Liam Duckstein
Two clubs with genuinely contrasting summer trajectories meet at Brann Stadion in Bergen on July 7. Legia Warsaw, under Marek Papszun, come into this fixture off a pre-season that has been steady rather than spectacular, while Ran Kozuch’s Hapoel Beer Sheva carry a stronger year-to-date record and arrive with a bit more confidence after back-to-back wins before their last draw. The neutral venue adds an extra layer of unpredictability to what is, on paper, a closely matched friendly.
One player to keep an eye on for Legia is whoever Papszun deploys centrally in midfield, given that the Polish side’s best results this pre-season have come when their press is organised and quick. For Hapoel Beer Sheva, the attacking threat from their front line has been consistent, with the Israeli side scoring at least two goals in four of their last five matches.
Hot stat: Hapoel Beer Sheva have scored in all five of their most recent fixtures, netting 12 goals across those games, which points to a side that carries real attacking momentum into this match.
| 🏆 Tournament: | International Club Friendly 2026, July Phase |
| 🏟 Venue: | Brann Stadion, Bergen |
| 🗓️ Date: | 07.07.2026 |
| ⏰ Time: | 11:00 CEST |
Legia vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Prediction
Both sides share identical recent records over the last 30 days, each with one win, one draw, and zero losses. The year-to-date numbers, though, tell a slightly different story. Hapoel Beer Sheva have won 15 of 26 matches this year for a 58% win rate, compared to Legia’s 48% from 23 games. That gap is meaningful even in a friendly context.
The odds from Rocketplay are almost perfectly split, with Legia at 2.44 and Hapoel at 2.48, and the draw sitting at 3.26. We predict Hapoel Beer Sheva to edge this one on the strength of their superior overall form and goal output. Their attacking patterns have been more reliable, and Legia’s pre-season results, while decent, show a team still finding its shape under Papszun.
On the style side, without granular foul and possession data available for these specific friendly matches, we can look at the broader picture. Legia tend to be a physically engaged side in the Polish Ekstraklasa, often accumulating fouls in transition. Hapoel Beer Sheva, playing in the Israeli Premier League, typically operate with more direct, vertical passing. In a neutral-venue friendly with both sides rotating squads, the team with sharper attacking instincts tends to benefit, and that points toward the Israeli side.
| 🔥Hot Tip: | Hapoel Beer Sheva to win & Over 2.5 Goals |
| ⚽Total Goals: | Over 2.5 |
| 💥Both Teams To Score: | Yes |
| 🎯Total Corners: | Over 7.5 |
Team Analysis
Legia’s pre-season has been functional. They beat Bayern Munich’s youth side 2-0 and followed that with a 2-2 draw against 1. FC Nürnberg in their most recent outing. Before those two July friendlies, they recorded wins over Motor Lublin (4-0) and Lechia Gdansk (2-1) in late June, with a narrow 1-0 over Termalica Bruk-Bet before that. The 4-0 against Motor Lublin stands out as their most convincing display, but the inability to hold a result against Nürnberg in their last game is a mild concern. Papszun’s side are capable of controlling matches, but they have looked vulnerable when pressed high.
Hapoel Beer Sheva’s last five games paint a picture of a team with attacking firepower but occasional defensive fragility. They beat Radomiak Radom 3-2 in their most recent friendly, following a 2-2 draw with Omonia Nicosia before that. Earlier in June, they recorded a strong 4-2 win over Maccabi Tel Aviv, though they also suffered a 2-5 loss to Maccabi Haifa and a 1-2 defeat to Maccabi Tel Aviv in a different fixture. The pattern is clear: Hapoel Beer Sheva score freely but can be opened up at the back. Against a Legia side that can press with purpose, goals at both ends are very much on the cards.
🚨Check out our dedicated Legia vs Hapoel Beer Sheva stats page for more info.
Pre-game Odds and Win Probability: Evenly Matched the Favourite
- Moneyline Legia 2.44 | Hapoel Beer Sheva 2.48
- Draw 3.26
- Over/Under Over 2.5 N/A | Under 2.5 N/A
- BTTS (both teams to score) Yes N/A | No N/A
The near-identical moneyline odds reflect how difficult it is to separate these two sides on paper. The draw at 3.26 offers decent value given both teams’ tendency to concede, but we lean toward Hapoel Beer Sheva at 2.48 as the slightly better bet. Their year-to-date win rate is notably higher, and their attacking output in recent weeks has been more consistent. Legia at 2.44 is not unattractive either, particularly given their home-territory familiarity with European pre-season football, but the Israeli side’s form edges the argument.
Possible Starting Lineups
Legia Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Kacper Tobiasz
- DF: Artur Jedrzejczyk, Radovan Pankov, Maik Nawrocki, Steve Kapuadi
- MF: Bartosz Slisz, Josue, Ryoya Morishita, Luquinhas
- FW: Marc Gual, Blaz Kramer
Legia are likely to set up in a 4-2-3-1 or a compact 4-4-2 shape under Papszun. Kacper Tobiasz is the established first-choice goalkeeper and should start. Jedrzejczyk brings experience at the back, while Nawrocki and Pankov form a solid central pairing. In midfield, Slisz and Josue provide the engine room. Luquinhas is the creative outlet to watch, capable of producing something unpredictable in tight spaces. Up front, Kramer’s physicality could be a useful weapon against a Hapoel Beer Sheva defence that has looked shaky at times.
Hapoel Beer Sheva Possible Starting Eleven
- GK: Tomer Chencinski
- DF: Loai Taha, Ofir Davidzada, Dor Micha, Shir Tzedek
- MF: Niv Zrihen, Maor Buzaglo, Ohad Kadusi, Anthony Nwakaeme
- FW: Matan Hozez, John Ogu
Ran Kozuch tends to favour a 4-3-3 or a 4-2-3-1 setup that allows his wide players to drive at defenders. Chencinski is the expected starter between the posts. Davidzada and Tzedek provide width and defensive cover on the flanks. Maor Buzaglo is the key creative figure to watch, a technically gifted player who can unlock defences with quick combinations. Anthony Nwakaeme brings pace and directness on the wing. Hapoel’s attacking trio has the quality to punish Legia if the Polish side’s defensive shape is not tight from the first whistle.
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Hapoel Beer Sheva. Source: Official Facebook. Edited photo
TipsGG Match Prediction
This is a genuinely open friendly between two evenly matched clubs, but the numbers point in one direction. Hapoel Beer Sheva’s 58% win rate this year, their consistent goal output across recent fixtures, and their attacking depth give them the edge. We predict a Hapoel Beer Sheva win, with goals at both ends making for an entertaining game in Bergen.
Legia will be no pushovers. Their 4-0 win over Motor Lublin and the clean sheet against Bayern Munich’s youth team show they can be organised and efficient. To be honest, Papszun’s side have enough quality to cause problems, but Hapoel’s attacking momentum is the deciding factor here. We back Hapoel Beer Sheva to win, with over 2.5 goals as the standout combined bet at the available odds.
