Liam Duckstein
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Leuven welcome Roma to the Gemeentelijk Sportstadion for a League Phase clash that pits a Belgian side riding a five-match unbeaten run against an Italian club still chasing consistency at continental level. Leuven have piled up goals against domestic opposition lately, but Roma arrive having just traded punches in a wild 4-6 defeat to Juventus, a scoreline that tells you plenty about how open this Giallorosse side can be at both ends of the pitch.
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Watch for Isabella Dekker up front for Leuven. She has scored twice in her last two starts and offers a direct outlet against a Roma back line that has looked breachable in recent weeks. On the other side, Giada Greggi has been Roma’s standout performer, contributing two goals and two assists across her last four appearances, and she tends to drift into pockets of space that Leuven’s midfield will need to track closely.
The hot stat from this build up belongs to Roma, who smashed Sassuolo 7-1 in one of their last five outings, the single highest-scoring match either side produced in the data we reviewed. It shows the ceiling this Roma attack can reach, even if their defensive numbers have been shaky in the same stretch.
| 🏆 Tournament: | UEFA Women’s Champions League 2026/27, League Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Gemeentelijk Sportstadion, Leuven |
| 🗓️ Date: | 23.09.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 18:45 CEST |
Leuven (w) vs Roma (w) prediction
We predict Roma edge this one, and honestly the price of 1.82 with bovada looks fair rather than generous given the gap in overall level between the two squads. Roma’s global club ranking sits well clear of Leuven’s, and while Leuven’s recent form reads four wins and a draw from five, that run came almost entirely against domestic Belgian sides such as Standard Liege, Genk and Gent Ladies rather than European quality. Roma’s five losses and wins came against Serie A opposition including Juventus, Fiorentina and Sassuolo, a tougher yardstick by any measure.
Style-wise, Roma control the ball more and generate far higher shot volume, 82 attempts across their last five matches compared to Leuven’s 22, plus a healthier interception count that points to a side comfortable pressing higher up the pitch. Leuven’s disciplinary numbers are tidy with only three yellow cards in five matches, while Roma picked up four, a sign their intensity sometimes tips into rash challenges. That physical edge from Roma, paired with their attacking output, should translate into goals at both ends here, perhaps more than the neutral markets expect.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Roma to win and Over 2.5 goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Under 9.5 |
Team Analysis
Leuven have won four of their last five and drawn the other, a run capped by a 5-0 demolition of Standard Liege, a side sitting near the bottom of its own domestic form table. Before that they held Genk to a goalless draw and put six past Gent Ladies, showing they can be ruthless when the gulf in class favours them. The concern for this fixture is that none of those opponents resemble Roma in quality, so translating that scoring form onto a European stage against sharper opposition is not guaranteed.
Roma go into this match having lost their last outing 4-6 to Juventus, a result that flattered neither defense but showed their attack can trade goals with the best in Italy. Before that they thrashed Sassuolo 7-1 and beat Fiorentina 3-0, though a narrow 0-1 loss to Sassuolo earlier in the run shows they can also go cold in front of goal against tighter setups. Three wins and two losses from their last five points to a team capable of both ends of the spectrum, which fits the profile of a side we expect to score, and concede, in Leuven.
Most recent Head-to-Head Matches
| Statistic | Leuven (w) | Roma (w) |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1 | 1 |
🚨Check out our dedicated Leuven (w) vs Roma (w) stats page for more info.
Leuven (w). Source: Official Facebook
Pre-game odds and win probability: Roma (w) the favourite
- Moneyline Leuven (w) 3.45 | Roma (w) 1.82
- Draw 3.90
The market leans firmly toward Roma, and the bookmakers’ own expectation of a 50% win probability for the Italians against 26% for Leuven backs that up. A draw at 3.90 looks tempting on paper given the sides drew their only previous meeting 1-1, but we think this current Roma side, even with its defensive lapses, has enough firepower to get the job done more often than not.
Possible Starting Lineups
Leuven (w) possible starting eleven
- GK:Juliette Demol
- DF:Kim Everaerts, Alixe Bosteels, Axelle Van Besauw
- MF:Jeslynn Kuijpers, Flo Hermans, Ioanna Papatheodorou, Julie Biesmans
- FW:Kadhiya De Ceuster, Isabella Dekker, Jada Conijnenberg
Jeff Strasser tends to favour a 4-3-3 base, though the roster data suggests a flexible back three with Kuijpers and Biesmans dropping to help out defensively when needed. Dekker remains the player to watch given her recent scoring form, while Demol has started every match tracked in this stretch and looks a fixture between the posts.
Roma (w) possible starting eleven
- GK:Valentina Soggiu
- DF:Valentina Bergamaschi, Winonah Heatley, Frederikke Thogersen, Shukurat Damilola Oladipo
- MF:Giada Greggi, Marta Pandini, Annalena Rieke, Alice Corelli
- FW:Manuela Giugliano, Alayah Pilgrim
Luca Rossettini’s preferred 4-4-2 gives Giugliano and Pilgrim license to combine up front, with Greggi pulling the strings just behind them. Soggiu has featured in all four tracked matches in goal and carries the bulk of shot-stopping responsibility, while Bergamaschi’s passing range from the back line stands out in the underlying numbers.
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Roma (w). Source: Official Facebook
TipsGG Match Prediction
We predict Roma get the win here, though perhaps not without conceding at least once given how open Leuven’s opponents have found them at the back over the last two matches. Roma’s shot volume and their ability to punish weaker defensive lines, shown clearly against Sassuolo and Fiorentina, gives them the edge over a Leuven side that has fed on softer domestic fixtures. Our view is Roma to win with both teams scoring, and we would lean on that combination as the value angle for this fixture, to be hones the draw odds tempt us a little given the reverse fixture result, but the broader form gap points the other way.
