithuania contribute to the scoreline with their revived attacking energy.

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