Leicester vs Ipswich Prediction: 13.12.2025 EFL Championship Preview

On December 13, 2025, the EFL Championship presents a pivotal clash at the King Power Stadium as Leicester hosts Ipswich in a match with major implications for both clubs’ top-six ambitions. While Ipswich sit fourth and show upward mobility, Leicester’s inconsistent results leave them mid-table but still within reach of the playoff zone. This fixture not only reunites these two former Premier League sides but also puts on display two managers known for tactical adaptability: Martí Cifuentes for Leicester and Kieran McKenna for Ipswich. Notably, both teams regularly deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, emphasizing build-up through midfield. The battle in the engine room will be decisive, with both clubs needing a statement result as the campaign nears its halfway point.
Key players to focus on include Leicester’s creative winger Stephy Mavididi—responsible for two goals in his last five matches—and Ipswich’s versatile Marcelino Núñez, who has tallied one goal and three assists in the same span. Both attackers possess the ability to turn tight contests with a single moment of brilliance, making them critical to the match’s outcome. The “hot stat” going in is Ipswich’s league-leading tally of 71 total shots in their last five matches, underlining their proactive, attack-minded approach under McKenna.

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Leicester vs Ipswich prediction

Analyzing the recent form, statistical outputs, and market odds, the best value prediction points towards Ipswich as the likelier winners or at least capable of leaving with a result. Ipswich’s attack has been relentless, averaging 14.2 shots per match over their last five, while Leicester’s defensive vulnerabilities are exposed by their two recent home defeats—conceding three to Sheffield United and Southampton, respectively. Ipswich’s ability to press high and create volume chances is well-matched for an away Asian Handicap (+0 or Draw No Bet), which holds substantial value based on their current momentum and market pricing.
Discipline will play a role: both teams are highly combative (Leicester 67 fouls, Ipswich 51 fouls in last five games), but Ipswich edge the yellow card count (15 vs 13). Ball control is similar; possession is built by high pass completion (Leicester 80.4%, Ipswich 83.2%), so expect a midfield battle rather than frantic transitions. Leicester’s slightly better ball retention may limit Ipswich counter-attacks, while both sides’ set-piece threat (Ipswich 20 corners in last five; Leicester 13) could prove a decider.
Given the above, goals are in play—Leicester average 1.8 goals per game recently, Ipswich 1.6—with both teams likely to find the net, but disciplined defending might cap the scoreline.

Team Analysis

Leicester’s last five matches have yielded mixed fortunes: two wins, a draw, and two home defeats. They most recently drew 2-2 with Bristol City, in a contest that saw them dominate possession but struggle to convert it into a win. This pattern—controlling the midfield but lacking a clinical edge against organized defences—has become a trend for Leicester, and defensive lapses proved costly again versus Bristol. Their stronger showings against Derby (3-1, controlled, with high pass accuracy and creative movement) and Stoke (2-1) show what happens when their midfield presses successfully, but the three-goal home defeat to Southampton raises red flags about defence in transition. Leicester have cycled through their squad, rotating key attackers like Daka, Mavididi, and Ayew to spark scoring chances.

Ipswich, on the other hand, come in with superior momentum: three wins, two draws, and just one loss in their last six. Their latest victory, a 1-0 home shutout of Stoke, was built on compact defending and clinical execution—characteristics that have become their signature. Prior to that, a convincing 3-0 victory over promotion rivals Coventry underlined the team’s potential when breaking down ambitious opponents. Ipswich’s wide play, high volume of total shots, and set-piece proficiency have consistently troubled opposition. Núñez acts as the key playmaker, linking up with forwards Hirst and Philogene-Bidace to create dynamic attacking options, while the defensive pairing of O’Shea and Greaves provided much-needed solidity against direct approaches.

Possible Starting Lineups

Leicester possible starting eleven

Cifuentes should favour his trusted 4-2-3-1, sticking with Begović in goal and the powerful Vestergaard-Faes centre-back partnership. Pereira and Thomas offer dynamism at full-back. Key in midfield will be Choudhury for ball-winning and Winks for distribution, joined by the creative wide thrusts of Issahaku and Mavididi, while James operates as a box-to-box playmaker. Daka’s movement and finishing give him the edge over Ayew upfront. Watch for Mavididi’s link-up play and potential influence in tight spaces.

Ipswich possible starting eleven

McKenna is expected to continue with a 4-2-3-1 that brings together experience and youth in equal measure. Walton’s reliability in goal is complemented by Davis’s attacking support and Young’s veteran composure. In midfield, Matusiwa shields the defence, Taylor adds passing range, and Núñez is the creative heartbeat. Up front, Hirst returns as the reference point, flanked by Philogene-Bidace and Akpom—both dangerous on the counter. Ipswich’s press and quick transitions may force Leicester to defend deep.

Most recent Head-to-Head Matches

🚨Read our full Leicester vs Ipswich stats for more analysis.

Pre-game odds and win probability: Ipswich the favourite

• Moneyline Leicester 3.30 | Ipswich 2.16
• Draw 3.45
• Over/Under Over 2.5 1.98 | Under 2.5 1.80
• BTTS (both teams to score) Yes 1.65 | No 2.15

Bookmakers rate Ipswich clear favourites at roughly 43 percent win probability, driven by their higher win rate and recent momentum. Leicester’s chances hover at 29 percent, mirroring their inconsistent campaign. The odds for over 2.5 goals (close to evens, 1.98) suggest bookmakers expect a contest with clear attacking intent, while BTTS (both teams to score) is short at 1.65, emphasizing both sides’ tendency to both score and concede. Ipswich’s balanced attack and Leicester’s defensive volatility heavily influence these lines, with the draw’s pricing hinting at a closely-fought encounter. Smart bettors may find value on Ipswich (Draw No Bet) or combining goals with BTTS for enhanced returns.

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My take on the Match

This contest hinges on whether Leicester can shore up their defence and convert home advantage into tangible points, or if Ipswich continue their forceful surge towards the automatic promotion places. Based on the statistical evidence—more shots, higher win rate, and overall positive momentum—my primary recommendation is to back Ipswich on the Draw No Bet market. The Suffolk club’s superior chance creation and more cohesive attacking unit give them an edge, especially against a Leicester team that has struggled for consistency at home. Matchups across midfield will be key, but Ipswich’s ability to generate high-quality scoring chances should lead to a narrow victory or, at minimum, a share of the spoils. Expect both teams to score, with a likely outcome of 2-1 to Ipswich or a lively draw.

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