Liam Duckstein
Lillestrom host Degerfors on 26 June 2026 in Bergen, in what is a low-stakes International Club Friendly. Both sides arrive in poor recent form, with Lillestrom losing their last two matches and Degerfors picking up just one draw from their only outing in the past 30 days. The Norwegian side holds a clear ranking advantage over their Swedish opponents, and with coach Hans Erik Ødegaard needing a positive result to lift confidence, this match carries more internal pressure than the friendly tag suggests.
For Degerfors, Marcus Rafferty stands out as the one to watch. He is the only player to register a goal in the most recent available match data and showed a solid all-round performance with 26 passes and three shots. In midfield, Kazper Karlsson brings energy and volume, completing 52 passes with three fouls, making him a key figure in Degerfors’ ability to control tempo.
Hot stat: Degerfors have scored just one goal in each of their last four matches before their most recent draw with Brommapojkarna, suggesting a side that struggles to find the net consistently despite registering attempts.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026, June Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 26.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 14:00 CEST |
Lillestrom vs Degerfors Prediction
Lillestrom are priced as favourites at 1.70, and given their superior world ranking and home setup in Bergen, that makes sense. Their season win rate of 42% compared to Degerfors’ 30% reinforces the gap between these two sides. Lillestrom’s recent run of two straight losses is a concern, but both came against established Norwegian top-flight opposition in Midtjylland and HamKam. Degerfors, on the other hand, have lost three of their last five, including a 4-1 defeat to Mjallby.
We predict a Lillestrom win here. The Norwegian side should have enough quality to edge a Swedish second-division outfit in a controlled friendly setting, even without full statistical data on their own lineup. Degerfors have shown defensive fragility, conceding 10 goals across their last five matches, and Lillestrom’s attacking players should find openings.
In terms of style, Degerfors committed 13 fouls in their last recorded match and earned no yellow cards, suggesting a physical but disciplined approach. Their pass accuracy sits at a modest level, with 394 passes attempted and 324 completed, which points to a direct style rather than a possession-based one. Lillestrom, playing in the Norwegian top flight, are likely to enjoy more of the ball and use it more efficiently. That possession dominance could be key in dictating the pace and outcome of the match.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Lillestrom to Win to Nil |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 1.5 Goals |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 Corners |
Team Analysis
Lillestrom’s last five matches have been a mixed bag. They beat Sandefjord 3-1 in mid-May, showing they can score when the opposition allows space. Before that, they fell 2-0 to Rosenborg, a result that reflects the difficulty of their Eliteserien schedule. Their back-to-back defeats to HamKam (0-2) and Midtjylland (0-1) in June are worrying from a confidence standpoint, but both opponents are ranked higher. This friendly against a lower-ranked Degerfors side should offer a more comfortable platform.
Degerfors arrive here after drawing 2-2 with Brommapojkarna, their only match in the past 30 days. Before that, they lost to Kalmar 1-2 and drew 1-1 with GAIS, which are modest results against Swedish Allsvenskan-level competition. Their heaviest defeat in recent memory was a 4-1 loss to Mjallby, and that result exposed clear defensive issues. The draw with Hacken (1-1) is perhaps the most respectable result in the run, given Hacken’s quality. Coach Henok Goitom will be hoping for more cohesion, but the squad depth appears limited based on available data.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
There is no available head-to-head data between Lillestrom and Degerfors in our records. The table below reflects aggregated stats from each team’s most recent available match.
| Statistic | Lillestrom | Degerfors |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | N/A | 2 |
| Total shots | N/A | 11 |
| Free kicks | N/A | 7 |
| Corner kicks | N/A | 3 |
| Total fouls | N/A | 13 |
| Pass accuracy (%) | N/A | 82% |
| Interceptions | N/A | 12 |
| Offsides | N/A | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Lillestrom vs Degerfors stats page for more info.
Pre-Game Odds and Win Probability: Lillestrom the Favourite
- Moneyline Lillestrom 1.70 | Degerfors 3.50
- Draw 4.30
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
Lillestrom at 1.70 is fair value given the ranking gap and Degerfors’ recent form. The draw at 4.30 is long but not unreasonable given both teams’ poor recent results. Degerfors at 3.50 represents a risky call considering they have scored just one goal in four of their last five matches. We see little value in backing the away side at that price. Lillestrom to win to nil carries appeal given Degerfors’ attacking output has been limited and inconsistent throughout June.
Degerfors. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Lillestrom Possible Starting Eleven
Lillestrom’s lineup data was not available in the provided stats, so a confirmed starting eleven cannot be named. Under coach Hans Erik Ødegaard, they have consistently deployed a 4-4-2 shape across recent matches. That formation gives them width through the midfield and a direct front pairing, which suits a friendly setting where results still matter for squad confidence. Players to watch will be those pushing for a regular Eliteserien spot heading into the second half of the Norwegian season.
Degerfors Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Matvei Igonen
- DF: Sebastian Ohlsson, Juhani Pikkarainen, Erik Lindell, Mamadouba Diaby
- MF: Kazper Karlsson, Nahom Girmai, Elias Barsoum, Ludvig Fritzson
- FW: Marcus Rafferty, Dijan Vukojevic
Degerfors line up in a 4-4-2 formation based on recent match data. Matvei Igonen starts in goal, with six saves recorded in the last available match, making him a reliable last line. Sebastian Ohlsson is the standout in defence, logging 57 passes and 90 minutes. In midfield, Kazper Karlsson and Nahom Girmai provide the engine room, with Girmai recording three interceptions in his last outing. Marcus Rafferty is the man to watch up front. His goal against Brommapojkarna and consistent involvement in build-up play make him the primary attacking threat for Henok Goitom’s side.
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Lillestrom. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Lillestrom are the stronger side on paper and should control this match at Brann Stadion. Their 42% win rate this year against Degerfors’ 30% tells a clear story, and the quality gap between Norway’s Eliteserien and Sweden’s Allsvenskan at this level should show on the pitch.
Degerfors have been leaky at the back, conceding 10 goals in five matches, and their attacking output has been limited to one goal per game in most outings. To be honest, the biggest risk here is a Lillestrom side that has not scored in their last two matches, but those came against top-level opposition. A friendly against a weaker Swedish side should be the catalyst to get back on the scoresheet.
We predict a Lillestrom win, perhaps by a single goal, with Degerfors struggling to find a way through a Norwegian defence that, even in poor form, should be well-organized against this level of opponent. The Lillestrom to Win to Nil tip is our preferred play, backed by Degerfors’ consistent failure to score freely in recent weeks.
