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Levadia vs Goteborg Prediction: 30.07.2026 UEFA Conference League

29.07.2026, 12:36

Levadia host IFK Goteborg at the A. Le Coq Arena in Tallinn on 30 July 2026 for the second leg of their UEFA Conference League Second Qualifying Round tie. The Estonians already hold a 2-1 advantage from the first leg, meaning Goteborg must score and avoid conceding to stay alive. That is a tall order for a Swedish side that has lost five of their last six matches across all competitions.

Keep an eye on João Pedro de Moura Siembarski for Levadia — he has contributed two goals and two assists in his last four appearances and is clearly the creative engine in their attack. For Goteborg, Tobias Heintz leads the line in terms of shot volume with 14 attempts over six matches, and with an assist to his name he remains their most dangerous outlet going forward.

Hot stat: Levadia put five goals past Caernarfon in each leg of their previous qualifying round, scoring 10 goals across those two matches — a sign of just how clinical they have been at home this summer.

12:30In 23 hr.30.07.2026
-LevadiaEstonia
-GoteborgSweden
🏆 Tournament: UEFA Conference League 2026/27 — Second Qualifying Round
🏟 Venue: A. Le Coq Arena, Tallinn
🗓️ Date: 30.07.2026
⏰ Time: 18:30 CEST

Levadia vs Goteborg Prediction

Levadia enter this second leg with a one-goal lead and an 80% win rate over the last 30 days. Goteborg, by contrast, have won just once in their last six games — a 2-1 victory over Brommapojkarna — and lost their most recent match 1-4 to Sirius. The aggregate situation and the form gap point clearly in one direction.

We think Levadia will control this match without needing to chase the game. They can afford to sit compact and hit on the counter, which suits their setup well. Goteborg need to attack, and that opens space behind their defensive line. A Levadia win to nil is a genuine possibility, though their home record this season gives us enough confidence to back them winning the match outright.

Goteborg have accumulated 15 yellow cards and two red cards in their last five matches, showing a disciplined problem that could hurt them when they press higher up the pitch chasing the deficit. Levadia, with only seven yellow cards and no reds in the same period, are the calmer side. Their pass accuracy data is incomplete but Goteborg’s own numbers — around 85% across their squad — suggest they are not lacking technical ability, just results. The Swedish side averages 52 fouls over five matches, which is high and likely to produce set-piece opportunities for Levadia in dangerous areas.

🔥Hot Tip: Levadia to win to nil
⚽Total Goals: Under 2.5
💥Both Teams To Score: No
🎯Total Corners: Over 8.5

Team Analysis

Levadia have been in outstanding domestic and European form. They won four of their last five matches, with their only defeat coming against local rivals Flora Tallinn — a 1-2 loss that looks like an anomaly rather than a trend. Before that, they dismantled Caernarfon twice by a combined score of 10-0, and they came into the first leg of this tie in confident shape. Their 2-1 win over Goteborg in the first leg was earned on merit, with Bubacarr Tambedou and João Pedro de Moura Siembarski both contributing across the attack. Coach Vjatseslav Zahovaiko has a settled squad and a clear structure.

13:00Finished21.07.2026
1GoteborgSweden
2LevadiaEstonia

Goteborg’s recent run makes for difficult reading. They lost 1-4 to Sirius in their most recent Allsvenskan fixture, and before the first leg they had already fallen to Malmo 0-4 and AIK 1-2. The 2-1 win over Brommapojkarna is the only bright spot in a run of six matches that produced just one victory. Stefan Billborn’s side now needs to overturn a one-goal deficit against a team that is genuinely in form. Sebastian Clemensen has two goals in six matches and is their most consistent finisher, but the supply from midfield has been erratic. With 38 corner kicks generated over five matches, they do create wide pressure — but converting that into goals has been the problem.

08:00Finished26.07.2026
4SiriusSweden
1GoteborgSweden

Most Recent Head-to-Head Matches

Statistic Levadia Goteborg
Goals 2 1

🚨Check out our dedicated Levadia vs Goteborg stats page for more info.

Goteborg. Source: Official Website

Goteborg. Source: Official Website

Pre-game odds and win probability: Goteborg the favourite

  • Moneyline Levadia 3.10 (avg) | Goteborg 2.02 (avg)
  • Draw 3.47 (avg)
  • Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
  • BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A

The bookmakers price Goteborg as favourites at around 2.02, which honestly looks off given their current form. Levadia at 3.10 represents real value here. The Estonian side holds the first-leg lead, plays at home, and has won 80% of their matches in the last 30 days. The market seems to be weighting Goteborg’s league status rather than their actual recent performances. We see Levadia as the smarter side of the moneyline.

Possible Starting Lineups

Levadia possible starting eleven

  • GK: Karl Andre Vallner
  • DF: Abraham Nwankwo, Victory Sunday Iboro, Tanel Tammik
  • MF: Joseph Saliste, Alexandre
  • FW: Mark Oliver Roosnupp, João Pedro de Moura Siembarski, Bubacarr Tambedou, Frank Liivak, Robert Kirss

Levadia look set to line up in a 4-2-3-1 shape. Karl Andre Vallner gets the nod in goal after appearing in four of the last five matches. Abraham Nwankwo has been a consistent presence at the back with four appearances. João Pedro de Moura Siembarski and Bubacarr Tambedou are the players to watch — both have been directly involved in goals and assists repeatedly, and in a second leg where Levadia can afford to be patient, their ability to punish on the break will be key.

Goteborg possible starting eleven

  • GK: Elis Bishesari
  • DF: Rockson Yeboah, Jonas Bager, Alexander Jallow, Issaka Seidu
  • MF: August Erlingmark, David Kruse, Noah Tolf, Felix Eriksson
  • FW: Tobias Heintz, Sebastian Clemensen

Goteborg are expected to set up in a 4-2-3-1 as well, with Elis Bishesari in goal — he has started all six matches and made six saves. August Erlingmark and David Kruse form the spine of the midfield with 540 minutes each, though both carry yellow card warnings. Tobias Heintz leads in shots and will need to be more clinical than he has been recently. Sebastian Clemensen is the likeliest goal threat with two goals from six appearances. The defensive line, featuring Rockson Yeboah who has also chipped in with a goal, will need to push forward — which creates the risk Levadia will look to exploit.

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Levadia. Source: Official Website

Levadia. Source: Official Website


TipsGG Match Prediction

Levadia are in a strong position and we back them to see this tie out. Their home form has been dominant all summer, their attack has genuine quality through Siembarski and Tambedou, and Goteborg are arriving in Tallinn off the back of a 1-4 hiding in the Swedish league. The Swedish side will need to attack to overturn the deficit, and Levadia have shown they can punish teams that leave space.

We think Levadia win this match. The first-leg result was no fluke, and the home crowd at the A. Le Coq Arena will only add to the pressure on Goteborg. Levadia to win to nil at around 3.10 on the moneyline looks like the best value available. Maybe Goteborg score once if they push hard in the second half, but honestly their finishing has been too inconsistent to trust them across 90 minutes against a side this organized. Back Levadia.

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