Levante vs Real Madrid Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2025/26 Match - 23.09.2025

On September 23, 2025, the iconic Ciutat de València in Valencia plays host as Levante faces the might of Real Madrid in a pivotal La Liga 2025/26 regular season encounter, with kick-off set for 22:30 CEST. This home fixture for Levante sees them attempting to disrupt the white-hot form of Xabi Alonso’s Real, who sit atop the table with a perfect record. While the gulf in squad value and ambition is clear, the Spanish top flight has always proved fertile ground for upsets—especially under the guidance of Levante’s resolute coach Julián Calero.

All eyes will be on dynamic Levante forward Iván Romero, whose recent scoring prowess could test the merengues’ back line, alongside the ever-creative Carlos Álvarez. For Real Madrid, Kylian Mbappé’s blistering run of form and Vinícius’ electric pace ensure danger looms at every moment inside the opposition half.

The hottest stat leading into kickoff? Real Madrid come into this clash riding a flawless 100% win-rate across their last five matches, registering 11 goals and only conceding 2, underlining their current La Liga dominance.

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Levante vs Real Madrid predictions

My best bet: Real Madrid to win and Over 2.5 goals.

Few outcomes appear as certain on paper as a Real Madrid victory here. Los Blancos have swept all rivals so far this season, displaying tactical superiority and attacking fluency, scoring an average of 2.0 goals per match while maintaining remarkable defensive discipline. Meanwhile, Levante have struggled to impose themselves against the league’s elite, leaking 9 goals already in 5 matches. The gulf in squad depth, experience and technical ability should result in Real Madrid controlling possession and creating a high volume of chances. Over 2.5 goals has landed in four of Real’s last five outings, and with Levante’s risk-taking approach under Calero, an open contest is likely.

An analysis of both sides’ recent playing styles reveals Levante’s tendency towards combative, high-contact football—12 yellow cards in five games, averaging 2.4 per match, and 60 total fouls. Their aggressiveness aids ball recovery but can disrupt their rhythm against precision-passing teams. Real Madrid’s elevated ball possession, reflected in over 2400 accurate passes across their last five, results in territorial dominance and limits opponents’ direct attacking chances. Levante will need to maintain composure and physical discipline to avoid giving away dangerous set-pieces in their own half.

Prop picks by me:

• ⚽Total Goals: Over 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: Yes
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 9.5

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Levante vs Real Madrid Most recent H2Hs

Encounters between Levante and Real Madrid in recent years have been goal-rich affairs, often marked by Madrid’s control of possession and Levante’s resilience on the counter. Real Madrid’s ability to force set pieces—averaging over 6 corners per match in this fixture—has frequently disrupted Levante’s defensive shape. Nevertheless, Levante have a nuanced understanding of how to frustrate their elite rivals, as reflected in their disciplined, high-foul strategy. Previous meetings show that Levante can score, but rarely hold back Madrid’s wave of attacks.

🚨Read our full Levante vs Real Madrid stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Real Madrid: Scored in 100% of their competitive matches this season.
• Levante: Only one win in five matches. Conceded nine league goals so far.
• Mbappé: 6 goals in last five appearances.
• Levante: Averaging 2.4 yellow cards per match, third highest in La Liga.
• Madrid: 70 percent win probability from aggregate bookmaker odds.
• Both teams: Scored in 4 of last 5 meetings.

Levante vs Real Madrid score prediction: 1-3

Despite Levante’s undoubted grit and ability to seize moments, Real Madrid’s combination of Mbappé’s clinical finishing and Vinícius’s creativity should see the visitors dictate the flow of the game. Expect Levante to find a consolation goal—possibly through Iván Romero or Carlos Álvarez on the break—but Real’s tactical structure and quality should be decisive. Look for Endrick and Valverde to add energy and support in late phases, delivering a 3-1 statement win for Madrid.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Real Madrid the favourite

The odds notably favour Real Madrid, with bookmakers placing them at around 1.35 for the outright win—a testament to their sheer form and historical edge in this fixture. Levante’s price of 7.70 reflects the uphill battle they face. Market confidence is also strong for over 2.5 goals, implying an open game with multiple scoring chances. The even spread on BTTS (both teams to score) markets highlights Levante’s occasional potency at home, but also Madrid’s solid defensive record. The numbers underline the expectation that Madrid will control proceedings, and historical trends support a multi-goal margin in their favour.

Levante vs Real Madrid Over/Under Analysis

• Levante have seen over 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches.
• Real Madrid have hit over 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 games.
• Madrid’s attack averages 2.2 goals per game this season.
• Levante’s defense concedes an average of 1.8 goals per match.
• Over 9.5 corners has landed in 4 out of the last 5 matches between these sides.

Levante Preview

Levante enter this contest on the back of a morale-boosting 4-0 victory over Girona, demonstrating their capacity for organized pressing and incisive transitions. However, defensive frailties have undermined their campaign, as evidenced by earlier defeats to Elche and Barcelona, both exploiting Levante’s exposed flanks. Calero’s squad, while spirited, leans heavily on the youthful exuberance of Iván Romero—who netted a brace last match—and creative sparks from Álvarez. Maintaining discipline will be vital, especially given their recent average of 2.4 yellow cards per match. They continue to deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, seeking width but risking open midfield space vulnerable to Madrid’s marauders in transition.

Levante possible starting eleven

Real Madrid Preview

Real Madrid’s last match saw them dispatch RCD Espanyol 2-0, showcasing both attacking depth and defensive solidity, typified by a midfield anchored by Valverde and Tchouameni. Madrid have seamlessly integrated talents like Kylian Mbappé (6 goals in five), Vinícius (2 goals), and the creative Arda Güler, who brings both innovation and work rate. Alonso’s iteration of Madrid is defined by high pressing, wing overloads, and measured passes in central channels. Conceding just 2 goals so far, their back four led by Carvajal and Militão, plus Thibaut Courtois between the sticks, ensures reliability. Madrid’s 4-2-3-1 formation maximises both fluid transitions and tempo control—a key strength against high-press sides like Levante.

Real Madrid possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

In the collective assessment of our TipsGG experts, Real Madrid are overwhelming favourites, with our AI-powered model assigning them a convincing 70 percent win probability. The likelihood of a Madrid win, allied to a multi-goal performance, is anchored in their relentless form, elite squad rotation and tactical fluidity. Expect Levante to pose sporadic threats but struggle to contain the likes of Mbappé, Vinícius, and a deep, creative midfield. The probable outcome is Real Madrid asserting their championship credentials with a strong away showing; Levante’s best hope is to play for pride and minimize the goal differential.

How to watch Levante vs Real Madrid

When? September 23, 2025
Kick-off time: 22:30 CEST
Where? Ciutat de València, Valencia
How to watch: Via national broadcasters, La Liga TV, or authorized streaming platforms.
Favorite: Real Madrid

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