Sofia Quijada
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Levante welcome Sevilla to the Estadio Ciudad de Valencia with the hosts stuck in the relegation zone and the visitors sitting comfortably inside the European spots. Levante have won just once in their last six La Liga outings and have shipped goals at an alarming rate, conceding nine across their two most recent fixtures alone. Sevilla arrive off the back of a 1-3 defeat but their underlying league form, 4 wins in 7 games, tells a far more stable story than their recent cup-style result against Aston Villa suggests. The bookmakers see this as a near coin flip at 36% apiece, but we think the table positions tell a clearer story than the odds board does.
Watch Iván Romero for Levante. He has scored twice in his last two appearances and remains the one attacking outlet capable of hurting Sevilla on the counter. For the visitors, Youssouf Fofana has been directly involved in two goals from midfield over his last three starts and dictates Sevilla’s tempo from deep.
Hot stat: Levante have conceded 12 goals in just 6 La Liga matches this season (second-worst defensive record in the division), while Sevilla have let in only 9 across 7 games and sit 5th in the standings with a positive goal difference.
| 🏆 Tournament: | La Liga 2026/2027, Regular Season |
| 🏟 Venue: | Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia |
| 🗓️ Date: | 12.10.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 21:00 CEST |
Levante vs Sevilla prediction
Our pick leans toward Sevilla Double Chance (draw or win). Levante have lost three of their last five and dropped two in a row by multiple goals, while Sevilla, despite a rough midweek result, remain unbeaten in La Liga play across their last two league matches and hold a top-half spot on merit. The away side’s superior passing volume, 1071 passes against Levante’s 612 in the same sample, points to control of possession that should limit Levante’s chances to build sustained pressure.
Discipline could shape the game too. Sevilla have picked up six yellow cards in their last five matches against Levante’s two, suggesting a more physical approach from the visitors that referees may start punishing earlier. Levante’s pass accuracy sits notably lower (472 successful passes recorded against Sevilla’s 843 in comparable samples), which fits a side that struggles to retain the ball under pressure, a weakness Sevilla’s compact midfield trio should exploit repeatedly.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Sevilla to win & BTTS (2-1) |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Levante’s slide continued with a 1-3 home defeat to Villarreal, their latest match, following a 2-4 collapse against Barcelona. Before those two losses a 0-0 draw with Malaga and a surprising 5-2 win over Real Betis showed the attack can click occasionally, but the Osasuna draw before that confirms a side that struggles for consistency across five games (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses). Sitting 17th with just 5 points from 6 league matches, Levante’s defensive issues, 12 goals conceded already, make them vulnerable against any side that presses with intent.
Sevilla’s most recent match ended in a 1-3 loss to Aston Villa, but that result sits outside their league form arc. The preceding four matches show far more substance: a 1-3 loss to Barcelona, then back-to-back 1-0 wins over Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia, and a 1-1 draw with Espanyol. That stretch, 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses, has Sevilla 5th in La Liga with 13 points from 7 games and a defense that has only leaked 9 goals all season.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Levante | Sevilla |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 5 | 0 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Levante vs Sevilla stats page for more info.
Levante. Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Sevilla the favourite
- Moneyline Levante 2.70 | Sevilla 2.72
- Draw 3.33
The odds are nearly identical between the two sides, barely 0.02 apart, which reflects a genuinely open market rather than a clear favourite. We think that pricing undervalues Sevilla’s table position and defensive numbers, making the away side slightly the sharper backing at this line, perhaps paired with the draw as cover given Levante’s home desperation.
Possible Starting Lineups
Levante possible starting eleven
- GK: Mathew Ryan
- DF: Jeremy Toljan, Adrián de la Fuente, Manu Sánchez, Aïssa Mandi
- MF: Jon Ander Olasagasti, Daniel Requena, Oriol Rey, Enzo Bardeli
- FW: Roger Brugué, Iván Romero
Luís Castro should stick with the 4-2-3-1 that has featured in his last five matches, with Olasagasti and Requena screening the back four. Romero leads the line as the only Levante player with multiple goals in the recent sample, and Brugué’s pace off the left offers a direct outlet.
Sevilla possible starting eleven
- GK: Odysseas Vlachodimos
- DF: Andrés Castrín, Juan Antonio Iglesias, Kike Salas, José Ángel Carmona
- MF: Lucien Agoumé, Gabriel Suazo, Youssouf Fofana
- FW: Miguel Sierra, Lucas Stassin, Robbie Ure
Luis Garcia Plaza’s 4-3-3 relies on Agoumé and Fofana to control tempo through the middle, both having played every minute available in the sample. Sierra’s recent goal and 230 minutes logged make him the likely focal point up top, flanked by pace from Stassin and Ure.
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Sevilla. Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Sevilla edge this one, perhaps 2-1, built on a tighter defensive record and a midfield that should dominate possession against a Levante side leaking goals at a worrying rate. To be hones, Levante’s home comforts are not enough to offset three losses in their last five, and Sevilla’s away form against mid-table opposition has generally held up. Back Sevilla to win or draw, with goals at both ends likely given Levante’s attacking flashes against Betis earlier this run.
