Levante vs Girona Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga Match - 07.03.2026

La Liga action resumes at Ciutat de València in Valencia, as Levante hosts Girona on March 7, 2026, at 17:15 CEST. This regular season encounter arrives with both sides eager to secure crucial points, given their current mid-to-lower table positions. Levante, guided by Luís Castro, are looking to recover from a turbulent run, while Girona, under Míchel’s direction, seek to consolidate their footing after a patchy series of away matches. The historical significance of Ciutat de València gives added weight to each home fixture, amplifying the tension as these two sides collide in a contest laced with implications for their La Liga standing.

Key players to watch include Carlos Espí for Levante, who has scored twice in his last five outings and carries the hopes of the home attack, and Thomas Lemar of Girona, whose midfield creativity and scoring touch (2 goals in last 4 matches) could tip the balance in a tightly matched contest.

One “hot stat” stands out: Levante’s only win in their past six matches came against Alavés, while Girona’s away form has yielded just a single victory in the same span.

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Levante vs Girona predictions

My best bet: Girona Draw No Bet

Girona possesses a marginally better run of form and more creative firepower in midfield, particularly with Lemar and Tsygankov orchestrating play. Despite Levante’s home advantage, their lack of goals (4 in last 5 matches) and defensive vulnerability (44 goals conceded this season, most in La Liga) make Girona an enticing draw-no-bet selection. Girona’s tactical structure in their preferred 4-4-2 offers balance and counter-attacking strength. Expect Girona to control possession in key phases and capitalize on Levante’s errors with precise transitional play.

In terms of disciplinary records and play style, both sides have similar patterns: Levante picked up 7 yellows and 2 reds in their last 5 games, while Girona has shown slightly more discipline with 8 yellows and just 1 red. Notably, both teams collect fouls at a rate above 10 per match, hinting at a physical contest where set pieces and referee decisions could play pivotal roles. Ball possession may oscillate, but Girona’s slightly higher pass accuracy and more balanced attacks should allow them to push the tempo.

Prop picks by me:

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Levante vs Girona Most recent H2Hs

Their last meeting saw Levante dominate on the scoreline with a 4-0 victory, defying bookmakers’ expectations at the time. However, the match statistics indicate a relatively even battle in terms of shots and possession, with Levante proving far more clinical in front of goal. Notably, Girona struggled to convert their opportunities and were punished twice on set pieces. Such trends suggest that while Levante can capitalize on high-leverage moments, the chance of a repeat is slim, given Girona’s tactical evolution since then.

🚨Read our full Levante vs Girona stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Levante has scored just 4 goals in their last five fixtures, the lowest among La Liga teams over that span.
• Girona has managed only one away win this season.
• Both teams had the same number of corner kicks (26) in their previous five matches.
• Levante has the highest number of goals conceded in La Liga (44 in 26 games).
• Levante’s only victory in their last six games was against an 18th-ranked Alavés side.
• Thomas Lemar is Girona’s top scorer in recent games, with two goals in four appearances.
• Both teams collect more than 10 fouls per match on average, underlining the physicality expected in this encounter.

Levante vs Girona score prediction: 0-1

Expect a tense affair where defenses dictate the pace. Girona’s recent improvement in midfield connection, led by Thomas Lemar and the dynamic Viktor Tsygankov, should create enough openings to breach Levante’s leaky back line. Levante’s reliance on Carlos Espí up front puts too much burden on the individual against Girona’s compact defensive block. While the home crowd will energize Levante, Girona’s superior tactical structure should see them edge a low-scoring contest.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Girona the favourite

The marginal favoritism for Girona is justified considering their better attacking form and Levante’s defensive woes. The odds for under 2.5 goals (1.74) reflect the low-scoring tendencies of both teams, and with Girona’s only away win this season, their status as favourites, while justifiable, should be approached cautiously. The draw is plausible given both sides’ penchant for stalemates and narrow margins.

Levante vs Girona Over/Under Analysis

• Levante have seen under 2.5 goals in 4 of their last 5 fixtures.
• Girona matches have hit under 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 5 outings.
• Both teams have struggled to convert high shot totals into goals, suggesting another low-scoring affair.
• Corners are routinely high between these teams due to their wing play — over 8.5 corners is well supported by recent stats.

Levante Preview

Levante arrive off a much-needed win against Alavés (2-0), having previously suffered a series of setbacks against superior opposition. Despite a solid defensive display in that latest victory, Levante’s formline is worrying: just one win in their last six, and 44 goals conceded for the campaign underscore their struggles. Notably, their 4-2-3-1 formation has been stable, but a lack of creative output from midfield presses far too much responsibility on Carlos Espí and Jon Ander Olasagasti. If Levante are to threaten Girona, the transitional play must improve, and set piece efficiency will be crucial given open play difficulties.

Levante possible starting eleven

Girona Preview

Girona’s journey has echoed inconsistency, with one win, two draws, and two defeats in their last five. Their standout result was a shock 2-1 win over Barcelona, with Lemar at the heart of midfield dynamism. Yet, a 1-2 home defeat to Celta Vigo last time out exposed occasional fragility in defensive transitions. Girona’s adherence to a 4-4-2 under Míchel allows quick switches in attack, with Tsygankov and Vanat stretching the opposition. A crucial factor is Girona’s ability to bring midfielders into advanced areas — Lemar and Fran Beltran in particular — which could destabilize Levante’s static lines. Defensive discipline and early pressure are mandatory against a Levante side desperate for points.

Girona possible starting eleven

Our prediction: Who Wins?

As the TipsGG team expert, our main pick is Girona Draw No Bet. Girona have the creative edge, more consistent tactical discipline, and recent evidence — including their stunning Barcelona win — suggests they can neutralize Levante’s predictable attack. The AI-powered prediction engine gives Girona a 41 percent probability of victory, 34 percent for Levante, with a 25 percent chance of a draw. Expect a tightly contested fixture, but Girona’s slightly superior quality in both penalty boxes could be the difference.

How to watch Levante vs Girona

• When? March 7, 2026
• Kick-off time. 17:15 CEST
• Where? Ciutat de València, Valencia
• How to watch: Local La Liga broadcast partners, streaming on selected betting sites.
• Favorite: Girona

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