Levante vs Atletico Madrid Predictions: Odds and betting tips for La Liga 2025/26 Match - 31.01.2026

The Ciutat de València in Valencia is set to host a pivotal La Liga encounter between Levante and Atletico Madrid on January 31, 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 19:30 CEST. As the league enters its critical mid-season stretch, both sides will be eager to capitalize on this fixture—Levante fighting to claw their way out of the relegation zone, and Atletico Madrid vying to maintain the pressure on the league’s top tier. Under the leadership of Luís Castro, Levante faces the daunting task of subduing Diego Simeone’s Atletico, a side renowned for their tactical discipline and efficiency on the road. This is more than just a contest for points; it’s a meeting between two distinct footballing philosophies set to unfold in one of Spain’s classic footballing amphitheatres.

Two key players stand out: Iker Losada for Levante, who has delivered crucial goals, and Alexander Sørloth for Atletico Madrid, whose goal-scoring form and ability to unlock defences could tip the match’s balance. Notably, Atletico’s Jan Oblak remains a stalwart in goal, setting the standard for defensive organisation across Europe.

A hot stat to highlight: Atletico Madrid has attempted a staggering 97 shots in their last 5 matches, nearly double Levante’s tally, showcasing their relentless attacking intent—an edge that could prove decisive.

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Levante vs Atletico Madrid predictions

My best bet: Backing Atletico Madrid to win is the smartest play here. Given their superior squad depth, tactical acumen under Simeone, and a recent run featuring an impressive 38 goals scored with only 17 conceded in the league, the visitors possess both the firepower and the defensive sturdiness needed to prevail. Levante, while spirited, has struggled defensively, conceding 34 goals in 20 matches, and their inability to consistently break down high-level opposition has hampered their campaign. Atletico’s clinical approach in decisive moments should prove too much for Levante.

When analysing each team’s approach, Levante’s high number of fouls (47 in their last 5 matches) and moderate ball retention signal a willingness to disrupt rhythm, but it often results in cards and broken attacks. Atletico Madrid, by contrast, not only claims better ball retention (with over 2,400 passes completed at 86.8 percent accuracy in their last five) but also presses effectively, recovering possession through 38 interceptions. The set-piece battle will thus likely tilt Atletico’s way, perhaps delivering another margin in their favour via corners or free kicks.

• ⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
• 💥Both Teams To Score: No
• 🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

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Levante vs Atletico Madrid Most recent H2Hs

Historically, Atletico Madrid has had the upper hand in this fixture, including a recent 3-1 away success. Their advantage was apparent in terms of total shots and more refined final-third actions. Levante did show resilience by generating a handful of set-piece opportunities, but they ultimately lacked the quality to turn pressure into goals against Atletico’s disciplined rear-guard.

🚨Read our full Levante vs Atletico Madrid stats for more analysis.

Key Stats

• Atletico Madrid has completed more than twice as many shots (97 to 50) as Levante in the last five matches.
• Levante has not kept a clean sheet in their previous seven La Liga matches.
• Atletico Madrid has scored at least once in each of their last 10 away league games.
• Levante has averaged 2.3 goals conceded per game over their last four fixtures.
• Atletico’s Alexander Sørloth has netted three goals in his past five appearances.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid score prediction: 0-2

Expect Atletico Madrid to leverage their efficient, high-press tactical framework to keep Levante pinned back. Players like Alexander Sørloth—who is in red-hot form—and Antoine Griezmann offer significant attacking threat, while the midfield’s ability to recover possession should stifle Levante’s forward surges. With Jan Oblak marshalling the defence, a clean sheet looks probable. Levante’s Iker Losada and Carlos Espí may create moments, but against a world-class defensive structure, clear opportunities will be rare.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Atletico Madrid the favourite

The market consensus firmly rates Atletico Madrid the clear favourite, reflecting their far superior league position and attacking output. Odds for a Levante win are long (as high as 5.33), highlighting the gulf in form and consistency. Value in the under 2.5 goals and both teams not to score markets aligns with both clubs’ defensive and goal-conceding trends. A draw, while not impossible, is less likely given the recent attacking momentum of Atletico.

Levante vs Atletico Madrid Over/Under Analysis

• Levante’s matches have averaged just 2.2 goals in the last five outings—supporting the prediction for under 2.5.
• Atletico Madrid often manages games tightly; three of their last five away matches have ended with fewer than 2.5 goals.
• Levante has scored more than one goal only once in their last five league fixtures.
• In their previous head-to-head, the match produced just 4 goals, despite Atletico’s dominance on expected goals.

Levante Preview

Levante has endured a challenging campaign, languishing near the bottom after 20 rounds. Their 3-2 win over Elche was a rare highlight, showcasing offensive resilience but also underlining defensive frailties—conceding twice to one of the league’s lower-ranked attacks. The draw against RCD Espanyol suggested an ability to frustrate, yet subsequent defeat to Real Madrid highlighted the gulf to elite sides. With Pablo Cuñat Campos deputising between the sticks and Iker Losada providing attacking impetus, Levante’s structure in a 4-2-3-1 remains consistent but lacks penetration against well-organised defences.

Atletico Madrid Preview

Atletico approaches this clash on the back of a solid run, with victories over Mallorca and Deportivo La Coruña and a continental draw with Galatasaray evidencing their multi-competition focus. Their latest defeat to Bodo Glimt was a setback, yet their La Liga form remains robust. Much of their thrust flows through Marcos Llorente, Griezmann, and Sørloth, while Thiago Almada’s energy in midfield has added dynamism. With Jan Oblak providing leadership in goal, Atletico’s familiar 4-4-2 shape offers both control and counter-punching threat—key to their status as title contenders.

Our prediction: Who Wins?

The clear edge lies with Atletico Madrid, the Tips.GG team expert selection. Their attacking efficiency, superior shot and pass metrics, and resilience under Simeone’s guidance make them the logical pick. Back Atletico to take home three points, as their AI-adjusted win probability stands at 58 percent—almost three times Levante’s likelihood. Expect a professional, disciplined performance with the firepower to secure a comfortable victory.

How to watch Levante vs Atletico Madrid

• When? January 31, 2026
• Kick-off time: 19:30 CEST
• Where? Ciutat de València, Valencia, Spain
• How to watch: La Liga TV, official streaming partners
• Favorite: Atletico Madrid

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