Levi Rothermund
Levski Sofia welcome Etar to the Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov in Sofia for a Bulgarian derby friendly on June 23. The bookmakers see almost no contest here, pricing Levski at 81% win probability against a side that has managed just one win in its last five outings. What makes this match worth watching is the gap in class between a club ranked in the world’s top 200 and a side sitting well outside the top 2000 — yet Etar has shown they can be stubborn, picking up draws against stronger opposition more than once this month.
Levski’s attacking output will be one to track. Their striker who contributed to the 4-0 win over Akademik Svishtov in the most recent friendly will be a focal point under coach Julio Velázquez, whose 4-1-4-1 setup creates wide overloads that lower-block defenses struggle to contain. For Etar, their best creative outlet has come from midfield transitions — coach Ivan Ivanov’s 4-2-3-1 gives them a double pivot to protect against exactly the kind of pressure Levski will apply.
Hot stat: Levski Sofia’s last competitive outing produced a 4-0 result against Akademik Svishtov, who entered that game on a run of three straight losses — a sign that Levski can punish struggling opposition efficiently.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026 — June Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.06.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:00 CEST |
Levski Sofia vs Etar Prediction
The case for a Levski win here is straightforward. They are the superior side by every measurable standard, playing at home, and already have a 4-0 friendly win logged this month. Etar lost their only June outing, a 0-1 defeat to Marek, and their form across five matches shows three defeats and two wins — not a team in confident shape heading into this fixture.
We think Levski wins this comfortably. The value is not in the moneyline at 1.12, but the over on total goals is worth considering given Levski’s attacking intent and Etar’s defensive fragility against organized pressing sides. Etar drew 1-1 with Chernomorets and won 1-0 against Ludogorets II, but those were very different contexts. Facing a top-flight Bulgarian side at home is another matter entirely.
Levski’s 4-1-4-1 shape pushes wide midfielders high, creating corner and crossing opportunities. Etar’s 4-2-3-1 double pivot will try to limit central lanes, but the wide areas should open up. Honestly, the corner market looks interesting here — Levski generated consistent territorial pressure in their recent wins, and Etar conceded corners at a steady rate in their last few matches.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Levski Sofia to win both halves |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | No |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Levski Sofia enter this match on the back of a solid June so far — one win and one draw from two outings. The 4-0 demolition of Akademik Svishtov was the standout result, and it came against a side that had lost three straight. Before that, they drew 0-0 with CSKA 1948 Sofia, a more competitive local rival. Looking back slightly further, Levski beat CSKA Sofia 2-0 and drew 1-1 with Ludogorets, then lost 0-1 to Ludogorets in another meeting. Their form string reads wlwwwdwdwwddddw — which is strong over the longer window, though the recent draw against CSKA 1948 shows they can be held when the opponent is organized and motivated. Under Velázquez, Levski have kept a consistent shape, and the 4-1-4-1 allows them to control central areas while releasing wide midfielders on the attack.
Etar’s June has been poor. Their only match this month ended in a 0-1 home defeat to Marek, a side whose own form is inconsistent. Before that, Etar beat Ludogorets II 1-0 — a result that flattered them somewhat given the opposition’s reserve status. A 0-1 loss to Hebar preceded that, and their 1-1 draw with Chernomorets 1919 and 3-2 win over Pirin Blagoevgrad round out a five-match run that reads as patchy at best. Their form string wdlwwlwddwwdlwl tells a story of a team that draws a lot and wins occasionally against beatable opponents. Facing Levski at home is a different level of test, and Ivan Ivanov’s 4-2-3-1 will need to function perfectly to keep the scoreline manageable.
Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches
Detailed head-to-head statistics between Levski Sofia and Etar are not available from the current data set. The table below reflects what is available from recent individual match data.
| Statistic | Levski Sofia | Etar |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | N/A | N/A |
| Total shots | N/A | N/A |
| Free kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Corner kicks | N/A | N/A |
| Total fouls | N/A | N/A |
| Pass accuracy (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Interceptions | N/A | N/A |
| Offsides | N/A | N/A |
🚨Check out our dedicated Levski Sofia vs Etar stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Levski Sofia the Favourite
- Moneyline Levski Sofia 1.12 | Etar 15.00
- Draw 6.75
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The 1.12 on Levski is essentially a juice bet — you are risking a lot to win very little, and a single slip or a strong Etar defensive display kills the return. The draw at 6.75 is priced realistically given Levski’s 0-0 result against CSKA 1948 Sofia earlier this month, which proves they can be held. Etar at 15.00 is a long shot, and we would not go near it. The smarter play sits in the goals and corners markets rather than the moneyline, where the margin is too thin to justify the stake.
Etar. Source: Official Facebook
Possible Starting Lineups
Levski Sofia Possible Starting Eleven
Levski are expected to line up in their preferred 4-1-4-1, with a single defensive midfielder anchoring in front of the back four and four midfielders given license to press and support the lone striker. Velázquez has been consistent with this shape, and it gives the team defensive cover while allowing the wide midfielders to attack in numbers. Detailed individual player data is not available for this fixture, but the striker in the advanced role — whoever starts — will be the one to watch, given Levski’s recent tendency to create and convert in bunches when the opposition is outclassed. The wide midfielders will be key to generating the corner count we are predicting.
Etar Possible Starting Eleven
Ivan Ivanov will almost certainly deploy his standard 4-2-3-1, using the double pivot to try and clog the central areas and limit Levski’s creativity through the middle. The three attacking midfielders will be asked to press high when Etar have the ball, but maybe more importantly, to track back and help the defensive structure when Levski build. The lone striker will be isolated for long spells. Individual player data for Etar is unavailable, but their best results this season have come when the double pivot stays disciplined — any breakdown in that shape against Levski’s wide midfielders could lead to a heavy scoreline.
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Levski Sofia. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
Levski Sofia win this match. The class gap is real, the home advantage is real, and Etar’s June form gives no reason to expect a surprise. We think Levski score at least twice, possibly three, and Etar’s best realistic outcome is keeping it to a one-goal deficit — which the 15.00 odds on an Etar win suggest even the market considers fantasy.
Our pick is Levski Sofia to win both halves, paired with over 2.5 total goals. The corners market over 7.5 also has merit given Levski’s wide-heavy 4-1-4-1 and Etar’s tendency to sit deep under pressure. Skip the moneyline at 1.12 — the juice is not worth it — and look for value in the match specials instead.
