Sofia Quijada
Limache host San Marcos de Arica at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza in a Group A fixture of the Copa Chile 2026. Both sides are fighting to stay relevant in the group, but from very different positions. Limache sit third on five points after four games, while San Marcos de Arica are bottom with just one point from four outings. The two already met in this group stage, with Limache winning 3-1, making this a rematch with genuine stakes for the visitors’ survival chances.
Jean Meneses leads Limache’s attack with three goals in six appearances and stands out as the most productive player across both squads. For San Marcos de Arica, A. Maidana has managed two goals in just 208 minutes of play and is the only realistic source of an away goal.
Hot stat: San Marcos de Arica have failed to score in four of their last five matches, including three straight 0-0 draws before their 1-3 loss to Limache. Their total shot count across five games sits at just 10, the lowest in this group by a significant margin.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Copa Chile 2026, Group A |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, Limache |
| 🗓️ Date: | 06.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 02:00 CEST |
Limache vs San Marcos de Arica Prediction
The case for a Limache win is straightforward. They beat San Marcos de Arica 3-1 in the reverse fixture, they are playing at home, and the visitors have not won in three months based on their current form. Limache’s 11 goals scored across their last five matches against just two for San Marcos de Arica tells the full story of the attacking gap between these sides.
Limache under Víctor Rivero play a high-volume attacking style. Their 55 total shots in five matches and 25 corner kicks show consistent pressure, even when results have been mixed. Their 13 yellow cards in five games reveal an aggressive pressing approach that can open up space for their forwards. San Marcos de Arica, by contrast, recorded zero interceptions, zero passes with accuracy data, and zero fouls across the five-match tracking period, suggesting a passive, low-block setup that has done little to prevent goals when opponents create chances.
We predict Limache to win and the match to stay under 3.5 goals, given San Marcos de Arica’s extreme defensive caution. The visitors will likely park deep and try to nick something on the counter through Maidana, but their lack of shots and creativity makes that scenario unlikely.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Limache to win to nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Under 3.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 8.5 |
Team Analysis
Limache’s form over the last 30 days reads one win, three losses, and two draws, but their Copa Chile campaign tells a more competitive story. Coach Víctor Rivero’s side drew both group matches against Coquimbo 1-1, lost 1-4 to Deportes Iquique, and beat San Marcos de Arica 3-1. Their most recent Copa Chile result, a 1-1 draw with Coquimbo, shows they can hold their own against the group leaders. Their defensive record of seven goals conceded in four group games is a concern, but much of that came from the Iquique defeat.
San Marcos de Arica under Iván Endre have struggled badly in all competitions. Their last three Copa Chile results are a 0-0 draw with San Luis Quillota, a 0-0 draw with Deportes Temuco, a 0-0 draw with Puerto Montt, and then the 1-3 loss to Limache, followed by a 0-1 loss to Coquimbo. They have scored just once in five group stage matches and that came in the reverse fixture against tonight’s hosts. Their winless run across the last 30 days, zero wins from three matches, confirms a side with no momentum and limited attacking output.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
These two sides have met once in the current Copa Chile group stage, with Limache winning 3-1. The H2H table below reflects the stats from that encounter.
| Statistic | Limache | San Marcos de Arica |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3 | 1 |
| Total shots | 11 | 2 |
| Free kicks | 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks | 5 | 4 |
| Total fouls | 2 | 0 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | 80% | 80% |
| Interceptions | 1 | 0 |
| Offsides | 0 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Limache vs San Marcos de Arica stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Limache the Favourite
- Moneyline Limache 1.45 | San Marcos de Arica 5.60
- Draw 4.33
- Over/Under Over 2.5 — | Under 2.5 —
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes — | No —
Limache at 1.45 is short, but the price reflects reality. They won the reverse fixture comfortably, they play at home, and San Marcos de Arica have the worst attacking record in the group. The draw at 4.33 carries some value if you expect a cagey, low-intensity game, but to be honest, Limache have too many goalscoring threats for San Marcos to contain for 90 minutes. San Marcos at 5.60 to win is purely for those who believe Maidana can conjure something from almost nothing. We would not chase that price given the form data.
Possible Starting Lineups
Limache Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Claudio González
- DF: Alfonso Parot, Misael Llantén, Augusto Ezequiel Aguirre, Yerko González
- MF: César Fuentes, Flavio Moya, Marcos Arturia
- FW: Jean Meneses, Joaquín Montecinos, Vicente Álvarez
Limache look set to line up in their familiar 4-3-3 under Víctor Rivero. Claudio González is the clear first-choice keeper with six appearances and eight saves. The back four picks itself based on appearance counts, with Parot being the most active distributor from defence. Jean Meneses is the standout name in attack, three goals in six matches and 540 minutes played make him the most dangerous player on the pitch. Vicente Álvarez and Joaquín Montecinos add pace and directness on the flanks. Gonzalo Sosa could push for a forward role given his game time but Montecinos edges him on output.
San Marcos de Arica Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Rodrigo Saracho
- DF: Álvaro Gastón Cazula
- MF: Nahuel Donadell, Augusto Barrios, A. Maidana
- FW: Bairon Monroy
San Marcos de Arica’s available data covers only six named players from their recent five matches, which reflects limited squad depth in the tracking data. Rodrigo Saracho is the confirmed starter in goal. The 4-3-3 formation coach Iván Endre prefers suggests a structured defensive block, and with the data available, A. Maidana is the key figure, two goals in 208 minutes make him the only player with a realistic threat. Bairon Monroy has 261 minutes logged up front but is yet to score. The two yellow cards Monroy carries could become relevant if San Marcos chase the game in the second half.
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Limache. Source: Official Website
TipsGG Match Prediction
Limache are the clear pick here. They beat San Marcos de Arica 3-1 just weeks ago, carry the home advantage at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza, and have Jean Meneses in form. San Marcos de Arica have scored once in five Copa Chile matches and produced just 10 total shots across their last five games in all competitions. Their passive defensive setup has kept scorelines tight against stronger opposition, but Limache’s corner volume (25 in five matches) and shot output (55) suggest they will break through.
We predict a Limache win to nil as the best value play. The hosts’ 13 yellow cards across five matches signal an aggressive, high-energy style that should dominate a San Marcos side with zero recorded interceptions and a completely passive defensive shape. Perhaps the margin will not be as wide as 3-1 again, but a clean sheet for Limache looks the more probable outcome given how little San Marcos have created all tournament.
