Alex MacQuoid
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Bulgarian football doesn’t get bigger than this fixture, and the fact it’s a cup final only sharpens the edges. Levski Sofia welcome CSKA Sofia to the Vivacom Arena for the Superkupa 2026 decider, a match that carries more weight than the usual league meeting between these two. Levski come in red hot, riding a stretch of results that’s honestly hard to ignore, while CSKA arrive looking shakier, patched together after some inconsistent weeks. One quiet detail worth flagging: Levski’s defense has barely been troubled lately, conceding just once in their last five outings before a wobble against AEK Athens. That’s the kind of form that tends to travel well into derby occasions like this one.
Keep an eye on Mehdi Moubarik in Levski’s midfield engine room, he’s been dictating tempo from deep and his pass accuracy numbers back that up. On the other side, Santiago Godoy has been CSKA’s most direct threat up top, six shots in his last two appearances alone suggests he’ll be the one pulling triggers if CSKA get any sniff of a chance. Neither goalkeeper gets singled out here, but both back lines will need to be switched on given how these two sides tend to trade blows.
Hot stat: Levski have scored 12 goals across their last two matches combined, including a 6-0 demolition of Spartak Varna, numbers that scream confidence heading into a final.
| 🏆 Tournament: | Superkupa 2026, Final |
| 🏟 Venue: | Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia |
| 🗓️ Date: | 09.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 17:30 CEST |
Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia prediction
We think Levski deserve to go in as clear favourites here, and honestly the numbers support that lean. Their winrate over the last 30 days sits at 75%, way ahead of CSKA’s 43% in the same window. Levski have also been more clinical in front of goal recently while conceding far less. Our pick leans toward Levski to win, though not necessarily by a landslide margin given how these derbies tend to tighten up once the whistle blows.
Style-wise, this should be a physical affair. CSKA picked up 5 yellow cards across their last five matches compared to zero for Levski in the same sample, and their fouls count (15 vs 9) tells a similar story, they’re the side more likely to break up play through contact rather than possession. Levski’s pass accuracy (430 successful of a higher volume) also edges CSKA’s numbers, suggesting Levski will look to control tempo rather than get dragged into a scrappy scrap. That combination, calm possession from Levski against a CSKA side that fouls more and defends deeper, points toward a match that could open up in the second half once fatigue and cards start to matter.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Levski to win either half |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Levski’s recent run reads like a side peaking at the right moment. Six wins in their last eight, only one defeat, and that loss came against a much stronger AEK Athens side away from home, so it’s forgivable in context. Their most recent outing was a tidy 1-0 win over CSKA 1948 Sofia, not flashy, but efficient, the kind of low-event win that shows a team comfortable defending a lead. Before that, a 2-1 win over Slavia Sofia and a thumping 6-0 against Spartak Varna. There’s a pattern here: Levski score goals in bunches when the opponent sits back, and grind out narrow wins when the game’s tighter.
CSKA’s picture is messier. A 1-1 draw with Spartak Varna was their last result, sandwiched between two heavy losses to OFI Crete, 0-2 and then 0-3. That’s a worrying stretch defensively, five goals conceded and none scored across those two European nights. Their one bright spot recently was a 5-0 win over Botev Vratsa, but that came against considerably weaker opposition and probably shouldn’t be weighted too heavily against a Levski side playing at a completely different level right now.
🚨Check out our dedicated Levski Sofia vs CSKA Sofia stats page for more info.
Pre-game odds and win probability: Levski Sofia the favourite
- Moneyline Levski Sofia 2.23-2.32 | CSKA Sofia 2.99-3.22
- Draw 2.97-3.07
The market has this one fairly tight on paper, but Levski’s odds are consistently the shortest across every bookmaker we checked, and that lines up with the bookmakers’ own average expectation of 40% for a home win versus 30% for CSKA. We think the price on Levski still represents value given the form gap between these two sides right now, honestly the odds might even shorten further closer to kickoff.
Possible Starting Lineups
Levski Sofia possible starting eleven
- GK: Svetoslav Vutsov
- DF: Kristian Dimitrov, Aldair, Nikola Serafimov, Álex Centelles
- MF: Mehdi Moubarik, Sergio Miguel Lobo Araujo
- FW: Gasper Trdin, Armstrong Oko-Flex, Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno, Juan Esteban Perea Sanchez
Julio Velázquez seems settled on a 4-2-3-1 shape, and the personnel above played the fullest minutes across Levski’s recent matches. Vutsov has looked composed between the sticks, and Centelles brings both defensive steel and attacking width down the left. Oko-Flex is the one to watch in the final third, he’s been Levski’s most creative outlet in the attacking band.
CSKA Sofia possible starting eleven
- GK: Fedor Lapoukhov
- DF: Facundo Rodriguez, David Samuel Custódio Lima, Andrey Yordanov, Ángelo Martino
- MF: Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Max Ebong
- FW: James Eto’o, Cătălin Itu, Ioannis Pittas, Santiago Godoy
Hristo Yanev also runs a 4-2-3-1, mirroring Levski’s setup. Gbamin and Ebong both logged full minutes recently and look locked in as the double pivot. Godoy leads the line and has been CSKA’s sharpest attacking weapon lately, his shot volume alone makes him worth watching if CSKA want a way back into this final.
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Levski-Sofia. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
The Verdict
Our lean here is Levski Sofia, and not just because the form table says so. CSKA have leaked goals in bunches against weaker continental opposition recently, and that kind of defensive fragility doesn’t just disappear against a rival playing with genuine confidence. We’d back Levski to win this final, with goals at both ends given CSKA’s tendency to foul and concede space in transition. A 2-1 scoreline wouldn’t shock us at all, maybe even a bit more comfortable if Levski’s front three click early.
